2024 POTUS - polling only

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Trump is probably going to win. There has been too much erosion among Democratic leaning voter blocks. Latino and Black voters are both showing less support for Harris in 2024 than Biden in 2020.


https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/10/07/korean-asian-americans-georgia-economy-00182370
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Trump is probably going to win. There has been too much erosion among Democratic leaning voter blocks. Latino and Black voters are both showing less support for Harris in 2024 than Biden in 2020.


Maybe he’ll win. Not probably. People are tired of the Trump show and he’s too Debbie Downer for independents.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Trump is probably going to win. There has been too much erosion among Democratic leaning voter blocks. Latino and Black voters are both showing less support for Harris in 2024 than Biden in 2020.


https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/10/07/korean-asian-americans-georgia-economy-00182370


And at the same time any woman with an IQ over 90, as well as many seniors who want to protect their retirement and most independents and traditional conservatives have migrated to support Harris.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Trump is probably going to win. There has been too much erosion among Democratic leaning voter blocks. Latino and Black voters are both showing less support for Harris in 2024 than Biden in 2020.


https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/10/07/korean-asian-americans-georgia-economy-00182370


And at the same time any woman with an IQ over 90, as well as many seniors who want to protect their retirement and most independents and traditional conservatives have migrated to support Harris.


This is interesting. You’re right that a lot of seniors can’t trust Trump on entitlements. They’ve seen bad economies and know this one is good. Trump is reckless and selfish.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Put your money down.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024


Pretty sure this just demonstrates which candidate’s supporters have the most money to burn.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Put your money down.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024


Americans can't wager on Polymarket. And you have to use crypto to place bets. It's got a majorly skewed rightwing user base.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Put your money down.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024


Americans can't wager on Polymarket. And you have to use crypto to place bets. It's got a majorly skewed rightwing user base.


Oh, OK. That must be it. Whatever you have to tell yourself to keep your sanity.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Put your money down.

https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024


Americans can't wager on Polymarket. And you have to use crypto to place bets. It's got a majorly skewed rightwing user base.


Oh, OK. That must be it. Whatever you have to tell yourself to keep your sanity.


Polymarket was completely wrong on Harris's VP pick. Shapiro and Kelly were leading until the very end. Walz only spiked like 10-15 minutes before the official announcement (clearly Polymarket has an issue with insider trading).
Anonymous
Please stop posting the stupid RMG, Rasmussen, and Polymarket polls. They are junk polls that poll biased datasets. They are right biased sources and they aren't scientific or realistic in their polling methods or their source voters.

Not worth citing.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:


This is actually good for Harris. Cygnal is a right biased pollster. If you have to look for a biased pollster to get a Trump 1% lead in bellwether locations, then in reality, Harris is probably favored by at least 2-3% in the bellwether location.
Anonymous
Anonymous
Anonymous
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/upshot/florida-poll-harris-trump.html

We have three new New York Times/Siena College polls this morning. Only two look “normal.”

The national poll is one of the normal-looking results: It finds Kamala Harris ahead by four percentage points nationwide, 49 percent to 46 percent (these are rounded figures), compared with her three-point lead in The New York Times’s polling average. It’s her best national Times/Siena poll of the cycle.

Our first Texas poll of the cycle also looks “normal.” Donald J. Trump leads by six points, 50 percent to 44 percent, another tally that’s right in line with the polling average and close to the 2020 result.

And then there’s Florida.

Our first poll of the state this cycle finds Mr. Trump ahead by a staggering 13 points, 55 percent to 41 percent (again, rounded figures). This looks nothing like the other polls of the state. Heading into today, Mr. Trump led Florida in the Times average of all polls by just four points.
Anonymous
I think the one thing everyone can agree on is that this is going to be a VERY close election and no one can afford to sit it out or waste their vote on a hopeless 3rd party candidate. When all the votes are counted, I believe we will see the highest turnout of all time.
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