LCPS - Still going back tomorrow, 12/1?

[Anonymous]

PPR has gone down recently and is hovering in the upper 7’s. So it’s a ways until 10%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:PPR has gone down recently and is hovering in the upper 7’s. So it’s a ways until 10%.

Uh, no. Go look at the VDH website for today. It is 8 again.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PPR has gone down recently and is hovering in the upper 7’s. So it’s a ways until 10%.

Uh, no. Go look at the VDH website for today. It is 8 again.

Okay but it was 8 a few weeks ago and went down to the 7’s. A bunch of you doomsdayers said 3-5 wouldn’t even get to go back and here we are. It has to get all the way to 10 and STAY THERE for 5 days.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PPR has gone down recently and is hovering in the upper 7’s. So it’s a ways until 10%.

Uh, no. Go look at the VDH website for today. It is 8 again.

Okay but it was 8 a few weeks ago and went down to the 7’s. A bunch of you doomsdayers said 3-5 wouldn’t even get to go back and here we are. It has to get all the way to 10 and STAY THERE for 5 days.

Okay but do you not know how to interpret data? These patterns are completely what was predicted. It went down right before thanksgiving because a bunch of people got tested before travel. More negatives drives down the positive number. Then they all went out of town so dire a few days there was a dip in any reported cases and tests. They just weren’t happening. Then everyone came home. Now it’s starting because yesterday there were 28 reported cases and today 183. Yesterday testing was 7.6, today 8. This is exactly what was predicted to happen. People who sat at a Thanksgiving gathering on Thursday and were exposed become symptomatic and test 10-14 days later. Or worse, they’re asymptomatic and live their lives spreading it. This Thursday is 7 days since thanksgiving when most exposure will have happened aside from the travel; it will be bad next week.

[Anonymous]

Lol. It’s always going to bad “in a week or two.” You’ve been saying this since August.

[Anonymous]

I mean, ok. Believe what you want. It’s winter and the numbers are higher than ever and people just gathered. Maybe it’ll be fine. Why not. Giraffes might paint.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I mean, ok. Believe what you want. It’s winter and the numbers are higher than ever and people just gathered. Maybe it’ll be fine. Why not. Giraffes might paint.

But in the summer it was July 4th!! And Labor Day!!! and Vacations!!! and OMG LOOK HOW CROWDED THAT BEACH IS! You guys have been screaming the sky is falling forever. We understand that you don't EVER want school to go back, but it kind of dilutes your argument.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I mean, ok. Believe what you want. It’s winter and the numbers are higher than ever and people just gathered. Maybe it’ll be fine. Why not. Giraffes might paint.

But in the summer it was July 4th!! And Labor Day!!! and Vacations!!! and OMG LOOK HOW CROWDED THAT BEACH IS! You guys have been screaming the sky is falling forever. We understand that you don't EVER want school to go back, but it kind of dilutes your argument.

Actually, no. I never said that in summer because our numbers were low then. They are HIGH now. These are called opposites. I also don’t want to not go back forever. I want to wait until we aren’t in the peak especially since a vaccine is coming and spring will have better numbers. Again, you can be upset but the data is what it is and the trend is clear. It already IS up again so your claim it won’t be is... nonsensical.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are Loudoun’s metrics? Just curious.

No pause in phasing unless it’s 200/100,000 average AND 10% PPR. Both.

If this happens during hybrid, it has to sit there for 5 straight school days before they transition.

If a revert to DL happens, hybrid can’t resume until they’re both under those thresholds for 5 straight days. Yet, we are currently phasing kids in when our average is 314/100,000 so logically there’s some holes. You can GO in with one elevated but you can’t go BACK in with one elevated.

Can someone just tell me if ALL kids in each grade are returning or are these just pilot programs for a tiny minority for each grade. I'm in FCPS and only some kids in a pilot program so super minority of kids in kindergarten and such got to go in, before they shut the non pilot kindergarteners down.

I'm asking because FCPS has been so disappointing that I'm seriously considering moving over to LCPS.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I mean, ok. Believe what you want. It’s winter and the numbers are higher than ever and people just gathered. Maybe it’ll be fine. Why not. Giraffes might paint.

But in the summer it was July 4th!! And Labor Day!!! and Vacations!!! and OMG LOOK HOW CROWDED THAT BEACH IS! You guys have been screaming the sky is falling forever. We understand that you don't EVER want school to go back, but it kind of dilutes your argument.

Actually, no. I never said that in summer because our numbers were low then. They are HIGH now. These are called opposites. I also don’t want to not go back forever. I want to wait until we aren’t in the peak especially since a vaccine is coming and spring will have better numbers. Again, you can be upset but the data is what it is and the trend is clear. It already IS up again so your claim it won’t be is... nonsensical.

So why didn't we go back in August? Oh, that's right, because of people like you screaming it wasn't safe then either. Now you are re-writing history that it WAS safe then. Riiiiggght.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are Loudoun’s metrics? Just curious.

No pause in phasing unless it’s 200/100,000 average AND 10% PPR. Both.

If this happens during hybrid, it has to sit there for 5 straight school days before they transition.

If a revert to DL happens, hybrid can’t resume until they’re both under those thresholds for 5 straight days. Yet, we are currently phasing kids in when our average is 314/100,000 so logically there’s some holes. You can GO in with one elevated but you can’t go BACK in with one elevated.

Can someone just tell me if ALL kids in each grade are returning or are these just pilot programs for a tiny minority for each grade. I'm in FCPS and only some kids in a pilot program so super minority of kids in kindergarten and such got to go in, before they shut the non pilot kindergarteners down.

I'm asking because FCPS has been so disappointing that I'm seriously considering moving over to LCPS.

We'd have to sell our house and our commutes would get even longer so its not an easy decision to make happen. But I'm at my limit with fcps with no hope in sight even for the 2021 fall.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I mean, ok. Believe what you want. It’s winter and the numbers are higher than ever and people just gathered. Maybe it’ll be fine. Why not. Giraffes might paint.

But in the summer it was July 4th!! And Labor Day!!! and Vacations!!! and OMG LOOK HOW CROWDED THAT BEACH IS! You guys have been screaming the sky is falling forever. We understand that you don't EVER want school to go back, but it kind of dilutes your argument.

Actually, no. I never said that in summer because our numbers were low then. They are HIGH now. These are called opposites. I also don’t want to not go back forever. I want to wait until we aren’t in the peak especially since a vaccine is coming and spring will have better numbers. Again, you can be upset but the data is what it is and the trend is clear. It already IS up again so your claim it won’t be is... nonsensical.

So why didn't we go back in August? Oh, that's right, because of people like you screaming it wasn't safe then either. Now you are re-writing history that it WAS safe then. Riiiiggght.

Again, no. They didn’t go back in august because the schools spent so much time arguing over what to do they ran out of time and didn’t have the resources yet to plan a monster as big as k-12 hybrid from the jump. They just didn’t have the time or resources to do that in 3-4 weeks. Unfortunately, by the time they could, the numbers deteriorated to what they are. The thing is I get you think youre right but it’s sad because you clearly just don’t grasp how any of this all works. No wonder you think it’s all some big conspiracy to close forever, the mechanics and details elude you.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are Loudoun’s metrics? Just curious.

No pause in phasing unless it’s 200/100,000 average AND 10% PPR. Both.

If this happens during hybrid, it has to sit there for 5 straight school days before they transition.

If a revert to DL happens, hybrid can’t resume until they’re both under those thresholds for 5 straight days. Yet, we are currently phasing kids in when our average is 314/100,000 so logically there’s some holes. You can GO in with one elevated but you can’t go BACK in with one elevated.

Can someone just tell me if ALL kids in each grade are returning or are these just pilot programs for a tiny minority for each grade. I'm in FCPS and only some kids in a pilot program so super minority of kids in kindergarten and such got to go in, before they shut the non pilot kindergarteners down.

I'm asking because FCPS has been so disappointing that I'm seriously considering moving over to LCPS.

Go. Please go to LCPS! Bye Felicia-

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What are Loudoun’s metrics? Just curious.

No pause in phasing unless it’s 200/100,000 average AND 10% PPR. Both.

If this happens during hybrid, it has to sit there for 5 straight school days before they transition.

If a revert to DL happens, hybrid can’t resume until they’re both under those thresholds for 5 straight days. Yet, we are currently phasing kids in when our average is 314/100,000 so logically there’s some holes. You can GO in with one elevated but you can’t go BACK in with one elevated.

Can someone just tell me if ALL kids in each grade are returning or are these just pilot programs for a tiny minority for each grade. I'm in FCPS and only some kids in a pilot program so super minority of kids in kindergarten and such got to go in, before they shut the non pilot kindergarteners down.

I'm asking because FCPS has been so disappointing that I'm seriously considering moving over to LCPS.

All families were given the option to choose in summer. These are the kids whose families chose hybrid then. Another group made a selection for second semester. This week is phasing in those kids in grades 3-5. Only 30% of families in Loudoun chose hybrid. At the elementary level it was 35%. Honestly, don’t be that jealous. We are above one metric and close to the other so it won’t last long and will be a very disruptive quarter of quarantine and switching in and out of hybrid as metrics fluctuate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:November 30 stats from the Virginia Dept of. Health:

Fairfax County cases per 100K: 368
Loudoun County cases per 100K: 264

Fairfax County positivity: 8.0%
Loudoun County positivity: 7.6%

I'm confused. I think these are the TOTAL OF NEW CASES FOR THAT DAY, not the rate per 100k. That's a big difference. Over a million people live in Fairfax.

According to the VDH Dashboard it is the “Total number of new cases per 100,000 persons within the last 14 days”.

So many people still do not understand how metrics work, it’s scary

Not only that but people don’t seem to realize lcps k-2 has been in school for about 2 months. They are doing very well.

Yes, I didn't realize. Wow. Impressive!