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						Title says it all, but now that we are 13 days to election day, who do you think is going to win (Trump or Harris) and why (lawn signs, chatter with friends, campaign decisions, etc.)?
 Today, I think Trump is going to win. The move for Harris to hold a rally in TX is interesting, and if TX is in play this whole election got a lot more interesting. I have a feeling the protest abstainers re Gaza are going to impact us here like Bernie Bros in 2016 in key places (MI).  | 
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						I think Trump is going to win.
 Why? Basing this opinion on early returns from swing state voting. No gut feeling; just the numbers that seem to indicate that.  | 
| I think Harris is going to win, because the alternative is too horrifying to occupy my brain. | 
| I desperately hope it’s Harris but I think it will be Trump. | 
						
 Me too.  | 
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						Trump based solely on early voting results. 
 Each day he is gaining more and more of an advantage. For a specific example, in Georgia the number of early votes for African Americans is less than 20 percent. (And, yes, the race is identified on voter registration in Georgia).  | 
| Harris will win and trumpsters will throw everything at it to steal it. The amount of effort they are putting into flooding the space with shit polls is enough proof that they know they are loosing badly. | 
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						55% Trump
 45% Harris I suspect there are secret Trump voters.  | 
| At this point I really do not care. | 
| I think Harris will lose because of Gaza | 
						
 Trump may well win, but those are silly numbers. The last candidate to get over 54% was Reagan in '84.  | 
						
 This. I know a lot of registered Democrats who vote Republican. This is a big thing in Maryland. It is useless to be registered as a Republican in Maryland. Registering as a Democrat allows you to vote and have impact in local elections. Additionally, registering as a Democrat shields you from the hate speech of many and allows your children to have play dates.  | 
| I thought Trump was going to win from June 2016 onwards, I thought Biden was going to win from about August 2020, and as it stands now, I have no idea. I feel like I’m navigating blind. | 
							
						
 That is my opinion of his chance of winning.  | 
| I’m based in California, so probably not the best judge, but my strong feeling is that Trump will win. |