PP asked about transfers to Annandale, not out of Annandale. |
Falls Church HS, for example, is surrounded by IB schools, so their potential IB transfers are spread between Justice, Marshall, and Annandale depending on which school is closest. |
The 294 is transfers out of Annandale and 94 of them are to 11 sites that got less than 10. The 50 are transfers in. |
Do you understand how percentages work? |
PP referred to populations, not percentages. Are you illiterate? |
Why does the data look the same year to year? |
Wshs also has one of the largest AA percentages in FCPS.... |
So you propose making a split feeder out of BMP and sending some to Annandale and keeping some at Edison? It’s not a bad idea on paper and does get some kids out of Edison - but not sure if it’s enough kids to accommodate the new neighborhoods. And then you run into the K-5/K-6 school problems as BMP is currently a K-5 school whereas the rest of Edison and all of Lewis have K-6 elementaries. And again - this is not about adding kids to Lewis to prop it up, it’s about reducing enrollment at Edison. I would agree if Annandale could pick up all of BMP, that is where they should go. But they can’t at this point without worsening the crowding there and then creating a spillover effect into Justice, Falls Church, Woodson etc. From a purely logistical standpoint and affecting the smallest number of schools, BMP to Lewis makes sense right now. |
WSHS appears to be #6 with 12.8% AA, although #7 and #8 (Annandale and South Lakes) are also at 12%. The FCPS average is around 10% so it's not like WSHS is statistically special in that regard. The top schools actually have meaningfully large numbers like Hayfield with 26% AA and South County and Mt Vernon at 21%. Now that's talking double the average of AA students. |
The CIP now has West Springfield at 114% this fall and Edison at 103%. Any future adjustments should be based on updated numbers. Annandale could probably pick up all of BMP if needed but it’s those from west of 395 who would be most receptive to that move. Their starting point with Lewis needs to be replacing IB with AP, which would curtail transfers. As for Edison, they can monitor enrollments to see if the projected increase in students materializes. They have Edison at 109% in 2030, but that still well below West Springfield’s current and projected capacity utilization. |
Some of the elementary feeders into WSHS are heading down to below 90% capacity. All of the feeders are smaller than the classes they are replacing, some significantly like class of 2030 being 150 fewer students than graduating class of 2026. Yet FCPS continues to show growth at WSHS in spite of the WSHS feeder schools steadily losing enrollment each year. Either the CIP math ain't mathing at WSHS, or there is something really fishy happening with transfers into WSHS, and possible widespread residency fraud. WSHS needs a residency check and transfer into the school frozen. |
What West Springfield needs is for the parents who are so insecure about being redistricted some day to stop pitching alternative scenarios that move around other people’s kids at other schools instead. It only serves to call renewed attention to which high school FCPS currently considers and projects to be the most overcrowded in the county: WSHS. |
How about you mind your business and just give those WSHS parents credit. I didn't hear them advocating for kicking or moving anyone out. They did their freaking homework, they understood the assignment, and they pushed back hard. Do the residency checks, keep limiting transfers, keep watching the declining numbers. Improving programing before you start playing ping-ponging kids around. |
Residency checks are routinely done. This is a red herring. |
Isn’t that because military members stationed at Belvoir tend to be older, thus having older children who would attend Irving/WSHS without having gone to a West Springfield elementary school? I do think demographics are going to do their thing eventually but maybe not to the extent everyone is thinking. |