
You are so delusional. Just like your candidate. He thinks if he says it, it must be true. He doesn't care if the information is out that that shows he is wrong; and neither do you. Go back and look. The vast majority of the polls show that Biden is favored over Trump, in some as much as 10 points. Trump managed to finally get a "tie" poll. The first poll since before the South Carolina primary that actually does not show Trump losing to Biden. However, another overlapping poll that had almost twice as many pollees showed Biden with a 6 point lead. Trump is fighting an uphill battle to defend himself. At least he's getting support from the Sanders camp apparently. Those progressive liberals are so petulant that they could cut off their nose to spite their face. They would rather vote against Biden and support a candidate that is even worse for their cause just for spite. But even the support or abstention of the Sanders camp is only just barely drawing Trump even. Still very much of an uphill battle. |
We will see. A couple of observations: 1. Biden is doing terribly in terms of enthusiasm. 2. While Trump is trailing in polls, majority of voters believe that Trump will win the election. Most likely voters are expecting many democrats will stay home on the election day. Biden really needs to excite the D base and it’s an uphill battle for him. |
You're missing a fundamental, the anti-Trump enthusiasm driving Dems. This was reflected in primary turnout. |
DP. I’m on the left and I’ve not seen one poll that says Biden is way ahead of Trump. The way he handled Tara Reade is really hurting him. |
That’s exactly why Biden is going to lose. He doesn’t have anything else to offer other than being anti Trump. Hard core D are very motivated to vote anyone whose last name is not Trump. Moderates and indepedents are less so. They are not excited about Biden. |
Really? Virtually all of the polls show Biden with a lead, as much as 10 points ahead of Trump. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html Of the four that were done in the last week: CBS News/YouGov poll 4/28-5/1, 1671 voters sampled, Biden +6% https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2020-poll-joe-biden-vice-president-elizabeth-warren-democrats-wish-list/ IBD/TIPP poll 4/26-4/29, 948 voters sampled, Tie (the outlier) https://www.investors.com/news/president-trump-joe-biden-tied-amid-coronavirus-crisis-ibd-tipp-poll/ Emerson poll, 4/26-4/28, 1200 voters sampled, Bide +6% https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/april-national-poll-trump-down-but-not-out-as-enthusiasm-and-expectation-favor-the-president Economist/YouGov poll 4/26-4/28, 1222 voters sampled, Biden +6% https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/4qtpeqbqm8/econTabReport.pdf The week before, you actually had one poll that showed Biden favored by 10% USA/Today/Suffolk poll, 4/21-4/25, 1000 voters sampled, Biden +10% https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/04/27/biden-leads-trump-2020-amid-coronavirus-concerns/3029325001/ You have to go back 37 polls to February 16-18 (before the S Carolina primary, when Biden was still in 5th place among Democratic primary candidates) to find a poll that actually favored Trump. The Emerson poll showed Trump +4%. The other three polls that week showed Biden +6%, +7% and +8%. |
Read the last two-three pages of this thread: https://www.dcurbanmom.com/jforum/posts/list/405/826233.page |
I said I haven't seen a single one! Good day sir! No but seriously - D here: I think what most people think isn't that Biden isn't winning the polls, but that the polls may not reflect what's going to actually happen. Or that we aren't taking into account probabilities as we should, and Trump could win again. Trump is just such a whackadoodle weirdo candidate. I feel like it makes him unpredictable. And 2016 taught me that elections are also more unpredictable than I'd thought. |
The enthusiasm for dumping Trump is what’s going to drive election turnout. So many, including independents, have been turned off Trump’s vile personality and his tragic mismanagement of COVID and the economy. |
if biden wins in november but dies before inauguration, does the VP get to be potus? |
I can’t see a scenario in which anyone else besides the VP-elect would become POTUS in that case. |
I'm not sure. Clinton won the popular vote, but lost the electoral vote. However, this year, there are several factors in his favor. First, Biden is polling much better and doing much better in swing primary states than Clinton did. This year. Sanders has withdrawn much earlier than in 2016 and he has endorsed Biden and also explicitly urged his supporters to support Biden to the point of saying that it was irresponsible not to support the Democratic candidate. I expect that most of them will still stay home like they did in 2016, but I think a significantly large minority will vote Democratic to avoid a repeat of 2016. Also, based on primaries through the beginning of the pandemic, Democratic primary attendance was up. I think the way that Trump has polarized the country even more than was the case before his term, will spur far higher voter attendance than 2016, which favors the Democratic platform as the largest demographics of people who do not typically vote are ones that are more likely to support the Democratic ticket. This is why the Republicans so frequently vote for measures that will suppress voter attendance at elections. The bulk of their core already votes and higher attendance doesn't do them any favors. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/494418-biden-builds-early-lead-in-battleground-states https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/3/4/21164518/super-tuesday-results-voter-turnout |
anyone? anyone? |
It just automatically goes to Hillary Clinton, who holds office for five minutes before handing it to Nancy Pelosi Though Google sees it differently: https://allthatsinteresting.com/president-elect-die |