Trump campaign death spiral

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

Maybe. I think it suggests there are a lot of people drawn to spectacle. Maybe it turns into votes. Maybe it doesn't.

[Anonymous]

Has anyone posted the NYT article about his decline yet?

Here is the gift link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QE4.F6bp.6e2oN9eM9d4H&smid=url-share

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

Maybe. I think it suggests there are a lot of people drawn to spectacle. Maybe it turns into votes. Maybe it doesn't.

PP here Maybe you're right. I just can't imagine going to see anyone in a crowd when I'm not interested in voting for that person.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

Maybe. I think it suggests there are a lot of people drawn to spectacle. Maybe it turns into votes. Maybe it doesn't.

There are actually a lot of really, really dedicated Trump fans who travel to his rallies. I’m sure they’re voting for him, but it doesn’t necessarily mean he’s getting more votes overall or where he needs them.

[Anonymous]

They are all wearing maga hats

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Has anyone posted the NYT article about his decline yet?

Here is the gift link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QE4.F6bp.6e2oN9eM9d4H&smid=url-share

The test will be if they write another 100 articles over the next month.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Has anyone posted the NYT article about his decline yet?

Here is the gift link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QE4.F6bp.6e2oN9eM9d4H&smid=url-share

The test will be if they write another 100 articles over the next month.

It’s in the Trump cognitive decline thread too. But it’s relevant for half the threads on this forum.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Has anyone posted the NYT article about his decline yet?

Here is the gift link:

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html?unlocked_article_code=1.QE4.F6bp.6e2oN9eM9d4H&smid=url-share

The test will be if they write another 100 articles over the next month.

+1 But also I’m looking forward to his response to this. 🙂

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It's a lot of people, but the MAGAs are trying to claim it is over 100,000 to boost Trump's little ego.

It was no where close to that amount, because you can look at the bleacher behind the dias, and interpolate based on size how many people are on it, and then replliate that measurement across the crowd in the aerial. But hey, if it makes him feel good then so be it. He is preaching to the choir at this point. He isn't getting new voters and he is turning off people on the fence.

+1

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

It’s almost as if Trump thinks he’s going to lose.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

In 2020, 3.38M people voted for Trump. But 3.46M voted for Biden.

There are millions of Republicans in PA. But even as of September 2024, there were still 300K more Democrats in PA. So, the presence of a couple of thousand people at a rally in a Republican part of the state, is not really significant. That enthusiasm was there in 2020 when there were far more Trump/MAGA signs all over the state and it still amounted to a loss by 81K votes. And Musk is not popular in Pennsylvania (or anywhere). His negative ratings are far higher than his positive ratings.

With the Dobbs decision, Trump's repeated insults against Philadelphia (which boasts 50% of the state's population in the metro area), the Trump/Vance recent insults to Haitians, the stumping around the state of Harris, Walz, Shapiro and Fetterman, J6, all of Trump's court cases, his misogyny, his sexual assault, it is highly unlikely that he has convinced that many more people to vote for him than he has repulsed away from his ticket.

Additionally Harris has a lot more minority and women support than even Biden had. That is what Trump is facing. I expect, despite polling suggesting otherwise, that Harris will win PA by more than the 81K that Biden won it by.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

It’s almost as if Trump thinks he’s going to lose.

This is really funny. He's a low level grifter at this point.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

In 2020, 3.38M people voted for Trump. But 3.46M voted for Biden.

There are millions of Republicans in PA. But even as of September 2024, there were still 300K more Democrats in PA. So, the presence of a couple of thousand people at a rally in a Republican part of the state, is not really significant. That enthusiasm was there in 2020 when there were far more Trump/MAGA signs all over the state and it still amounted to a loss by 81K votes. And Musk is not popular in Pennsylvania (or anywhere). His negative ratings are far higher than his positive ratings.

With the Dobbs decision, Trump's repeated insults against Philadelphia (which boasts 50% of the state's population in the metro area), the Trump/Vance recent insults to Haitians, the stumping around the state of Harris, Walz, Shapiro and Fetterman, J6, all of Trump's court cases, his misogyny, his sexual assault, it is highly unlikely that he has convinced that many more people to vote for him than he has repulsed away from his ticket.

Additionally Harris has a lot more minority and women support than even Biden had. That is what Trump is facing. I expect, despite polling suggesting otherwise, that Harris will win PA by more than the 81K that Biden won it by.

Many of those registered Democrats are old school Democrats that vote Republican in Presidential elections.

No way Harris does better than Biden in Pennsylvania. She is a far left California liberal. Biden was seen as a home state moderate “ Scranton Joe.”

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Trump is very popular with certain people in certain areas.

What is your bizarre fetish about crowd size? Is this all about setting up an overturn of the election if he loses? How pathetic.

That crowd suggests there are a lot of enthusiastic Trump voters in Pennsylvania. Will be interesting to see PA's election results

In 2020, 3.38M people voted for Trump. But 3.46M voted for Biden.

There are millions of Republicans in PA. But even as of September 2024, there were still 300K more Democrats in PA. So, the presence of a couple of thousand people at a rally in a Republican part of the state, is not really significant. That enthusiasm was there in 2020 when there were far more Trump/MAGA signs all over the state and it still amounted to a loss by 81K votes. And Musk is not popular in Pennsylvania (or anywhere). His negative ratings are far higher than his positive ratings.

With the Dobbs decision, Trump's repeated insults against Philadelphia (which boasts 50% of the state's population in the metro area), the Trump/Vance recent insults to Haitians, the stumping around the state of Harris, Walz, Shapiro and Fetterman, J6, all of Trump's court cases, his misogyny, his sexual assault, it is highly unlikely that he has convinced that many more people to vote for him than he has repulsed away from his ticket.

Additionally Harris has a lot more minority and women support than even Biden had. That is what Trump is facing. I expect, despite polling suggesting otherwise, that Harris will win PA by more than the 81K that Biden won it by.

Many of those registered Democrats are old school Democrats that vote Republican in Presidential elections.

No way Harris does better than Biden in Pennsylvania. She is a far left California liberal. Biden was seen as a home state moderate “ Scranton Joe.”

She's not, though - and Trump is melting before our very eyes. Do you think that "old school Democrats" are interested in this deranged clown you people keep foisting on us?

It is a close race and it is going to be a close race and that is making me feel crazy. But I think your analysis is absolutely nuts.