Who do you think is going to win and why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris will win.

Americans outside of the MAGA cult are ready to TURN THE PAGE from Trump and his chaos.

I am ready to turn the page from Biden/Harris and their chaos. Trump hasn’t been in office the last four years.

Biden has been POTUS since 2021. Not Harris. A VP has zero power or authority in decision making and very little impact on policy but you already know that. We know with 100% absolute certainty that Trump and Biden aren't fit to lead in the most powerful position in the world until 2029. We can speculate but we don't know with 100% absolute certainty that Harris isn't fit and capable to lead until 2029. I'm likely not voting for either but based on what we know about the two major party candidates, I can't fault people for finding reason to vote for Harris but it is fair to find fault with people choosing to vote for someone that we already know for sure isn't fit to be leader of the free world through 2029.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Has anyone seen lines for early voting like they did in 2020? It’s worrying.

In 2020 we were afraid of crowds. Early voting turnout was mostly wanting to avoid other people.

Don't speak for us all. Many of us knew how silly covid restrictions were. I stood in line, maskless, and voted. I wasn't afraid of the air.

Cool story.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

You are making the point. Women can’t put up yard signs about how they feel about the loss of their safety and rights in favor of transwomen because it is unsafe for them to do so. You can’t see evidence because it is not safe for women to show their anger.

Look at what happens to girls — not even adults — that stand up and say no. Trans activists are sending death threats to women who stand up (see the women’s volleyball players). I know this goes both ways, but for the purposes of this post, what I am observing is that it is not safe for women to object to men in women’s spaces, and therefore they have to be silent. And forced silence leads to rage.

The truth is I do not know how this will go on Election Day. I hope you are actually right. But my sense is that this is an issue that is polling very badly for Democrats, because they are scrambling to put a lot of daylight between themselves and things like the Title 9 changes. Harris is waffling when asked directly, and I see little mention of trans rights in their campaigns, which is a big change from 2020. I think there’s been a significant cultural shift. How that translates at the ballot box, I don’t know. Let’s hope anger over abortion is more powerful in the swing states (Trump is despicable), but I do not think female anger is as clearly cut as you do.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

You are making the point. Women can’t put up yard signs about how they feel about the loss of their safety and rights in favor of transwomen because it is unsafe for them to do so. You can’t see evidence because it is not safe for women to show their anger.

Look at what happens to girls — not even adults — that stand up and say no. Trans activists are sending death threats to women who stand up (see the women’s volleyball players). I know this goes both ways, but for the purposes of this post, what I am observing is that it is not safe for women to object to men in women’s spaces, and therefore they have to be silent. And forced silence leads to rage.

The truth is I do not know how this will go on Election Day. I hope you are actually right. But my sense is that this is an issue that is polling very badly for Democrats, because they are scrambling to put a lot of daylight between themselves and things like the Title 9 changes. Harris is waffling when asked directly, and I see little mention of trans rights in their campaigns, which is a big change from 2020. I think there’s been a significant cultural shift. How that translates at the ballot box, I don’t know. Let’s hope anger over abortion is more powerful in the swing states (Trump is despicable), but I do not think female anger is as clearly cut as you do.

It's just not an issue in this election.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

You are making the point. Women can’t put up yard signs about how they feel about the loss of their safety and rights in favor of transwomen because it is unsafe for them to do so. You can’t see evidence because it is not safe for women to show their anger.

Look at what happens to girls — not even adults — that stand up and say no. Trans activists are sending death threats to women who stand up (see the women’s volleyball players). I know this goes both ways, but for the purposes of this post, what I am observing is that it is not safe for women to object to men in women’s spaces, and therefore they have to be silent. And forced silence leads to rage.

The truth is I do not know how this will go on Election Day. I hope you are actually right. But my sense is that this is an issue that is polling very badly for Democrats, because they are scrambling to put a lot of daylight between themselves and things like the Title 9 changes. Harris is waffling when asked directly, and I see little mention of trans rights in their campaigns, which is a big change from 2020. I think there’s been a significant cultural shift. How that translates at the ballot box, I don’t know. Let’s hope anger over abortion is more powerful in the swing states (Trump is despicable), but I do not think female anger is as clearly cut as you do.

It's just not an issue in this election.

Well, if you say so, it must be true.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

No mention of any issues. Just names

In 2020 there were no signs at all, maybe due to Covid.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

No mention of any issues. Just names

In 2020 there were no signs at all, maybe due to Covid.

I'd say in that case this indicates some more support for Trump in your neighborhood - and doesn't really tell you anything about which specific issues or messaging points are important to people. Probably just general support for the ticket and whatever issues (whale psychiatry, wanting women to have fewer rights, disliking Haitians for fictional reasons, the size of a dead golfer's penis) that are dominating that campaign.

I'm the one in Florida - and in addition to the "cats against JD Vance" signs (including the one in my yard), a lot of the signs where I am have rainbow stripes (indicating support for gay people) or say joy (which tells you that people are exhausted of the apocalyptic feel of living in Trump's terrible world and REALLY want to move on).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

No mention of any issues. Just names

In 2020 there were no signs at all, maybe due to Covid.

I'd say in that case this indicates some more support for Trump in your neighborhood - and doesn't really tell you anything about which specific issues or messaging points are important to people. Probably just general support for the ticket and whatever issues (whale psychiatry, wanting women to have fewer rights, disliking Haitians for fictional reasons, the size of a dead golfer's penis) that are dominating that campaign.

I'm the one in Florida - and in addition to the "cats against JD Vance" signs (including the one in my yard), a lot of the signs where I am have rainbow stripes (indicating support for gay people) or say joy (which tells you that people are exhausted of the apocalyptic feel of living in Trump's terrible world and REALLY want to move on).

Are you aware that Trump is not currently the president? What a curious thing to say.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I am a Trump fan but if he wins it won’t be because of him, it’s because Kamala is the worst candidate a major party has run for president ever. She’s so laughably bad I’m still amazed she’s the candidate they literally *handpicked*. Why?!?!

No, that would be Trump. At least she has government experience.

LOL. I wish this could be an ad for all democrat senate candidates across the country. Have you been in a coma?! In what universe are you living that that’s considered a QUALIFICATION!!! Cackling over here. Oh democrats are going to lose so badly. “Atleast she has been in government” hahahahahahahahaha

Government experience is not a qualification, and certainly not an accomplishment. What has Kamala accomplished in her professional career? As VP, she was tasked with the border crisis. Her handling of the border was an epic disaster. Kamala is quick to tell us all her government positions but, even she, can’t tell us what she has accomplished.

Trump actually made a decent argument for why government experience is a big positive in his Rogan interview.

He talked about how one the primary roles of the president is appointing people to key positions -- both the top level cabinet appointments but also the many, many lower level appointments (he overestimated the number of appointments by a lot but it's still many). This makes sense because a president is the executive of the federal government. As with any executive a lot of the job is getting the right people in the right roles. Trump told Rogan about how his first administration's failures were in part due to having "bad people" in these roles and needing to get better people there. But when you don't have a lot of experience in government it's really hard to know who is a good person for a role in some obscure agency that still has some essential function. Not only did Trump not understand enough to know how to fill these rolls but the people he hired to do it for him also didn't know -- there were just so many government novices in his administration and it led to a lot of chaos.

Even if your goal as president is to "trim the fat" and get rid of bureaucracy, you still need to have enough familiarity with the government to do this intelligently. I'd trust someone making this argument who had spent time actually working in government a lot more than Trump because they would have firsthand experience with the problems and redundancies. A total outsider knows nothing.

So take it from Trump himself -- ignorance of and lack of experience in government is a major drawback for a chief executive.

Um Trump regrets picking “those bad people” because they all then came out against him but because they didn’t have experience. You know that, right?

[Anonymous]

In Philly bar watching the game they started boooibg when the 4 minutes infomercials aired

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:All the problems Harris is trying to fix like cost of food, energy, housing, crime, etc….


She had been in the White House the past 4 years!

These are her problem she caused. And now she wants a chance to fix them?

Did you blame Pence for mismanagement of the COVID crisis?

Probably not.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

No mention of any issues. Just names

In 2020 there were no signs at all, maybe due to Covid.

I'd say in that case this indicates some more support for Trump in your neighborhood - and doesn't really tell you anything about which specific issues or messaging points are important to people. Probably just general support for the ticket and whatever issues (whale psychiatry, wanting women to have fewer rights, disliking Haitians for fictional reasons, the size of a dead golfer's penis) that are dominating that campaign.

I'm the one in Florida - and in addition to the "cats against JD Vance" signs (including the one in my yard), a lot of the signs where I am have rainbow stripes (indicating support for gay people) or say joy (which tells you that people are exhausted of the apocalyptic feel of living in Trump's terrible world and REALLY want to move on).

Are you aware that Trump is not currently the president? What a curious thing to say.

Trump is a walking superfund site. Everything that comes out of is toxic and spreads downstream.

[Anonymous]

Probably Trump because Harris has Walz “gaming.”

Yeah. 👍🏻

Doesn’t he look joyous?