What GOP wold get it to 58, thus putting the onus on Manchin and Casey? |
Yeah it's interesting - I was trying to think through the political implications. If the court does the small slice here and doesn't fully overturn Roe, but just does allow 15 week bans, I think you're right. Texas is another ball of wax - maybe. |
Looks like Roberts is angling to write the decision. He's going to have to shutdown the Texas case and the fetal heartbeat crap. |
I knew the House did pass it. When did the Senate filibuster it? |
This assumes the conservative justices have been consistent in their decisions on the principals like stare decisis, federalism, right to life, etc, which they have not. They would find a way to vote keep Heller. |
The reasons for overturning in watershed cases like Plessy, though, was not solely because of the horrors. It was because the court realized that the original decisions in those cases did not recognize individual liberties as granted in the constitution. That is the opposite here, where overturning Roe would be in-recognizing the individual Liberty of women. |
^UN-recognizing |
Wait till the court starts in on civil rights, worker and environmental regulations—the GOP retribution list is long. Much pain and suffering ahead for most people.
2016 mattered. |
There aren't 60 votes, so it is filibistered before it starts. |
Senator Collins is furling her brow, right? |
They’ll go for Obergefell next. |
1 held by McConnell. 1 pushed by Trump to get Kennedy to retire early. 1 jammed through by McConnell. All, unprecedented. |
Rucho v. Common cause was their most important decision. It laid the groundwork for minority rule at the state level regardless of a shifting electorate. I can't wait for it to be exploited when the new house maps come into force. |
Not if he can't find another conservative justice to sign on to some kind of salvageable abortion right with a 15 week ban. Obviously Alito and Thomas will vote to overturn Roe/Casey completely. If Gorsuch, Kavanaugh & Barrett all agree, then Roberts is left writing a dissent. He's got a long road ahead of him in lobbying another conservative justice to join him. |