2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

Obviously. That's why we have the tall and pretty Senator Loeffler, instead of that short dumpy looking Warnock....

+1

And if we’re seriously just going by looks, Blake looks like a blend of Jared “I’m a real boy” Kushner/Skeletor/Graves disease. Handsome he is not.

Can we actually talk about what the f is going on with his face and body? Does he have an eating disorder?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

[Anonymous]

Why the f**k is Oz throwing campaign events using literally Nazi paraphernalia

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/dr-oz-adolf-hitler-car/amp

[Anonymous]

So all the anti-abortion MAGAs are cool with Herschel Walker paying women to have abortions?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Why the f**k is Oz throwing campaign events using literally Nazi paraphernalia

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/dr-oz-adolf-hitler-car/amp

Because that’s who the GOP is.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why the f**k is Oz throwing campaign events using literally Nazi paraphernalia

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/dr-oz-adolf-hitler-car/amp

Because that’s who the GOP is.

I know.

And I know there is no Fing way a republican would step up and be like “you know what, you’re right. It’s f**king unacceptable that these people try to signal their support for nazis at campaign events. I finally now see that the Republican Party has taken a dangerous turn toward violent fascism and their worship of the German nazi who committed unthinkable atrocities in World War II is simply sick. As an American, my grandfather fought against Nazi rule and fought to end those atrocities. I am proud that he did. I believe in the greatness of America - the one that fought again Nazis - instead of praising them. I want to make America great like that, again.”

Nope, no republican would ever say that. I would. A democrat and the granddaughter of two courageous World War II vets (one of whom killed Nazis on the beaches on D Day). I also happen to be a Jew.

Seriously, F**k the MAGA sh!ts who have destroyed this country. You think this is a f**king game? You disgraces my grandfathers who fought the Nazis. You probably disgrace your own grandfathers, who may very well have done the same.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

And you want women to be dependent on predatory corporatist business owners that want them to be have as few kids as possible so they can’t use FMLA benefits and don’t take any time off from their 9-5 job. God forbid a woman thinks having a family is more rewarding than slaving away for some jerk boss who will use them up for their labor and fire them at the drop of a hat.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

And you want women to be dependent on predatory corporatist business owners that want them to be have as few kids as possible so they can’t use FMLA benefits and don’t take any time off from their 9-5 job. God forbid a woman thinks having a family is more rewarding than slaving away for some jerk boss who will use them up for their labor and fire them at the drop of a hat.

This is nonsensical. Democrats don’t have a problem with SAHM. But we do want women to have the choice. You don’t.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

Nope. You said "force women to give birth" and put "killing and maiming some of them" in parenthesis. You put the destruction of careers ahead of relationships and families because that's a priority to you.

[Anonymous]

Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.