Data today 7pm

[Anonymous]

I'm the one who's been keeping track of the final 8 "Green" Schools as of a week ago (7, excluding Bradley Hills).

They are all very high FARMS and ESOL and almost all in SS/TP

Except for ESS as of Monday/Tuesday's high "catchup" numbers, and Rolling Terrace's moderate numbers in the past few days, they continued to post 0-2 cases per day since being designated "Green."

I don't understand what's happening there, but Occam's Razor suggests poor communication or admin organization or lack of in-school testing, or even (still?) lack of at-home tests.

Jan 12 Numbers:

Schools with consistently very very low numbers (0-2 daily) prior to Jan 12:

Cresthaven Elementary School-- 1
Greencastle Elementary School-- 4
Kemp Mill Elementary School-- 16
New Hampshire Estates ES-- 7
Twinbrook Elementary School-- 2

Mixed/moderate numbers <Jan 12:

Rolling Terrace Elem School-- 16

Very low numbers, then very high numbers Jan 10-11:
East Silver Spring Elem School-- 1

So there's some movement (that ESS number seems wrong), but Cresthaven, Greencastle and Twinbrook in particular...

If anyone is at any of these schools and would like to weigh in, please do.

IIRC, there was a Twinbrook teacher on the Hucker call several days ago saying that 25-50% of kids were already out last week, so that could explain part of this, but not all of it IMO.>

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

I'm not PP, but yes, they are just new cases.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

I'm not PP, but yes, they are just new cases.

FFS we need active cases in the school on the day! These numbers are going to give false assurances. What they really need is someone who can write up the methodology, footnote it up. Just throwing numbers out there with no other information is reckless.

[Anonymous]

Our high school, Kennedy, had 29, then 45 and now 14. Mostly students, a few staff. Definitely too soon to say the cases are dropping, probably just a result of the quick testing and reporting, but all the other high schools seem to have similar numbers. Those numbers aren't great.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

I'm the PP poster ranting about having active cases be the headline. Thanks for pointing this out, I now see what they're doing. But I also see that the middle of the page dashboard says it was updated Jan 12th. Does this mean it includes the new numbers, or not? Who knows.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Our high school, Kennedy, had 29, then 45 and now 14. Mostly students, a few staff. Definitely too soon to say the cases are dropping, probably just a result of the quick testing and reporting, but all the other high schools seem to have similar numbers. Those numbers aren't great.

What I mean is, I recommend you do what I'm doing, and keeping a running tally in my head.

88 cases so far this week. School population of roughly 1700.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

Thanks. I hadn't seen that and it is super helpful.
FWIW, our "original 11" school is now right at 4%. We got tests on Tues/Weds.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

Thanks. I hadn't seen that and it is super helpful.
FWIW, our "original 11" school is now right at 4%. We got tests on Tues/Weds.

That's great news. Could it be that going virtual actually helped?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

Are you suspicious in that you think somebody is intentionally not including the accurate numbers?

Or are you suspicious b/c the results submitted by students/parents/teachers may not reflect actual case because of inconsistent testing/reporting and inaccurate tests?

If it is the later, I agree with you. If it is the former, that conspiracy theory is silly.

C) Incompetence. Our school has a principal that could not forward plan their way out of L1 of Mario Brothers, let alone a pandemic. I think the principal flat-out did not report and the system was too overloaded to go chasing down figures.

The form does not go to principals. It goes to central office directly.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I'm the one who's been keeping track of the final 8 "Green" Schools as of a week ago (7, excluding Bradley Hills).

They are all very high FARMS and ESOL and almost all in SS/TP

Except for ESS as of Monday/Tuesday's high "catchup" numbers, and Rolling Terrace's moderate numbers in the past few days, they continued to post 0-2 cases per day since being designated "Green."

I don't understand what's happening there, but Occam's Razor suggests poor communication or admin organization or lack of in-school testing, or even (still?) lack of at-home tests.

Jan 12 Numbers:

Schools with consistently very very low numbers (0-2 daily) prior to Jan 12:

Cresthaven Elementary School-- 1
Greencastle Elementary School-- 4
Kemp Mill Elementary School-- 16
New Hampshire Estates ES-- 7
Twinbrook Elementary School-- 2

Mixed/moderate numbers <Jan 12:

Rolling Terrace Elem School-- 16

Very low numbers, then very high numbers Jan 10-11:
East Silver Spring Elem School-- 1

So there's some movement (that ESS number seems wrong), but Cresthaven, Greencastle and Twinbrook in particular...

If anyone is at any of these schools and would like to weigh in, please do.

IIRC, there was a Twinbrook teacher on the Hucker call several days ago saying that 25-50% of kids were already out last week, so that could explain part of this, but not all of it IMO.>

I have a child at Cresthaven. The tests were sent home on Monday. My child was negative, which I reported. People wear masks to walk outside in the neighborhood. People are COVID cautious. That being said, there are probably some missed numbers.

[Anonymous]

My child goes to one of the middle schools that those schools feed in to and it's about 10% which is similar to other middle schools in the county. I really don't think you can read too much in to this PP who is watching these schools. The numbers are off for every school.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

Thanks. I hadn't seen that and it is super helpful.
FWIW, our "original 11" school is now right at 4%. We got tests on Tues/Weds.

That's great news. Could it be that going virtual actually helped?

Maybe. Hard to say...otoh, we had to schedule pickup of our tests, which might be harder for some rather than having it sent home in the backpack.
I'm sure not going to school with 900 other kids did help a little. Plus the snow.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yesterday's numbers look VERY suspicious. Schools that were posting numbers in the 20s on Monday are suddenly reporting a single case? Impossible.

If they posted high numbers on Tuesday and low on Wed, that’s probably because rapid tests were distributed on Monday.

So are you saying these are just new cases reported on the day? What we need are total active cases or this is just misleading.

This is on the MCPS dashboard. Scroll down the list to your school and click on it. It will show you active in the chart to the right.

Thanks. I hadn't seen that and it is super helpful.
FWIW, our "original 11" school is now right at 4%. We got tests on Tues/Weds.

That's great news. Could it be that going virtual actually helped?

Maybe. Hard to say...otoh, we had to schedule pickup of our tests, which might be harder for some rather than having it sent home in the backpack.
I'm sure not going to school with 900 other kids did help a little. Plus the snow.

I suspect we'll see those 11 virtual schools were the lucky ones. We know so many families flying in at the last minute with possible exposure and they sent their kids to school right away without testing so the schools that went virtual had 2 weeks for symptoms in those kids to show up while they were presumably not out and about a lot.