I agree. I think the vaccine will likely come much earlier than people think. Just hope it hasn't been politicized to death before it gets here. |
Oh wow, October! My fingers and toes are crossed! |
When do Moderna/Oxford expect to conclude their P3 trial and then report on them? We could have 3 really good P3 trial candidates finish by Oct. That is GREAT. |
First time good news appeared in my news feed in months!
Finding long term immunity: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/16/health/coronavirus-immunity-antibodies.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20200817&instance_id=21332&nl=the-morning®i_id=53186273§ion_index=1§ion_name=big_story&segment_id=36280&te=1&user_id=911a9bcda375c11cbb288f22b292fe19 AND!!! Herd immunity closer than anticipated: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/17/health/coronavirus-herd-immunity.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20200817&instance_id=21332&nl=the-morning®i_id=53186273§ion_index=1§ion_name=big_story&segment_id=36280&te=1&user_id=911a9bcda375c11cbb288f22b292fe19 |
All very interesting to read. It supports the notion that herd immunity is a very inexact science and could vary from place to place/pocket to pocket/etc. |
Here's something on accurate and instant testing...
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I’ve been following the herd immunity arguments and models closely, thank you for sharing.
And yay on a quick, accurate test! |
https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/16/health/us-coronavirus-sunday/index.html?utm_content=2020-08-17T17%3A16%3A06&utm_term=link&utm_medium=social&utm_source=fbCNN&fbclid=IwAR3nsz7rCuAqDVSFf-Do3twYFrFiixwcb2kDP54XV8xbwRL9_uw2iLvlFb0
New saliva-based Covid-19 test could be a fast and cheap 'game changer'. Researchers from the Yale School of Public Health created the SalivaDirect test, which received emergency use authorization from the Food and Drug Administration on Saturday. |
That would be awesome. I hope someone is out there working on a home version of this type of test as well. That would be huge. |
I watched the scientist discuss it with Jim Sciutto this morning (I think it was Jim) and she said it would be $10. So it's cheap but not cheap enough to take daily. |
^ more importantly than cheap is accessible .... do we think it can be widely distributed enough? |
Daily would be great, but even being able to have intermittent access would be helpful, I think. You couldn't test the kids every morning before school, but people could test ahead of family gatherings, for instance. |
Yes it would be OK if I could test just ONE family member rather than all 4 of us. That would be way too much and I"m wealthy. |
According to the Virginia Department of Health website, Key Measures - Coronavirus page, the Northern Region (about 2.35M people) has had one death in the month of August (by Date of Death, not by Date Reported). More could be reported with a lag, but from the graph it is pretty clear that things are looking very positive. Probably positive enough to consider opening schools. |