Dow below 40000 by end of the year

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

As long as it doesn't affect the world economy.

[Anonymous]

That's a 16 percent drop. The chances of that are very small, but real. But that's why the returns on stocks are, on average, much higher than safer investments: Investors require that higher expected return to balance the risk of a larger downturn.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

As long as it doesn't affect the world economy.

True. But if you can time that, you're a Rothschild or Wallenberg or Metzler and you're not on DCUM.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

China has 12 months of oil reserve ......And India 2 months....

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

As long as it doesn't affect the world economy.

True. But if you can time that, you're a Rothschild or Wallenberg or Metzler and you're not on DCUM.

Very true. I agree with you there.

[Anonymous]

Yes but it will be gradual. Not 40000, 45000 more likely

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

China has 12 months of oil reserve ......And India 2 months....

India will get oil from Russia. Russia is in love with Trump right about now.

[Anonymous]

It will hit $60k this year.

[Anonymous]

Stocks can’t fall now, indexes and algos will always jump to prop it up at any drop. Look at last 3 days.

Most returns are made on a few key days, people are terrified to miss them so don’t sit out for long.

It’s called the Best Days Theory or something like that. Algorithms are constantly trying to game buying to maximize on those days, and they usually come after drops.

For example, looking at a typical 20-year window: 
• Fully invested: You might see an annualized return of ~7-9%.
• Missing the 10 best days: Your return might drop to ~3-4%.
• Missing the 30 best days: You might actually lose money or break even, despite the market being up significantly over those two decades.

[Anonymous]

Yes but Israel is getting another 50 billion of our taxes so it's ok.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

If the war lasts longer than 60 days then we are as incapable as Russia. While it may be necessary to return periodically to Iran to reset their capabilities if their ability to act in an offensive manner using any modern weapon systems is not decimated in two months where the Dow is in December won’t really matter.

[Anonymous]

Folks pay attention to the credit market. It's another quite crisis unfolded

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If the war last longer than 6 months yes

We were at war for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan and the market did great.

I know we are invincible.

That was not my point. My point was that another middle-east war is not going to cause a major stock market correction.

As long as it doesn't affect the world economy.

Good luck with that. I'm seeing the price of jet fuel has more than doubled in a week due to severe supply constraints and none in storage due to the nature of it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Folks pay attention to the credit market. It's another quite crisis unfolded

Duh The Fed had been handing cash with a bazouka post COVID. And now the new Fed Chair an even greater fan of Wall Street will hand over the cash machine to Wall Street so they can print as much money as they need. So ridiculous.

[Anonymous]

Dow at 53 or 54K, S&P at 7,200.