Who do you think is going to win and why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump.

When you call half the country garbage, or call them nazis you’re really desperate.

Biden tried to eat a babies leg and his escort (I’m not sure it was Jill I think it was his hospice nurse) in a panda suit and your VP who wasn’t elected but appointed by the Democrat politburo calling half the country nazis you’re in a bad place.

When the issue is the economy and illegal alien migration and you presided over a terrible economy and the invasion of 10s of millions of illegals you’re going to lose

MAGA loves to point out how weak the economy is, despite near-record low unemployment, consistent economic growth, strong equity markets, and inflation running below 3%.

The employment numbers are revised so much that it is a joke. She is talking about forcing prices at groceries which will lead to shortages -no idea on finance .Allowed millions of people to just walk through border and would not change a thing.Refused to hold press conferences and will only talk to media that she knows will not press her. Basically if you are happy with things now then vote Harris. If not then vote Trump.

Because if you are worried about food shortages you should definitely vote for the guy planning to deport a quarter of the ag workforce. And if you are worried about prices you should definitely vite for the guy threatening to put tariffs of 20-100% on things. And if you worried about the border you should vote for the guy who killed the border bill.

Basically if you care more about stupid ideas that will make your life worse you should vote for Trump— I’m sure you can find someone else to blame when things go to crap for you.

My family owns bunch of farms and the new kind of immigrants coming from border don't want to work at farms. They want free handouts. Stop spreading FUDs about farming.

Devin is that you? Don’t worry Harris isn’t vindictive like Trump and won’t send INS to shut down the dairy farms.

[Anonymous]

It’s enemies list vs to do list. I am not confident which America will pick but I feel ok

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:I want trump and his economy back. Tired of the stupid regulations and overspending of the Biden administration. It’s causing a pinch across all Americans.

RFK is a bonus deal to Trump. Clean up our food supply

So you don’t support government regulations, but want the government to clean up the food supply?

Got it.

How crazy is it that people like *some* spending but not other spending? Weird, right?

The food supply could use a major overhaul. The factory farming model has helped Monsanto and Perdue and their ilk (and the pharmaceutical industry) but it's been bad for:

Farmers, who destroy their land with an unprofitable and subsidized commodity corn, soybean model,

Animals who live and die in abhorrent conditions

The environment, which wasn't made for monoculture and intensive concentration of animals in close quarters

People who consume highly processed food that makes us fatter and sicker every year.

You do realize that the Republican Party is literally in bed with all of those companies and constituencies, right?

RFK Jr is a foolish tool being used by Trump. He will not get anywhere near to "clean up America's food supply." All those companies will triple-down on their current practices under Trump. USDA will be toothless.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It’s enemies list vs to do list. I am not confident which America will pick but I feel ok

Correction. It’s an enemies list versus a can’t do list.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Trump spent the entire campaign calling Harris supporters garbage and vermin and his rally called Puerto Ricans garbage but when Biden says that’s garbage everyone gets the vapors. The manufactured outrage isn’t going to work this time.

Also it is Trump’s own chief of staff and chairman of the joint chiefs calling him a fascist and wanna be dictator and he has said he wants to be a dictator. That has never happened before in American history and sane people are taking note.

Idk about the manufactured part of Biden calling people garbage. The TikTok kids have embraced that with vigor and I’m seeing as many remixes with the audio in my feed as I saw with the “They’re eating the dogs! They’re eating the cats!” audio. I love both — the TikTok kids are so funny and clever — but I don’t think they’d be doing that if the Biden audio was faked.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s enemies list vs to do list. I am not confident which America will pick but I feel ok

Correction. It’s an enemies list versus a can’t do list.

WHY IS THERE AN 'ENEMIES' LIST?

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump will win because voters realize his first term wasn’t that bad, despite his personal proclivities. Harris doesn’t have the gravitas to overcome that.

It really is that simple.

I agree. Lots of people are not going to be able to pull the lever for Kamala. She's simply too random, and was forced upon us. And I'm a lifelong Democrat. I voted early and had a hard time doing it.

I completely disagree. I don't think there has ever been an easier presidential election choice. Trump is completely unfit. Harris is competent, choosing her is a piece of cake

She also will be able to attract a competent staff which is important. Obviously these are the people doing the lion's share of the work. Most of the people that work for Trump end up being horrified by him and put out warnings not to elect him.

This! Harris will surround herself with intelligent people and she will listen to them. Trump surrounds himself with yes men who assure him that he is king.

I thought Biden would surround himself with intelligent competent people, especially because of how incapacitated he was, and then we got an absolutely disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, consumer goods inflation, gutting of Title 9, radical leftist open border policies, and unchecked money out the door to Ukraine and Israel, so I simply don’t buy that any more.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s enemies list vs to do list. I am not confident which America will pick but I feel ok

Correction. It’s an enemies list versus a can’t do list.

that doesn't make me feel any better. why come in with an enemies list? that's literally his first priority???

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:I can’t get my head around how this election is this close and how folks are saying landslide for Trump. I am a moderate. I would vote a moderate R over someone like Bernie Sanders 100% of the time. But Trump just crosses a line. I just don’t understand the logic of someone voting for him let alone the real potential he might win.

Just the fact that I can’t logically fathom how someone could vote for Trump makes me think or want to think Harris will win. But when she doesn’t I think the cognitive dissonance is going to just shock us all.

The reason why it can be a landslide for Trump is precisely that it is so close. If there is a polling miss of just 2%, Trump could win 300 EVs. But the same thing goes in the other direction for Harris. Models estimate that there is a 60% chance that either Trump or Harris will win in a blowout and that will be the best outcome for America. A definitive result.

Yes. But there is also the bad case scenario. Harris narrowly wins the Electoral College - MI, PA, and WI only gets her 270. That's it. It's not a blowout. It could be that Trump wins the popular vote and loses the election

In which case, I expect long lines to Canada. Because that brings serious instability.

Who are the people who believe this? I can guarantee you one thing, Trump will not win the popular vote. I can't predict the electoral college, but that popular vote will not go to him. Trump was at his peak popularity in 2020 when he got millions of conservative and radical people to come out of the woodwork and vote, and he still only hit 46.8%. There is absolutely no way that he is swaying 3.2% of the vote to vote for him. In 2020 terms, that would be 5M additional votes on top of what he had last time. Or 5M votes swinging from the Democratic side to the Republican side. Yes, there are thousands of voters who are changing their vote from last time, but there are many who are going in both directions, so the possibility of there being a 5M differential in shift in one direction is not really at all likely. Especially with all the things that he has done in the last several months.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Good majority of Asian Americans are voting for Trump through out the country contributing to the popular vote for Trump and 480,000+ Asian Americans in the Northern VA area will turn VA Red.

Strange because I am Asian American and I don't know many of my peers who are voting for Trump. Trump encouraged a huge amount of anti-Asian sentiment in this country when he was president. He perpetuated racist false narratives like calling Covid the Ch1na Plague and suggesting that it was bioengineered in a Chinese lab and intentionally released. Asian violence hit record highs during his presidency. Many of my peers remember seeing the video of the Asian American senior who was assaulted on a street corner in San Francisco and nearly died in the hospital. And the Asian American men in Chicago who was stalked and beaten. And many more instances.

I know many Asian Americans in NoVa (I live in MD) who voted Republican for Youngkin but they were doing this because they were voting against McAuliffe and his stupid school policies. The ones I know are going back to voting Democratic in this election.

So, I'd have to see some references to why you believe that Asian Americans are going to vote en masse against their own interests for a man that has encouraged violence against our kind. I can understand some people voting for other issues, but I still see a majority of Asian Americans voting Democratic this election.

[Anonymous]

Trump will win.🏆

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I can’t get my head around how this election is this close and how folks are saying landslide for Trump. I am a moderate. I would vote a moderate R over someone like Bernie Sanders 100% of the time. But Trump just crosses a line. I just don’t understand the logic of someone voting for him let alone the real potential he might win.

Just the fact that I can’t logically fathom how someone could vote for Trump makes me think or want to think Harris will win. But when she doesn’t I think the cognitive dissonance is going to just shock us all.

The reason why it can be a landslide for Trump is precisely that it is so close. If there is a polling miss of just 2%, Trump could win 300 EVs. But the same thing goes in the other direction for Harris. Models estimate that there is a 60% chance that either Trump or Harris will win in a blowout and that will be the best outcome for America. A definitive result.

Yes. But there is also the bad case scenario. Harris narrowly wins the Electoral College - MI, PA, and WI only gets her 270. That's it. It's not a blowout. It could be that Trump wins the popular vote and loses the election

In which case, I expect long lines to Canada. Because that brings serious instability.

Who are the people who believe this? I can guarantee you one thing, Trump will not win the popular vote. I can't predict the electoral college, but that popular vote will not go to him. Trump was at his peak popularity in 2020 when he got millions of conservative and radical people to come out of the woodwork and vote, and he still only hit 46.8%. There is absolutely no way that he is swaying 3.2% of the vote to vote for him. In 2020 terms, that would be 5M additional votes on top of what he had last time. Or 5M votes swinging from the Democratic side to the Republican side. Yes, there are thousands of voters who are changing their vote from last time, but there are many who are going in both directions, so the possibility of there being a 5M differential in shift in one direction is not really at all likely. Especially with all the things that he has done in the last several months.

Agree. The people who think he will win the popular vote must be the same ones who thinks he takes every swing state and go on with posting crap like, "NJ and NY are in play!!!" It's totally delusional.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I just don’t see how the betting markets could get it that wrong. It’s 60-40 for Trump right now, but of course with two weeks to go things could change

This. Betting markets are different from the polls. Polls show who people hope to win. Betting market show who people pick if they have money on the line.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Good majority of Asian Americans are voting for Trump through out the country contributing to the popular vote for Trump and 480,000+ Asian Americans in the Northern VA area will turn VA Red.

MAGA fanfic.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I can’t get my head around how this election is this close and how folks are saying landslide for Trump. I am a moderate. I would vote a moderate R over someone like Bernie Sanders 100% of the time. But Trump just crosses a line. I just don’t understand the logic of someone voting for him let alone the real potential he might win.

Just the fact that I can’t logically fathom how someone could vote for Trump makes me think or want to think Harris will win. But when she doesn’t I think the cognitive dissonance is going to just shock us all.

The reason why it can be a landslide for Trump is precisely that it is so close. If there is a polling miss of just 2%, Trump could win 300 EVs. But the same thing goes in the other direction for Harris. Models estimate that there is a 60% chance that either Trump or Harris will win in a blowout and that will be the best outcome for America. A definitive result.

Yes. But there is also the bad case scenario. Harris narrowly wins the Electoral College - MI, PA, and WI only gets her 270. That's it. It's not a blowout. It could be that Trump wins the popular vote and loses the election

In which case, I expect long lines to Canada. Because that brings serious instability.

Who are the people who believe this? I can guarantee you one thing, Trump will not win the popular vote. I can't predict the electoral college, but that popular vote will not go to him. Trump was at his peak popularity in 2020 when he got millions of conservative and radical people to come out of the woodwork and vote, and he still only hit 46.8%. There is absolutely no way that he is swaying 3.2% of the vote to vote for him. In 2020 terms, that would be 5M additional votes on top of what he had last time. Or 5M votes swinging from the Democratic side to the Republican side. Yes, there are thousands of voters who are changing their vote from last time, but there are many who are going in both directions, so the possibility of there being a 5M differential in shift in one direction is not really at all likely. Especially with all the things that he has done in the last several months.

Look at the early voting statistics and the large number of protest votes for “other”. It is going to come down to which candidate does a better job of delivering their base and swaying the most independents.

No candidate will get 50% of the vote and given the number of protest votes this cycle the winner may not get 45%.

That is how Trump can win the popular vote.