Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Which polls? Dems winning this upcoming governors race is a sure thing.
How can you possibly be so confident after what happened in November?
This election, where the governor's race is held on a off year, will be more like the prior virginia governor election than like this past election.
In a non presidential rate, voters tend to favor against the presidential party to give balance to the system. Given the Republican hold all three branches of Federal government and the top three positions (governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general) in the state, the tendency will be stronger than normal.
Also factor in the negative effects of the DOGE Federal spending cuts in Virginia, particular Northern Virginia, the most populous part of the state.
Also factor that Virginia is a blue leaning purple state.
Also factor that Republican gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears is not running a great campaign and the down ballot effects when the office at the top of the ticket performs poorly.
Also factor the horrific job that Trump is doing. Admittedly this bullet point has an ideological bias. The big beautiful bill is/was extremely unpopular. The economy, in my opinion, is in a horrible position with the slowing job market and still rising inflation.
Lastly, as much as some would like to blame Democrats woke leanings as the biggest contributor to the November election, I think inflation caused by the global supply chain from covid and Biden's cognitive decline were bigger factors. Inflation is now on Trump's responsibility. Biden's cognitive decline is no longer an issue with Biden out of office.