Who do you think is going to win and why?

[Anonymous]

Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

Trump would have lost in a landslide if the Biden administration hadn’t been captured by progressives.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

The common hood indeed… Vote Trump.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don’t see how anyone can think Harris is going to win. She’s losing Jews, Muslims, blacks, and Hispanics which in total is like 70% of the Democrat base.

Yikes

I’m sure the Jews just love Trump’s Hitler comments.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

The leftists?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Democrats internal polling says so and they are now cutting ads with Trump mentioned in their ads.

Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), Bob Casey (D-PA), Elissa Slotkin (D-MI), Sherrod Brown (D-OH) and Jon Tester (D-MT) all have adds cozying up to Trump to some degree.

Endangered Democrats brag about Trump ties in final stretch

Axios - October 18, 2024

https://www.axios.com/2024/10/18/senate-democrats-campaign-ads-trump-2024

"they are now cutting ads with Trump mentioned in their ads."
Why?

To disassociate themselves from a losing ticket. Gives them more flexibility after the election.

Kamala thinks she's gonna win? I thought everyone on here was saying they know they're gonna lose.

The democrat senate candidates mentioned previously believe she is going to lose. Got it now?

[Anonymous]

Harris will win (but four months ago I thought Trump would win).

I’m voting for Harris.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

Trump would have lost in a landslide if the Biden administration hadn’t been captured by progressives.

I didn’t vote for Biden, but I believe many did because they thought he was a moderate and would return the country to normalcy after the pandemic. Biden thought he had a mandate to be FDR. He went far left with huge spending, open borders, green new deal and rewriting laws protecting girls into laws protecting transgenders.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

Trump would have lost in a landslide if the Biden administration hadn’t been captured by progressives.

Yup. Trump is going to win and it’s because Biden was too far gone to control his extreme progressive staffers, with the exception of Blinken, who went far on supporting Israel.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Not a hard call. First, the polls clearly show he is gaining momentum in the home stretch. That is where you want to be. Second, Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are both disasters. They had some unwarranted hype for a while, but every time people hear them speak, it becomes increasingly clear that neither of them is qualified for the job. It's shocking how inept Harris is for someone who has been in national politics for a while. She can't even credibly respond to basic questions. Really bad. Third, as a general matter, things are not good, and there are credible reasons for blaming the Democrats for the situation.

PP here. Should have also noted that Dem Senate candidates in swing states are now avoiding Biden and Harris and running ads showcasing their ability to work with Trump. That is not a good sign for Harris.

Harris’s lack of competence really should have been a topic more in discussion when Biden dropped out. It’s evident seeing her speak that she’s unprepared. She reads her remarks like it’s the first time she’s ever seen those words and frequently uses the wrong syllable for emphasis or inflection.

The weird thing is that there was a lot of reporting just 2 years ago about how she could not manage her VP office and that people were quitting in droves due to the toxic way she manages her teams.

It feels that the Democratic Party - whoever that is - sleepwalked into this election when alarm bells should have been ringing at least a couple of years ago.

Harris has not been a good VP at all. In addition to contributing little in terms of policy substance, she failed to use the office to build the base of support that would propel her to the presidency.

Biden seemed to realize this, but reacted foolishly by gambling on himself to get reelected. This was madness. His net approval ratings have been underwater since the Afghanistan debacle and his age meant that he was never going to be able to campaign effectively, regardless of who the Republicans nominated.

When he finally saw the writing on the wall, there was still time for a mini-primary to play out. The Obamas withheld their endorsement of Kamala for a few days, which seemed to indicate that this is what they were lobbying for. It would have been a bit messy, but probably would have led to a better outcome than what we have now.

Of course, Biden should have seen the writing on the wall last year and got out of the way in time for a proper primary to play out. I am not confident that a better candidate than Kamala would have emerged, but no one knew much about Barack in 2007 either. Even if Kamala had prevailed, it would have at least given her the exposure needed for the electorate to figure out what she was about.

Ultimately, it felt like the Democratic Party establishment were afraid of provoking a backlash among segments of the party by subjecting Kamala to a primary. But those segments were never going to decide the election. Moderate voters in the rust belt will. That the party favored the sensibilities of party stalwarts over the people they needed to win over to win the election suggests something is seriously broken.

When this is all said and done, the Democratic Party has a lot of introspection ahead of it.

This is a very excellent summary of the situation and how we got here.

One of the biggest tells for me about Harris and her mentality is that I go back and think about what Obama did in 2007 and 2008. He assembled, motivated and led a brilliant of people willing to put their future careers in politics on the line to take on the presumptive nominee, Clinton. I do a lot of recruitment now and it is really impressive what he built from scratch.

Harris instead over her time in the Senate and VP barely even has any loyal staff or advisers. And the clarifying moment for me was when she took over Biden’s campaign apparatus, one of her people was quoted saying “we get the A team now”.

That caused me to think that Obama assembled his own A Team. And it led me to recall that several Democratic senators have cultivated loyal advisers and supporters through their staff and help to place them in good jobs throughout DC as both a reward and to expand their influence. It caused me to think about how being from CA, Harris probably gets inundated with enquiries from motivated, highly skilled and qualified job seekers that she could hire to build a great team. And it caused me to think how crazy it is for Harris to think that there is just one set of good people working in Democratic politics in DC and she was being denied access to them because she was the VP.

I didn’t she she was a great pick for VP in 2020, but it was understandable given the zeitgeist.

She was a token blackish womanish running mate. That was the only reason she was picked.

She was picked because Biden pre-announced that he was going to pick a woman, which narrowed the field down quite a bit. And then it started to become clear that Klobuchar was his top choice. But somehow, someone (and no one knows who), and no one knows who, leaked to the press stories about how Klocuchar potentially railroaded a Black defendant which effectively ended her consideration in the George Floyd aftermath of the time. Then miraculously Harris become the top choice. Because again, she was a women and Biden had committed to select a woman and it seemed important to pick a Black woman because of George Floyd.

My weird belief about Harris is that the most significant thing to happen to her in her life was to become a sorority sister at Howard. She learned and mastered skills there which has helped her to work her way to the top of Democratic politics behind the scenes.

I have no doubt that Harris was the one who leaked the oppo research on Klobuchar and that she has effectively mean girled her way to the top. Just look at how she is at her best and most effective when she is verbally putting people down. She’s a mean girl sorority sister and perhaps the best mean girl sorority sister in history judging by how far it’s taken her.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Economist here. Not a political scientist but if I were a gambling gal and had to put my money down, you can rarely go wrong with, "It's the economy, stupid." as a predictor. So I'd have to put my money on Trump as the winner.

The price of groceries is killing a lot of lower and middle-income families. The latest data on FHA loan delinquency and credit card delinquency is actually quite scary. I make good money and am thankful for that, so I can absorb it, but my blood pressure still rises when I have to pay $7 for a three pack of cucumbers. Chuck roast has gone from mid $4/lb to $6.95 at Costco.

I can't even imagine how frightening the grocery bills are for some young couples just starting in their careers. I remember the early days of married life and entry-level salaries and there were stressful days and sleepless nights. I don't regret it. It's a rite of passage to struggle and save when young and build a nest egg for your golden years, but that was in the boom years of the 90s. Thinking about going through that with grocery prices now literally makes me feel sick.

My analysis of whether Biden/Harris are to blame for the inflation is mostly "yes". She cast the deciding vote on a lot of spending, and that's inflationary for sure.

Trump will inherit an economy of delinquent bills and will be falsely blamed for a coming recession. However, if he exacerbates the situation with tariffs - that's his own stupid fault.

I’m so F’ing SICK AND TIRED of hearing people complaining about the price of groceries. That sh!t is so played out it’s pathetic.

And really, why are we placing so much power in the hands of low income earners who clearly haven’t achieved much in life and are now complaining that hamburger helper is too expensive? Gee, I dunno, maybe you should’ve applied yourself a bit more in school and made something of yourself so the price of groceries aren’t a backbreaker for you? So now you’re going to vote for trump because groceries are expensive and then we get Project 2025 and Handmaid’s Tale and probably world war 3 and irreversible climate change and Jews and LGBTQIA people all getting shipped off to death camps…. because poors voted for trump because groceries cost more.

FML….. this is such bullsh!t.

Well this is quite the dose of some good old-fashioned DCUM classism to read.

You are ridiculous but I do feel the need to point out that the ones who are going to be leaning in hard on shipping Jewish people to death camps are the liberal progressives, not the conservatives. Please get your Nazi fan fiction correct.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win. Because the country is filled with selfish people who don’t understand history, and who have forgotten about the common hood.

Trump would have lost in a landslide if the Biden administration hadn’t been captured by progressives.

Yup. Trump is going to win and it’s because Biden was too far gone to control his extreme progressive staffers, with the exception of Blinken, who went far on supporting Israel.

This is a good take. Ron Klain was probably Biden’s biggest mistake and he staffed the WH and administration when left wing ideologues.

Biden also made problems for himself by overlying promoting his loyal lieutenants, like Blinken. Blinken is not responsible for Israel. Blinken is a lightweight. Jake Sullivan is the one responsible for Israel policy. It’s always the so-called smart guys who believe their own hype that end up screwing up the worst.

[Anonymous]

This thread has me up at 3 am..

[Anonymous]

I think Harris is going to win in a squeaker and ironically, what gets her over the top is winning NC due to a downward drag on Republican/Trump votes due to that Black Republican nutjob running for Governor.

I also predict that Harris will be the most unpopular President ever and despite being elected President and being the most powerful person in the world, we will be told over and over that her unpopularity is due to racism and sexism. Because that’s a pattern for her.

[Anonymous]

Progressives hijacked the party but did so without a plan to succeed. Biden won on a platform to unite the country, but didn’t keep the progressive wing in check. So, now the democrats are stuck with Harris and it is crunch time.

Bringing out the old guard, Obama, Clinton, etc., is a desperation move that is too little too late. Casey running ads that he works well with Trump is a sign of where PA is going.

Would be fitting if Harris has a large, female opera singer perform at her DC event next week. Because it is over.