FCPS comprehensive boundary review

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I truly think this is the closest thing to a black swan event for NoVA since 2008, and expect to see house values drop by 20-30% as many foreclose and/or move away to more affordable areas. The unfortunate reality is that this area has thrived on the government teat and is now being cut off.

It will be more interesting to watch some of the MAGA communities in red states take yet another hit if they get cut off from government assistance. They don't have educations or marketable skills. It's their kids who are going to starve under Trump, not some NoVa families who'll adjust when government functions get outsourced to private businesses that may end up expanding their operations in the DC area.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hopefully parents are given control on where they send the kids to school and put the tax dollars to work.

Yes, please, let’s let the people who can’t even find the calendar on the FCPS website control the process. That’ll work out well.

Anyway, all your kids will be attending Trump Online Powered By Meta before long anyway, so have fun with all that.

I suppose we can't trust government schools to turn out citizens who can find a calendar on a website. Surely that's a reason to limit the number of people who can opt out of government schools.

You always know that when the phrase “government schools” is used the person using it in on some bullsh!t.

What's wrong with using a perfectly accurate term? The schools are in fact built and run by the government.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I truly think this is the closest thing to a black swan event for NoVA since 2008, and expect to see house values drop by 20-30% as many foreclose and/or move away to more affordable areas. The unfortunate reality is that this area has thrived on the government teat and is now being cut off.

This area is pretty strong in tech as well. With advisors to the new admin being big on AI and efficiency, it may come out in the wash. And surely lots of the people currently employed by the federal government can find employment in the private sector. Needed skills transfer. Likely many people will move but many more will just get a different job and stay here, and of course other people with in-demand skills will move in.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Hopefully parents are given control on where they send the kids to school and put the tax dollars to work.

Yes, please, let’s let the people who can’t even find the calendar on the FCPS website control the process. That’ll work out well.

Anyway, all your kids will be attending Trump Online Powered By Meta before long anyway, so have fun with all that.

I suppose we can't trust government schools to turn out citizens who can find a calendar on a website. Surely that's a reason to limit the number of people who can opt out of government schools.

You always know that when the phrase “government schools” is used the person using it in on some bullsh!t.

What's wrong with using a perfectly accurate term? The schools are in fact built and run by the government.

The "government" is us. We. The people. The public.
Why not call them "public schools"? "Civic schools" "Community schools"? etc? Because you are trying to imply that "government" anything is bad.

[Anonymous]

I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

+1 I think they need to put this whole exercise on ice until the 2026 midterms. That will give about two years to see how everything is shaking out.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

I have never lived in an area where they were able to consistently make decent predictions. There are too many variables.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Heaven forbid they focus on educating the kids where they are.

I agree, too many have egregiously long bus rides. They should go to the closest school if possible.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

I have never lived in an area where they were able to consistently make decent predictions. There are too many variables.

They blatantly ignore housing developments that are days away from breaking ground. This isn’t your run-of-the-mill error, this is systemic ostrich-head-in-the-sand error.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

+1 I think they need to put this whole exercise on ice until the 2026 midterms. That will give about two years to see how everything is shaking out.

I'm one of the PPers who mentioned this and I don't even know if it would take 2 years. At the speed at which the Trump admin is moving, I think we'd know by this summer how much of the local federal workforce will be cut. (Whether those cuts are legal and can stand up in court is obviously a whole different matter.) I just think this is a really, really bad time to be doing something this disruptive to the Fairfax County community when there are these larger economic disruptions already happening which would very likely impact school enrollment.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

That may be true, but things are particularly up in the air at the moment. With enrollments already flat or declining, it's hard to see the urgency.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

I have never lived in an area where they were able to consistently make decent predictions. There are too many variables.

They blatantly ignore housing developments that are days away from breaking ground. This isn’t your run-of-the-mill error, this is systemic ostrich-head-in-the-sand error.

If a development breaks ground, the impact should be reflected in the next Capital Improvement Program. That doesn't mean they'll get it right, just that they do apply their yield formula once the project is under construction.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I get a sense some on the thread are counting on more fed layoffs and deportations.

I think it’s more of a suggestion that it would be sensible to pause this exercise until the impact of the Trump Administration’s plans to shrink the federal bureaucracy is better understood.

The Ds may control Fairfax but they don’t control the executive branch of the federal government, so their ability to forecast accurately right now is limited.

Even before this, their ability to forecast was questionable at best.

I have never lived in an area where they were able to consistently make decent predictions. There are too many variables.

They blatantly ignore housing developments that are days away from breaking ground. This isn’t your run-of-the-mill error, this is systemic ostrich-head-in-the-sand error.

If a development breaks ground, the impact should be reflected in the next Capital Improvement Program. That doesn't mean they'll get it right, just that they do apply their yield formula once the project is under construction.

So then they should only include one year projections in the CIP, not five years. If they project further out, the guesses will almost assuredly be underestimated.