2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Here's where things stand in the key races, in order of most likely to flip. Could gain PA (R to D), but lose GA (D to R).
https://www.npr.org/2022/08/22/1118389494/top-10-us-senate-seats-pennsylvania-georgia-arizona
Pennsylvania (Previous: 1)
Georgia (Previous: 2)
Very little separates the next four races, which are all expected to be extremely tight.

Georgia has remained close, and incumbent Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock has done well so far. Republicans acknowledge that earlier efforts to try and paint Warnock as a "radical" were a mistake. It's tough to make the pastor at Ebenezer Baptist Church — the same post once held by Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. — whose ads have featured him smiling with a beagle, look like a bad guy. Instead, the attacks to come are more likely to be simply making Warnock out to be a Democrat whose votes are out of step with Georgia.

But Georgia is about as purple as it comes now, and Warnock's Trump-backed opponent, Herschel Walker, has his issues as a candidate. Still, the former NFL and University of Georgia running back has high name ID and appeal among Republicans. And Walker will likely benefit from the gubernatorial race of Republican Brian Kemp, who is currently favored to win reelection. This one will likely be a nail-biter.
Arizona (Previous: 5)
Nevada (Previous: 3)
Wisconsin (Previous: 4)
New Hampshire (Previous: 6)
North Carolina (Previous: 7)
Ohio (Previous: 8)
Florida (Previous: 9)
Colorado (Previous: 10)

Actually I think Kemp is likely to hurt Walker among moderate Republicans who might be looking for a way to assuage their guilt for voting for Warnock or just leaving the Senate part of the ballot blank. These things don’t always move perfectly in tandem. For instance, Warnock did slightly better than Ossoff in 2020 among the exact same set of voters. My theory is that there are some Republicans who, deep down inside, don’t believe Walker is qualified to be a U.S. Senator and will feel better about not voting for him because they proudly voted for Kemp. I honestly do think people sometimes rationalize their votes this way.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

How much more help does the GOP expect? They already have New Zealand resident billionaire Peter Thiel trying to buy the Arizona and Ohio Senate seats with crappy candidates.

[Anonymous]

I particularly love this part of the article. Why on earth would it be that GOP donors are ashamed to be seen giving to such a wonderful cop of Senate nominees?
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/24/rnc-chief-on-tape-to-donors-00053642

During a question-and-answer session, Republican mega-donor Steve Wynn asked whether there are any dark-money nonprofits that contributors could give to. Unlike political action committees, those groups aren’t required to disclose their donors.

Some donors, Wynn said, “are self-conscious for reasons that are personal to them, business people and folks like that” and would rather give anonymously.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I particularly love this part of the article. Why on earth would it be that GOP donors are ashamed to be seen giving to such a wonderful cop of Senate nominees?
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/24/rnc-chief-on-tape-to-donors-00053642

During a question-and-answer session, Republican mega-donor Steve Wynn asked whether there are any dark-money nonprofits that contributors could give to. Unlike political action committees, those groups aren’t required to disclose their donors.

Some donors, Wynn said, “are self-conscious for reasons that are personal to them, business people and folks like that” and would rather give anonymously.

Perhaps Steve Wynn doesn’t want to have candidates explaining why they took money from a serial sexual abuser who was indicted for illegally lobbying for China.

[Anonymous]

Latest Emerson poll has Fetterman only up by 5 against Oz.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Latest Emerson poll has Fetterman only up by 5 against Oz.

LOL Emerson polls

[Anonymous]

Fetterman criticizes Oz campaign’s eat-your-vegetables health advice
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/08/24/fetterman-oz-stroke-vegetables/

“I had a stroke. I survived it,” Fetterman said in a statement. “I know politics can be nasty, but even then, I could never imagine ridiculing someone for their health challenges.”

In addition to that statement, Fetterman’s campaign on Wednesday also released a letter from more than 100 physicians in the state criticizing Oz for what they said is his history of “promoting unproven, ill-advised, and at times potentially dangerous treatments.”

“As a TV celebrity doctor, Mehmet Oz has displayed a shameful disregard for medical science and the well-being of his audience,” the doctors wrote in the letter.

Oz has promoted dubious weight-loss cures and in the early days of the coronavirus pandemic suggested chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine as treatment for covid-19.

In a report released Wednesday, the House select subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis said White House officials and outside allies such as Oz also pressed federal officials in 2020 to authorize hydroxychloroquine as a coronavirus treatment.

[Anonymous]

Any chance of Evan McMullin pulling off an upset in Utah?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Any chance of Evan McMullin pulling off an upset in Utah?

No.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any chance of Evan McMullin pulling off an upset in Utah?

No.

I'm squarely in the anything is possible camp but doubt it. Maybe Missouri, maybe. Trudy Busch Valentine has tons or money and is running on Abortion.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any chance of Evan McMullin pulling off an upset in Utah?

No.

I'm squarely in the anything is possible camp but doubt it. Maybe Missouri, maybe. Trudy Busch Valentine has tons or money and is running on Abortion.

I was slightly hopeful about this because there was a normal Republican - one who was an attorney working for the January 6 Committee - running as an independent. But he just dropped out saying he only wanted to stay in and split votes if Greitens had won the GOP nomination.

[Anonymous]

Blake Masters lying and pretending he’s normal.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Blake Masters lying and pretending he’s normal.

A Republican lying and running from their unpopular positions (all the while planning to be as extreme as possible if elected)? I never saw the likes of it. /s