Biden’s latest Poll numbers
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Anonymous
As of last night, Biden and Trump both have the required pledged delegates to gain their party's nominations. |
Anonymous
He has made progress on healthcare: - got authority to negotiate medicare prescription drug prices - fixed a number of issues with ACA subsidies, including the "family glitch" and the subsidy cliff - got a cap on insulin prices |
Anonymous
That was a foregone conclusion. Now we have until July/August for something, anything to happen that would cause one or both of them not to be able to accept the nominations. 95% chance these are our two major party nominees. |
Anonymous
And this was despite the GOP doing their best to spike it all. |
Anonymous
For someone overpaying for crappy employer based healthcare, none of that does anything |
Anonymous
The only things would be some sort of cataclysmic health/death type of event or for Trump, actually being convicted of a felony, or otherwise being in a NY or GA jail. |
Anonymous
Then get a better health plan or a better employer. |
Anonymous
Biden is going to serve another term and you are going to be ok. If Biden being old is the biggest worry you have than lucky you. |
Anonymous
Or Biden drops dead. Or Biden gives an utterly disastrous interview that makes it plain and clear what everyone already knows and cannot be covered up any longer and no amount of doping beforehand makes a difference, he has significant cognitive decline. |
Anonymous
Indeed. Medicare for all. |
Anonymous
Interesting. Did you watch the State of the Union? He was fine, same relatively inarticulate because of his stutter that he has always been. Also, did you read the transcript from the Hur interviews with Biden? Hur notes his photographic memory. He is old, but still "with it" - the idea that he has dementia is ridiculous. |
Anonymous
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Turnip has maintained a small but consistent polling lead over Biden for the last few months.
Regardless of all the talk about being too far out before the election, if Turnip is maintaining a 2% lead over Biden in early August, he is winning the election. There is not a single person in the country who doesn't know about the legal troubles or Biden's cognitive/aging problems. These are all baked in. People are not changing their minds. This may be a story of consistently unbudging polling through November with Turnip always maintaining that 2% lead over Biden. And for all the fears or hopes, it may actually turn out to be a boring election. But I do allow some possibilities of movements between now and August, but I stand by the argument that if Turnip is still holding on to that 2% lead by August 1st, he is winning the election. |
Anonymous
Unless the polls are wrong again like they are every single time. |
Anonymous
Of course polling is wrong. No one except old people answers calls from strangers, and old people skew conservative. Trump, mathematically, does not have a chance at winning. He does not appeal to anyone except his base. Conservative voters who don't like him but want to support their party won't have a wild incentive to stand in line and vote. As usual, it will come down to turn-out, and the anti-Trump voters, regardless of their political opinions, have more reason to engage than the Trump supporters. |
Anonymous
Oh? All those polls that said Turnip was going to lose in 2020 was wrong? Really? Fancy that! This is the rebuttal of someone who has nothing to say because she can't refute the arguments. Polls are pretty good indicators. But if the polls do have a bias, it is that they have historically underpolled T (in other words, he has a history of outperforming his polls). Perhaps it means that T will defeat Bidet by 4% instead of 2%. |