2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Only if you factor in the BS filler MAGA polls.

The only thing biased about that map is that it has PA for Trump instead of tossup.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

I too, can make a map in anyway I wish.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Who keeps spamming the thread with low quality right wing wishcasting?

The desperate Magas. The economy is doing great and they don't have a leg to stand on LOL

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen is junk polling. 538 has him at -0.3 stars out of 3 and gives him a low transparency score. He's not rated by 538 in the top 282. He's in the unrated list below the top 282, but he's essentially >300 out of 282. He's very Republican biased and does not give out too much information about his polling techniques, so it's hard to see how he puts his thumb on the scale. Essentially, you can view Rasmussen as a GOP political operative and treat his "polls" as propaganda.

Partly Incorrect. Rasmussen has a -0.3 POLLSCORE which is decent (negative numbers are better), and not have a star rating because 538 got into a tiff with Rasmussen.

Rasmussen is biased R and has low transparency and is employed by R, but consistent bias is easy to remove when averaging polls.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen is junk polling. 538 has him at -0.3 stars out of 3 and gives him a low transparency score. He's not rated by 538 in the top 282. He's in the unrated list below the top 282, but he's essentially >300 out of 282. He's very Republican biased and does not give out too much information about his polling techniques, so it's hard to see how he puts his thumb on the scale. Essentially, you can view Rasmussen as a GOP political operative and treat his "polls" as propaganda.

Partly Incorrect. Rasmussen has a -0.3 POLLSCORE which is decent (negative numbers are better), and not have a star rating because 538 got into a tiff with Rasmussen.

Rasmussen is biased R and has low transparency and is employed by R, but consistent bias is easy to remove when averaging polls.

when 2/3 of th polls are junk partisan polls and are "averaged in" you still end up with garbage.

[Anonymous]

What matters is not how someone rates the methodology and transparency of a pollster, but their results. What did they say before and what was the eventual result?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:What matters is not how someone rates the methodology and transparency of a pollster, but their results. What did they say before and what was the eventual result?

Here’s Rasmussen in October 2022 red waving that Republicans were ahead in every swing state.
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2022/battleground_2022_republicans_lead_in_six_key_states

Here’s their Nevada polling two weeks out:
https://x.com/usa_polling/status/1583563486202056704?s=46&t=kf1qYlCXQnKgUhJWEIu2vg
In reality, Cortez Masto won by .75 and Lombardo won but by only 1.5.

Late October 2022 Rasmussen had Herschel Walker up by FIVE.

That’s all I can find for now, also Elon has totally broken the twitter search function.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

I think Dems are less likely to trust mail in voting now, but I suppose we’ll see. I have family who will only walk in now, after using mail in voting for years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Who keeps spamming the thread with low quality right wing wishcasting?

The desperate Magas. The economy is doing great and they don't have a leg to stand on LOL

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen is junk polling. 538 has him at -0.3 stars out of 3 and gives him a low transparency score. He's not rated by 538 in the top 282. He's in the unrated list below the top 282, but he's essentially >300 out of 282. He's very Republican biased and does not give out too much information about his polling techniques, so it's hard to see how he puts his thumb on the scale. Essentially, you can view Rasmussen as a GOP political operative and treat his "polls" as propaganda.

Partly Incorrect. Rasmussen has a -0.3 POLLSCORE which is decent (negative numbers are better), and not have a star rating because 538 got into a tiff with Rasmussen.

Rasmussen is biased R and has low transparency and is employed by R, but consistent bias is easy to remove when averaging polls.

Thanks for the correction. This is what I get for trying to multitask and posting while I'm in the middle of something else.

But Rasmussen also has a pretty low accuracy rate from my admittedly unscientific review of his work. I only see a handful of his predictions, but most of what I see is not very accurate.

[Anonymous]

MAGA will never believe the economy is ok.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think Dems are less likely to trust mail in voting now, but I suppose we’ll see. I have family who will only walk in now, after using mail in voting for years.

Why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Who keeps spamming the thread with low quality right wing wishcasting?

The desperate Magas. The economy is doing great and they don't have a leg to stand on LOL

+1

Why would that be surprising? If you listen to Trump speak you would think there is a 50/50 chance he could open a door and walk through it. Running the country…hard no.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

DonOld is


- losing the Hispanic vote in Georgia and Arizona

Trump could be getting 40% of the black vote, and you would say he is losing the black vote.