2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

3rd party fanatics going to spoil the election wooooo

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Atlas is A+ rated poll.

[Anonymous]

Jill Stein received 50k votes in Michigan in 2016. Two scoops beat Hillary by maybe 11k votes. Jill Stein is directly appealing to the Arab block in MI at this time. That said, the Black vote is really energized and they will come out in droves in the City of Detroit, along with other smaller enclaves in Oakland, Wayne, and Macomb Counties (as well as further north in Flint. The Black vote will be what pushes Kamala over the top in MI - no doubt about it. The angry Arab segment just doesn’t have the numbers nor the political discipline found in the Black communities in SE MI.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Jill Stein received 50k votes in Michigan in 2016. Two scoops beat Hillary by maybe 11k votes. Jill Stein is directly appealing to the Arab block in MI at this time. That said, the Black vote is really energized and they will come out in droves in the City of Detroit, along with other smaller enclaves in Oakland, Wayne, and Macomb Counties (as well as further north in Flint. The Black vote will be what pushes Kamala over the top in MI - no doubt about it. The angry Arab segment just doesn’t have the numbers nor the political discipline found in the Black communities in SE MI.

What is the demographic breakdown In Michigan?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Jill Stein received 50k votes in Michigan in 2016. Two scoops beat Hillary by maybe 11k votes. Jill Stein is directly appealing to the Arab block in MI at this time. That said, the Black vote is really energized and they will come out in droves in the City of Detroit, along with other smaller enclaves in Oakland, Wayne, and Macomb Counties (as well as further north in Flint. The Black vote will be what pushes Kamala over the top in MI - no doubt about it. The angry Arab segment just doesn’t have the numbers nor the political discipline found in the Black communities in SE MI.

What is the demographic breakdown In Michigan?

Race and ethnicity (White alone 61.6%; Black alone 12.4%; Hispanic 18.7%; Asian alone 6%; American Indian and Alaska Native alone 1.1%

2020 Census

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Jill Stein received 50k votes in Michigan in 2016. Two scoops beat Hillary by maybe 11k votes. Jill Stein is directly appealing to the Arab block in MI at this time. That said, the Black vote is really energized and they will come out in droves in the City of Detroit, along with other smaller enclaves in Oakland, Wayne, and Macomb Counties (as well as further north in Flint. The Black vote will be what pushes Kamala over the top in MI - no doubt about it. The angry Arab segment just doesn’t have the numbers nor the political discipline found in the Black communities in SE MI.

What is the demographic breakdown In Michigan?

Vast majority white

[Anonymous]

LATEST 2024 election model favors Trump in 7 of 7 battleground states

ELECTORAL COLLEGE:
🔴 Trump: 313 🏆 
🔵 Harris: 225

VICTORY ODDS:
🔴 Trump: 71% (+43)
🔵 Harris: 28%

TRUMP SWING STATE ODDS:
🔴 MICHIGAN: 58%
🔴 NEVADA: 63%
🔴 PENNSYLVANIA: 63%
🔴 WISCONSIN: 64%
🔴 GEORGIA: 66%
🔴 ARIZONA: 66%
🔴 NORTH CAROLINA: 66%

@OnPointPolitics | Sept. 14

[Anonymous]

Where is this sudden jump coming from? Just last week it was a dead heat.

[Anonymous]

Yougov: Harris 49, Trump 45. (1,090 LV. 9/11 - 9/13).

[Anonymous]

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-six-post-debate-national-polls-1953871

Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump in the popular vote according to six opinion polls conducted either after or during Tuesday's presidential debate between the two rivals in Philadelphia.

The Democratic candidate had a lead of between two and five percentage points according to the survey, although several were within the margin of error.

A Morning Consult survey of 3,317 likely voters conducted on September 11, the day after the debate, put Harris ahead with 50 percent against 45 percent for Trump. The poll had a margin of error of two percentage points.

Ipsos surveyed 1,405 registered voters for Reuters over September 11-12, which found Harris had a five-point lead with 47 percent of the vote against Trump's 42 percent. The survey came with a three percent margin of error.

Between September 11 and 13 YouGov polled 1,755 U.S. adults for Yahoo News. Among the registered voters included in the sample Harris led Trump by 50 percent of the vote against 45 percent. The survey had a margin of error of 2.9 percent.

RMG Research polled 2,756 likely voters between September 9, the day before the debate, and September 12, on behalf of The Napolitan Institute. The poll gave Harris a four-point lead with 51 percent of the vote, against 47 percent for Trump.

A Leger poll of 1,174 likely voters, conducted between September 10 and 11 for The New York Post, put Harris on 47 percent versus 44 percent for Trump. The survey had a margin of error of up to 2.72 percent.

Finally Redfield & Wilton Strategies polled 1,952 likely voters on September 12. This survey found Harris had a two point lead with 44 percent of the vote against 42 percent for Trump, whilst eight percent said they were undecided.

[Anonymous]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-debate-harris-surges-to-5-point-lead-over-trump-among-registered-voters-in-head-to-head-matchup-122213811.html

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-after-debate-harris-surges-to-5-point-lead-over-trump-among-registered-voters-in-head-to-head-matchup-122213811.html

"Finally, half of Americans (50%) now say Trump is "too old" for another term as president, up from 47% in August. That number has never been higher."