Who do you think is going to win and why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I have thought Harris will get the popular vote and Trump will win the electoral college.

But I think Trump is going to win both.

And I'm a Kamala fan....

I see you have made it to the acceptance phase of grief.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris for a few reasons.

1) She is significantly younger vs Trump. Trumps age is a problem.

2) Harris has a highly developed and well funded ground game in all the swing state. Ground game wins elections. It is worth 2-3% and Trump has no ground game. This means if it is even in the polls(which it is not) the better ground will win. Trump has no ground game none.

3) Trump is extremely negative, talks negatively about the US and everyone living in it. The majority of Americans are not dark, mean and hate filled.

4) Trump rambling speeches spend too much time on his opponents vs actually selling himself. You only have a limited time in front of voters. Talking about how bad your competition is never works in sales. Also his attacks on Harris really have not landed any hits(remember Little Marco, etc).

5) Trump has a huge unfavorable rating(just like Hillary did).

6) People tired of Trump.

7) Running a campaign on fear and anger is hard. You have to keep the level of fear and anger high. After 8-9 years of this the Trump people are not able to maintain the high level of hate and anger.

8) She destroyed him in the debate.

9) Trump lies.

You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.”

― Abraham Lincoln

10) Harris is running even or up by huge margin on the issues. Add in Jan 6, Trump hate of the military, most of Trump’s staff have denounced him, abortion, etc.

11) Listen to Trump speak. Every time he does he loses votes.

You could shorten this post down to Trump had the job previously and while on the job went AWOL for three hours while a mob of hundreds roamed our Capitol Building halls looking for prominent leaders to "hang" and it would be just as effective. This is the most significant reason he shouldn't be POTUS and it's also something that was proven without a shadow of doubt so nothing much else needs to be said.

I get Dems pushing the 1/6 event as it's probably the ONLY fearful thing that's applicable to voters deciding v Trump. Every other thing is subjective - you can say he has ill manners, talks trash and has no class and acts like a child but it is neither here nor there as long as you're sticking with black/white policy/facts. BUT for the 1/6 event - he definitely exhibited behavior not consistent with leadership. I can't make up my mind if sticking to that story and rallying people v him is more effective for Kamala than touting her own abilities/talents/potential for a voter. For me personally, the fact she doesn't choose the latter is meaningful - I would prefer someone confident enough and brave enough to take the attention to persuade me to give her support rather than be fearful enough of someone else so as to give her a shot. It's a sign of weakness for me but I don't blame her for employing this tactic to focus on. I don't like either of them but it's interesting to see how she goes about campaigning.

I am convinced that the sprint of the next 2 weeks will decide the election. There's really still a lot of time left and whomever in the lead today may not win. It's really impossible to say who wins until we get through this race. On one hand I don't think it's really that close but in the swing states it may be.

I'm not a Democrat and I'm not pushing a narrative about Trump's poor "behavior" on any certain date. I'm an American that pays attention to facts. There is a big difference between poor behavior and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the United States. What Trump did in that moment was dereliction of duty. Even if it were just 5 people that ran past the security checkpoint that day and they never made it to the House Chamber, it would still be the Commander-in-Chief's job to take phone calls, make phone calls, or run down their and kick their ass like GW or Andrew Jackson would have... whatever it takes to assist in re-securing that building from the moment the POTUS is notified to the moment at which authorities confirm the situation is under control is what the Commander-in-Chief has to do or else it's dereliction of duty which is a very significant thing when the POTUS is the culprit. No other POTUS in our history has failed to act in a moment like that. Not even close.

If we ignore dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the US Armed Forces, we have just set ourselves up to tumble down a very slippery slope. I'm not ignoring it.

leaving a border open for years is dereliction of duty.

Our southern border has been largely unsecured forever and the issue has gotten progressively worse for decades while no POTUS Administration or Congress has successfully worked towards a permanent solution. There is a big difference between long standing poor policy caused by dysfunctional government and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief in a single moment when hundreds of people have breached security at the US Capitol. A 1st grader could figure this out.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:DJT stock up 11% today. Probably on early vote blowouts happening in all swing states.

Funny, since no votes have been counted yet.

[Anonymous]

Politico: Wishing he could do more, Biden fades into campaign’s background

[Anonymous]

I thought Trump would beat Biden after the debate.

I thought Kamala would beat Trump after she replaced Biden.

I now think Trump will win. Democrats have to stop trying to control who their nominee is and let voters choose via VOTING.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I thought Trump would beat Biden after the debate.

I thought Kamala would beat Trump after she replaced Biden.

I now think Trump will win. Democrats have to stop trying to control who their nominee is and let voters choose via VOTING.

Why is this so important? Popular vote for a party's candidate is only a recent development in presidential races.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I have thought Harris will get the popular vote and Trump will win the electoral college.

But I think Trump is going to win both.

And I'm a Kamala fan....

Well think of it this way, the end of Trump will be in sight He can't run again and his influence will fade quick after a couple years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris for a few reasons.

1) She is significantly younger vs Trump. Trumps age is a problem.

2) Harris has a highly developed and well funded ground game in all the swing state. Ground game wins elections. It is worth 2-3% and Trump has no ground game. This means if it is even in the polls(which it is not) the better ground will win. Trump has no ground game none.

3) Trump is extremely negative, talks negatively about the US and everyone living in it. The majority of Americans are not dark, mean and hate filled.

4) Trump rambling speeches spend too much time on his opponents vs actually selling himself. You only have a limited time in front of voters. Talking about how bad your competition is never works in sales. Also his attacks on Harris really have not landed any hits(remember Little Marco, etc).

5) Trump has a huge unfavorable rating(just like Hillary did).

6) People tired of Trump.

7) Running a campaign on fear and anger is hard. You have to keep the level of fear and anger high. After 8-9 years of this the Trump people are not able to maintain the high level of hate and anger.

8) She destroyed him in the debate.

9) Trump lies.

You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.”

― Abraham Lincoln

10) Harris is running even or up by huge margin on the issues. Add in Jan 6, Trump hate of the military, most of Trump’s staff have denounced him, abortion, etc.

11) Listen to Trump speak. Every time he does he loses votes.

You could shorten this post down to Trump had the job previously and while on the job went AWOL for three hours while a mob of hundreds roamed our Capitol Building halls looking for prominent leaders to "hang" and it would be just as effective. This is the most significant reason he shouldn't be POTUS and it's also something that was proven without a shadow of doubt so nothing much else needs to be said.

I get Dems pushing the 1/6 event as it's probably the ONLY fearful thing that's applicable to voters deciding v Trump. Every other thing is subjective - you can say he has ill manners, talks trash and has no class and acts like a child but it is neither here nor there as long as you're sticking with black/white policy/facts. BUT for the 1/6 event - he definitely exhibited behavior not consistent with leadership. I can't make up my mind if sticking to that story and rallying people v him is more effective for Kamala than touting her own abilities/talents/potential for a voter. For me personally, the fact she doesn't choose the latter is meaningful - I would prefer someone confident enough and brave enough to take the attention to persuade me to give her support rather than be fearful enough of someone else so as to give her a shot. It's a sign of weakness for me but I don't blame her for employing this tactic to focus on. I don't like either of them but it's interesting to see how she goes about campaigning.

I am convinced that the sprint of the next 2 weeks will decide the election. There's really still a lot of time left and whomever in the lead today may not win. It's really impossible to say who wins until we get through this race. On one hand I don't think it's really that close but in the swing states it may be.

I'm not a Democrat and I'm not pushing a narrative about Trump's poor "behavior" on any certain date. I'm an American that pays attention to facts. There is a big difference between poor behavior and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the United States. What Trump did in that moment was dereliction of duty. Even if it were just 5 people that ran past the security checkpoint that day and they never made it to the House Chamber, it would still be the Commander-in-Chief's job to take phone calls, make phone calls, or run down their and kick their ass like GW or Andrew Jackson would have... whatever it takes to assist in re-securing that building from the moment the POTUS is notified to the moment at which authorities confirm the situation is under control is what the Commander-in-Chief has to do or else it's dereliction of duty which is a very significant thing when the POTUS is the culprit. No other POTUS in our history has failed to act in a moment like that. Not even close.

If we ignore dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the US Armed Forces, we have just set ourselves up to tumble down a very slippery slope. I'm not ignoring it.

leaving a border open for years is dereliction of duty.

Our southern border has been largely unsecured forever and the issue has gotten progressively worse for decades while no POTUS Administration or Congress has successfully worked towards a permanent solution. There is a big difference between long standing poor policy caused by dysfunctional government and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief in a single moment when hundreds of people have breached security at the US Capitol. A 1st grader could figure this out.

See, this is why Harris is likely losing. You and she can't even admit something that went so obviously wrong. Illegal immigration was way down under Trump, and the second Biden-Harris took office, they immediately undid all the work Trump had one on the border, and what happened? Illegal immigration skyrocketed like never before. This isn't complicated. Just admit they f*cked up, and that now they have a plan to fix it, presumably along the lines of what Trump did.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If Trump wins, we have to realize that the problem is much more serious than Trump himself. We have a truly diseased society, and it's not like this hasn't happened anywhere before in current times or past history. He could only pull this off if people were capable of being this deluded. So, this election is a referenfum on our American culture, actually.

The fact that he’s still a viable candidate for the 3rd time, after everything, is just unfathomable.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris for a few reasons.

1) She is significantly younger vs Trump. Trumps age is a problem.

2) Harris has a highly developed and well funded ground game in all the swing state. Ground game wins elections. It is worth 2-3% and Trump has no ground game. This means if it is even in the polls(which it is not) the better ground will win. Trump has no ground game none.

3) Trump is extremely negative, talks negatively about the US and everyone living in it. The majority of Americans are not dark, mean and hate filled.

4) Trump rambling speeches spend too much time on his opponents vs actually selling himself. You only have a limited time in front of voters. Talking about how bad your competition is never works in sales. Also his attacks on Harris really have not landed any hits(remember Little Marco, etc).

5) Trump has a huge unfavorable rating(just like Hillary did).

6) People tired of Trump.

7) Running a campaign on fear and anger is hard. You have to keep the level of fear and anger high. After 8-9 years of this the Trump people are not able to maintain the high level of hate and anger.

8) She destroyed him in the debate.

9) Trump lies.

You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can not fool all of the people all of the time.”

― Abraham Lincoln

10) Harris is running even or up by huge margin on the issues. Add in Jan 6, Trump hate of the military, most of Trump’s staff have denounced him, abortion, etc.

11) Listen to Trump speak. Every time he does he loses votes.

You could shorten this post down to Trump had the job previously and while on the job went AWOL for three hours while a mob of hundreds roamed our Capitol Building halls looking for prominent leaders to "hang" and it would be just as effective. This is the most significant reason he shouldn't be POTUS and it's also something that was proven without a shadow of doubt so nothing much else needs to be said.

I get Dems pushing the 1/6 event as it's probably the ONLY fearful thing that's applicable to voters deciding v Trump. Every other thing is subjective - you can say he has ill manners, talks trash and has no class and acts like a child but it is neither here nor there as long as you're sticking with black/white policy/facts. BUT for the 1/6 event - he definitely exhibited behavior not consistent with leadership. I can't make up my mind if sticking to that story and rallying people v him is more effective for Kamala than touting her own abilities/talents/potential for a voter. For me personally, the fact she doesn't choose the latter is meaningful - I would prefer someone confident enough and brave enough to take the attention to persuade me to give her support rather than be fearful enough of someone else so as to give her a shot. It's a sign of weakness for me but I don't blame her for employing this tactic to focus on. I don't like either of them but it's interesting to see how she goes about campaigning.

I am convinced that the sprint of the next 2 weeks will decide the election. There's really still a lot of time left and whomever in the lead today may not win. It's really impossible to say who wins until we get through this race. On one hand I don't think it's really that close but in the swing states it may be.

I'm not a Democrat and I'm not pushing a narrative about Trump's poor "behavior" on any certain date. I'm an American that pays attention to facts. There is a big difference between poor behavior and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the United States. What Trump did in that moment was dereliction of duty. Even if it were just 5 people that ran past the security checkpoint that day and they never made it to the House Chamber, it would still be the Commander-in-Chief's job to take phone calls, make phone calls, or run down their and kick their ass like GW or Andrew Jackson would have... whatever it takes to assist in re-securing that building from the moment the POTUS is notified to the moment at which authorities confirm the situation is under control is what the Commander-in-Chief has to do or else it's dereliction of duty which is a very significant thing when the POTUS is the culprit. No other POTUS in our history has failed to act in a moment like that. Not even close.

If we ignore dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief of the US Armed Forces, we have just set ourselves up to tumble down a very slippery slope. I'm not ignoring it.

leaving a border open for years is dereliction of duty.

Our southern border has been largely unsecured forever and the issue has gotten progressively worse for decades while no POTUS Administration or Congress has successfully worked towards a permanent solution. There is a big difference between long standing poor policy caused by dysfunctional government and dereliction of duty by a Commander-in-Chief in a single moment when hundreds of people have breached security at the US Capitol. A 1st grader could figure this out.

DP. The Biden/Harris administration exemplifies dereliction of duty by claiming there was “nothing” they could do to secure the border - for almost the entirety of their administration. Until an election year rolled around, that is. Then - incredibly - Biden decided he actually *could* sign an EO, which almost immediately reduced the number of people applying for asylum. Amazing! He had that power all along, but lied to the American people. A 1st grader could have figured out what to do and then done it. Sadly, the combined intellect of Biden/Harris is not up to the task.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Title says it all, but now that we are 13 days to election day, who do you think is going to win (Trump or Harris) and why (lawn signs, chatter with friends, campaign decisions, etc.)?

Today, I think Trump is going to win. The move for Harris to hold a rally in TX is interesting, and if TX is in play this whole election got a lot more interesting. I have a feeling the protest abstainers re Gaza are going to impact us here like Bernie Bros in 2016 in key places (MI).

I think Harris will win because of the gender gap.

More white women have always voted GOP. However, this is the first national election AFTER the Dobbs decision. All women have the potential to be adversely impacted. Enough white women - especially the college educated ones - when in the ballot box, will choose reproductive rights.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Title says it all, but now that we are 13 days to election day, who do you think is going to win (Trump or Harris) and why (lawn signs, chatter with friends, campaign decisions, etc.)?

Today, I think Trump is going to win. The move for Harris to hold a rally in TX is interesting, and if TX is in play this whole election got a lot more interesting. I have a feeling the protest abstainers re Gaza are going to impact us here like Bernie Bros in 2016 in key places (MI).

I think Harris will win because of the gender gap.

More white women have always voted GOP. However, this is the first national election AFTER the Dobbs decision. All women have the potential to be adversely impacted. Enough white women - especially the college educated ones - when in the ballot box, will choose reproductive rights.

That sounds like sound reasoning and recent elections confirm that. Trump obviously regrets overturning Roe but he is stuck with it. Serves him right.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think Harris will lose because of Gaza

Nope.

If you gave the average American $1,000 to even know and name where Gaza is, you'd get a wrong answer.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Title says it all, but now that we are 13 days to election day, who do you think is going to win (Trump or Harris) and why (lawn signs, chatter with friends, campaign decisions, etc.)?

Today, I think Trump is going to win. The move for Harris to hold a rally in TX is interesting, and if TX is in play this whole election got a lot more interesting. I have a feeling the protest abstainers re Gaza are going to impact us here like Bernie Bros in 2016 in key places (MI).

I think Harris will win because of the gender gap.

More white women have always voted GOP. However, this is the first national election AFTER the Dobbs decision. All women have the potential to be adversely impacted. Enough white women - especially the college educated ones - when in the ballot box, will choose reproductive rights.

Harris is probably going to lose. The early voter turnout in swing states so far, has been whiter, older and more Republican than in 2020. None of these bode well for Harris.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Title says it all, but now that we are 13 days to election day, who do you think is going to win (Trump or Harris) and why (lawn signs, chatter with friends, campaign decisions, etc.)?

Today, I think Trump is going to win. The move for Harris to hold a rally in TX is interesting, and if TX is in play this whole election got a lot more interesting. I have a feeling the protest abstainers re Gaza are going to impact us here like Bernie Bros in 2016 in key places (MI).

I think Harris will win because of the gender gap.

More white women have always voted GOP. However, this is the first national election AFTER the Dobbs decision. All women have the potential to be adversely impacted. Enough white women - especially the college educated ones - when in the ballot box, will choose reproductive rights.

Harris is probably going to lose. The early voter turnout in swing states so far, has been whiter, older and more Republican than in 2020. None of these bode well for Harris.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/early-voting-trends-2024-2020-visuals-dg/index.html