Dow below 40000 by end of the year

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For those who are not aware of new to investing there is always going to be socialism for the market. The US government will always and I repeat always bail out the market if things get really bad. For this reason stay invested.

If you get fired that's capitalism for you. The government calls it efficient and it won't come to your rescue.

So remember this socialism for wall street and capitalism for main street. For this reason don't sell. Even if Dow goes to 30,000 it will go back up. The government will bail out the market always. I'm so surprised people don't know this.

Good luck timing that socialism though. That's where you need Pelosi level access to actually profit. Feel free to keep catching the falling knife!

NP-- why do you say "feel free to keep catching the falling knife!"

Seems to me that what the PP is planning is to not cash out-- I.e., not catch the falling knife. Why do you say they are catching the falling knife?

Thanks!

[Anonymous]

The S&P 500 is down 7.4% from its prewar high. The reason it's not down more is because the market expects things to settle down soon..if that does not happen, if this drags until.ghe summer starts no doubt an additional 20% drop is likely. Lots of things like medicine depends on petroleum products. Some part of the world like Asia and Western Europe can't continue this way based on whatever reserves they have.

My only advice to people is keep investing but also keep pumping money into HYSA because the next Fed Chair will unleash a massive bazooka of cheap money to his boys on wall street. They are salivating and can't wait until the guys come in because he is absolutely going to keep cutting rate and decimate your HYSA rates. They don't want ordinary people earning whatever small interest they are earning on their HYSA. They want to force everyone to take the same risks as them and sink together with them.

Next time note better Idiots.

[Anonymous]

I want a 50% correction. Since COVID people have lost their mind. Because of VOO and the likes people think investing is risk free. And the greedy AI investors pumping cash left and right into the market further inflating sticks has gotten out of control. They all think it's the good rush all over again. I'm sure some people think that 2008 crash and the prior crashes going back all the way to 1929 were probably fake news and never happened.

Some people now think a 7% return over the long run is "bad". They will benefit from a -50% to reset their expectations.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I want a 50% correction. Since COVID people have lost their mind. Because of VOO and the likes people think investing is risk free. And the greedy AI investors pumping cash left and right into the market further inflating sticks has gotten out of control. They all think it's the good rush all over again. I'm sure some people think that 2008 crash and the prior crashes going back all the way to 1929 were probably fake news and never happened.

Some people now think a 7% return over the long run is "bad". They will benefit from a -50% to reset their expectations.

So, you are hoping that people lose money, maybe to the point that their retirements are threatened? So they will learn some sort of lesson?

Isn’t that mean spirited? Is that the way you treat people in real life?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I want a 50% correction. Since COVID people have lost their mind. Because of VOO and the likes people think investing is risk free. And the greedy AI investors pumping cash left and right into the market further inflating sticks has gotten out of control. They all think it's the good rush all over again. I'm sure some people think that 2008 crash and the prior crashes going back all the way to 1929 were probably fake news and never happened.

Some people now think a 7% return over the long run is "bad". They will benefit from a -50% to reset their expectations.

So, you are hoping that people lose money, maybe to the point that their retirements are threatened? So they will learn some sort of lesson?

Isn’t that mean spirited? Is that the way you treat people in real life?

If people near retirement haven't made the adjustment and got caught up it's on them.

[Anonymous]

How about 35000 points? It amazes me how much we are ignoring the looming energy crisis that will affect the rest of the world (and us as well).

Even if everything is solved an hour from now it will take months for things to go back to normal and energy assets to move again the way they are supposed to move.

And there is a 100% certainty that inflation will go up and move further away from the delusional 2% target? On top it add an overheated economy full of cash thanks to massive tax cuts and an obsession with rate cuts.

[Anonymous]

Wishing a crash into existence because of politics doesn’t make it so.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:How about 35000 points? It amazes me how much we are ignoring the looming energy crisis that will affect the rest of the world (and us as well).

Even if everything is solved an hour from now it will take months for things to go back to normal and energy assets to move again the way they are supposed to move.

And there is a 100% certainty that inflation will go up and move further away from the delusional 2% target? On top it add an overheated economy full of cash thanks to massive tax cuts and an obsession with rate cuts.

Fear mongering

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I had a liquidity event earlier this year, and now have a few million sitting in SGOV. Don't want to catch this falling knife. Hard to see what the timeline looks like on this mini-correction.

The way it's looking now, market is anticipating a ground invasion of Iran. If there are concrete steps taken wherein it's clear that won't happen, I think we see green for the next 6 months.

The market is NOT anticipating American troops on the ground in Iran. Should that happen, we can expect oil and gas infrastructure in the Persian Gulf to be completely destroyed. It would take many years to bring it back online. It would likely also be the beginning of the end for the petrodollar. Plus, it is militarily impossible to secure the Hormuz Strait from threats to shipping. There is no way tankers are getting insurance without safe passage guarantees from Iran. Which means no tankers for Europe or Asia for a very long time. An American boot touching Iranian soil spells catastrophe. And that is not priced in at all.

There won't be troops on the ground. It's a vast country and ran by fanatics. I don't think we are going to send in troops. And if we do, for what purpose? That county is ruined anyways, they will collapse on their own weight.

Now when Libya collapsed I don't think the surrounding countries were affected much. I don't know much about geopolitics but I have eyes that can look a map and I can read the names of the countries surrounding that country. If that country collapses, can we say confidently that surrounding countries won't be affected? I have no idea. But let's assume that if it collapses whatever is left is super friendly to the west and will facilitate the commercialization of gas and oil, will that nascent country be able to do so at minimal cost? Or will.tnos cause a permanent increase in the price of oil and gas.

I think some of us are just so clueless but acting like they know everything. I do also realize that it's very American for us to always be optimistic. Honestly I have no idea about what's to come.

Whether comes next the market will react either positively or negatively because the repercussions will be felt sooner or later by everyday people.

Your first mistake is assuming at all that this administration is making these decisions for the good of this country overall, and assuming that "reason" beyond the selfish dicktatorial goals of a few world leaders is operating here. And you seem to not be factoring in the very few leaders who totally benefit from a total disaster including a ground invasion. Once you try to reason from those blatantly wrong assumptions your post indicates, the rest of what you say is irrelevant.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I want a 50% correction. Since COVID people have lost their mind. Because of VOO and the likes people think investing is risk free. And the greedy AI investors pumping cash left and right into the market further inflating sticks has gotten out of control. They all think it's the good rush all over again. I'm sure some people think that 2008 crash and the prior crashes going back all the way to 1929 were probably fake news and never happened.

Some people now think a 7% return over the long run is "bad". They will benefit from a -50% to reset their expectations.

So, you are hoping that people lose money, maybe to the point that their retirements are threatened? So they will learn some sort of lesson?

Isn’t that mean spirited? Is that the way you treat people in real life?

If people near retirement haven't made the adjustment and got caught up it's on them.

You're either trolling or you're an idiot who assumes that everyone near retirement has even a little depth of understanding of how these world events already is and will continue to affect them. That's an unreasonable assumption to make because the US has never been a society that goes to any lengths to really invest in upping the national financial literacy of everyday folks.

[Anonymous]

Looks like another insider trading tip was activated this weekend. To make it looks like it's not "insider trading" tip, nonsensical armageddon like 5th grade level statements were made before the future market opens today. Of course the concerned actors will take the necessary bets and cash in as usual.

.

[Anonymous]

The idiocy of our fellow citizens who fell for this scam is infuriating. Now we are all paying the price. Thanks idiots!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The idiocy of our fellow citizens who fell for this scam is infuriating. Now we are all paying the price. Thanks idiots!

They’re still waiting for their tariff refund

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I want a 50% correction. Since COVID people have lost their mind. Because of VOO and the likes people think investing is risk free. And the greedy AI investors pumping cash left and right into the market further inflating sticks has gotten out of control. They all think it's the good rush all over again. I'm sure some people think that 2008 crash and the prior crashes going back all the way to 1929 were probably fake news and never happened.

Some people now think a 7% return over the long run is "bad". They will benefit from a -50% to reset their expectations.

So, you are hoping that people lose money, maybe to the point that their retirements are threatened? So they will learn some sort of lesson?

Isn’t that mean spirited? Is that the way you treat people in real life?

If people near retirement haven't made the adjustment and got caught up it's on them.

It'll end up being on all of us, PP.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The idiocy of our fellow citizens who fell for this scam is infuriating. Now we are all paying the price. Thanks idiots!

+1. I am not saying that I am "better" than other Americans. However, I am honestly surprised at the rather not small number of our fellow Americans who are extremely mean.