2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

Nope. You said "force women to give birth" and put "killing and maiming some of them" in parenthesis. You put the destruction of careers ahead of relationships and families because that's a priority to you.

It came first, parenthesis or not.

Also, I’m a stay at home mother

AND I understand how the economy depends on both sexes holding jobs.

You have no leg to stand on, poor thing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Latest AZ polls from RCP. Notice the trend line.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/az/arizona-senate-masters-vs-kelly-7390.html#polls

Undecideds deciding and Republicans coming home. Will be interesting. Think Kelly wins handily.

Masters is clearly the underdog, but he has a few things going for him: favorable trend in narrowing the gap, potential Lake coat tails, gas at $4.50 in Nevada--up 30 cents from last week, and Peter Thiel money.

I don't know. This article in the WaPo shows that despite Masters keeping the polling race close, that there are still major hurdles that he is unlikely to overcome:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/10/05/arizona-poll-republican-candidates/

A new CBS News/YouGov poll out of Arizona is one of the best distillations of this dynamic to date. It shows GOP Senate candidate Blake Masters, who has largely been abandoned by the GOP establishment, trailing Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) by just three points, 51 percent to 48 percent. That’s a margin-of-error race, and it’s one of the closest polls to date (though a couple others have shown the race very close as well).

So have voters suddenly warmed to Masters? Not really.

Despite him being competitive with Kelly in the poll, it also shows 55 percent of Arizonans say Masters is “extreme” rather than “mainstream.” It also shows a whopping 63 percent say they dislike how Masters handles himself personally.

And many Republicans share these views. About 3 in 10 (29 percent) say Masters is extreme, while 26 percent dislike him personally. But only 12 percent decline to support him. He gains the support of nearly 9 in 10 Republicans, including many who regard him as extreme and don’t like him.

Masters is also polling competitively despite the alternative being quite a broadly acceptable candidate. The poll shows voters say they like Kelly personally by a 57-43 margin — including 24 percent of Republicans. Just 34 percent of voters regard him as extreme. And yet, the poll suggests, he might lose anyway.

So, yes, Masters is the under dog. There is a debate tomorrow evening that may shed light on how this race advances.

Did anyone watch the debate? I think the strategy to paint Kelly as a Bernie-style liberal was weak, and unlikely to convince any voters.

The abortion stuff was brutal.

Masters kept trying to use the lie about 87,000 IRS agents. Does that lie actually work? Do people actually get upset at the thought of tax cheats getting caught?

Neither distinguished themselves on abortion. Kelly was weak on the border issue. Masters got in a zinger that electing Kelly would be electing a third senator from California. Overall edge to Masters but unclear whom the debate will sway.

Everything I read said opposite.

You know the debate is on YouTube. You could actually form your own opinion by watching it yourself.

Optics is everything in debates and it was not a good look for an older, disheveled Kelly to stand next to a much taller, better looking, younger guy. Stuff like this is why Nixon got beat by Kennedy. Optics and one liners win debates and Masters won in both categories by any reasonably nonpartisan standard. Kelly is going to lose this election by 3-5%. Bookmark this post.

If it's optics that matters, Masters comes off as a complete lunatic on the immigration questions and incredibly evasive over the abortion questions.

Optics doesn’t mean what you think it means. People are way more superficial than you think. Being good looking and younger and taller than your opponent counts for a lot more than you think it does.

So running for Congress is now basically a beauty pageant in MAGA world? Be "good looking" and just say what the judges (voters) want to hear?

The voters want to hear that you are fighting for the the protections of Roe v Wade that we all had for almost 50 years. The majority do not want to drag their daughters backwards on this issue and will vote accordingly. Very important issue

LOL. For the majority of voters, this whole abortion issue is way down on the list... behind inflation, gas prices, safety and crime, and a few other more important issues.
Of course, none of those top issues favors Democrats so they are going hard and heavy after abortion even though *they* are the extreme ones. No limits? That is extreme.

It’s not extreme to trust women and their doctors to make healthcare decisions. Who wants the government making healthcare decisions? I certainly don’t.

Forced birthers are the extremists, no matter what Fox News says.

It's mind-boggling that we even have to point this out!!!

So you agree that it was okay for Herschel Walker to pay for a woman to end her pregnancy? He's a hypocrite if he's lying about it but what he did was not a problem? He didn't force her to give birth. He helped her by giving her money to abort the fetus they created together.

Of course it was OK. The issue is that he's a lying liar and wants to force everyone else to give birth!!!
He recently said there was nothing wrong with helping her get an abortion, so clearly he's taking a page out of the Trump book, and despite having no moral conviction on this, he PRETENDS to have one just because it's easier to be a Republican in Georgia than a Democrat.

There is nothing worse than someone who will blithely vote to force women to give birth (killing and maiming some of them in the process), and destroying thousands of careers, relationship and family lives in the process, just because of a cynical calculation that election is more likely with that political stance.

He's a disgusting leech on the body politic.

Just like so many other Republicans who have also paid for their girlfriends' abortion, and who court the forced birth Christo-fascist vote out of political expediency.

It's telling that you put "destroying thousands of careers" first in your list. How sad to make that your first consideration.

It's telling that you can't read, since I put killing and maiming first. But it's not surprising that forced birthers like you have poor reading skills.
And careers are important! But I'm sure you want women to stay home and be dependent on their husbands.

Nope. You said "force women to give birth" and put "killing and maiming some of them" in parenthesis. You put the destruction of careers ahead of relationships and families because that's a priority to you.

It came first, parenthesis or not.

Also, I’m a stay at home mother

AND I understand how the economy depends on both sexes holding jobs.

You have no leg to stand on, poor thing.

As a mom who's worked outside the home for years, I do understand and am not totally opposed to abortion. I also think it's wrong to abort life for a career.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

As a 55-year old woman, abortion not important to me personally. BUT...women's rights are important to me. Girls' rights are important to me. Making abortion illegal or severely limiting them takes away those rights. THAT is what I care about. A LOT! Without those rights, gas prices are meaningless.

Signed,
A Stay-At-Home Adoptive and Biological Mom

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

You clearly haven’t noticed that he lies his ass off about everything.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

This woman may be telling the truth, but women do lie. Please don't kid yourself otherwise.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

This woman may be telling the truth, but women do lie. Please don't kid yourself otherwise.

Herschel Walker is a proven liar yet you’re trying to pretend otherwise. You’re not to be taken seriously.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

This woman may be telling the truth, but women do lie. Please don't kid yourself otherwise.

Herschel Walker is a proven liar yet you’re trying to pretend otherwise. You’re not to be taken seriously.

I don't care if YOU take me seriously or not. I made a statement and stick by it. He may be lying about this particular issue, but we don't know yet for sure. People lie all the time about things and not others. If you don't know that yet, you will.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

This woman may be telling the truth, but women do lie. Please don't kid yourself otherwise.

Herschel Walker is a proven liar yet you’re trying to pretend otherwise. You’re not to be taken seriously.

He is not exactly a proven liar. The charges were made by someone who remains anonymous. She has a receipt from the Atlanta Women's Health Center from 2009 for &575 (no specific procedure noted, but purportedly for an abortion).

Her name is still not known, but it was made available to Walker after the initial anonymous accusation. Walker acknowledges she is the mother of one of his children, whom he supports. She is also a democratic activist. The other pieces of evidence she has offered is a get well soon card she says Walker sent several weeks later (no verification of date sent) along with a check from Walker for $700, which as far as I know has not been documented publicly.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Leftists: Abortion is so important that all the Democrats will be elected everywhere.

Truth: People care more about gas prices and not being nuked.

MAGA cultists: abortions for me, not for thee.

Abortionists: Life for me; death for thee.

Like Herschel Walker, amirite?

If he aborted a baby, yes. He says he didn't.

The women say different.

And?? We believe alk women?

I’d believe them over a proven liar.

This woman may be telling the truth, but women do lie. Please don't kid yourself otherwise.

Herschel Walker is a proven liar yet you’re trying to pretend otherwise. You’re not to be taken seriously.

He is not exactly a proven liar. The charges were made by someone who remains anonymous. She has a receipt from the Atlanta Women's Health Center from 2009 for &575 (no specific procedure noted, but purportedly for an abortion).

Her name is still not known, but it was made available to Walker after the initial anonymous accusation. Walker acknowledges she is the mother of one of his children, whom he supports. She is also a democratic activist. The other pieces of evidence she has offered is a get well soon card she says Walker sent several weeks later (no verification of date sent) along with a check from Walker for $700, which as far as I know has not been documented publicly.

Herschel Walker lied about graduating from college in the top 1% of his class when everyone in the state who is over 40 knows that he left Georgia early to join the USFL. https://www.businessinsider.in/politics/world/news/for-years-georgia-gop-senate-candidate-herschel-walker-claimed-hed-graduated-in-the-top-1-of-his-class-at-university-of-georgia-but-he-never-graduated-at-all/amp_articleshow/90604158.cms

He lied that he was an FBI agent. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/herschel-walker-fbi-false-claim-b2126581.html?amp

He said he had a “mist” approved by the EPA and the FDA that would kill Covid. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/georgia-senate-candidate-herschel-walker-promoted-a-mist-that-he-claimed-would-kill-any-covid-on-your-body/2022/01/12/230ec9a8-73b9-11ec-bc13-18891499c514_story.html

I’ve lost track of how many kids he had that he lied about.
https://amp.charlotteobserver.com/opinion/article262629667.html