Who will be Governor of Maryland after Hogan?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

The Democrats in general don't like Peter Franchot. In fact, a lot actively dislike him.

That's a good sign. Maybe I'll vote for him. I like that he worked with Hogan on the 270/495 improvement project.

You'll have to register as a Democrat.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

The Democrats in general don't like Peter Franchot. In fact, a lot actively dislike him.

There will be a primary and someone super progressive will run against him and lose. Then Franchot will win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

The Democrats in general don't like Peter Franchot. In fact, a lot actively dislike him.

There will be a primary and someone super progressive will run against him and lose. Then Franchot will win.

Nope. There will be a primary, several people will run against him, and Franchot will lose. I think you underestimate how much people dislike him on a personal level.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I moved to Maryland about 16 years ago and don't understand how a state dominated by Democrats for so long manages to have such a short bench of qualified candidates for governor. Ehrlich and Hogan aren't amazing politicians but even I (die hard liberal) had a hard time pulling the lever for Katherine Kennedy Townsend ("I have Kennedy in my name") or Anthony Brown or Ben Jealous.

Seems like I should be prepared for another candidate from the Democratic establishment who has spent their life in government and has all the inspiration of a dish towel. My wife will join a million other Democrats who vote for the Republican businessman who will be our next governor.

Because you are a Republican. Just stop the charade.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Calling it now, Calvin Ball will be our next Governor.

He's a fairly inexperienced county executive with no real name or reputation. And with a problematic and highly unpopular school redistricting happening under his watch. It could backfire spectacularly. I'm not sure what advantages he could bring over more established Democratic potentials.

The school board acts entirely in separation from the county govt. People who were not pleased with their child being redistriced pinned this on the county executive. They came up with fantastical scenarios about how he was behind all of it, in cahoots with churches, you name it. None of it is true. If he doesn't become Governor this time, he will do it afterward. He's the real deal- great guy.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:No way it will be Calvin Ball. Howard County had a moderate (Republican) County Executive, but voted Democratic and are now outraged with what they got.

He is so unpopular in HoCo because of development and redistricting, I can't see him as a viable Gubernatorial candidate.

And the development issues came BEFORE Ball, not during.

[Anonymous]

Maryland is the only state governorship expected to flip in 2022.
“Though Hogan, who has emerged as one of the most prominent voices in the anti-Trump faction of the GOP, was able to find success, he’ll likely have a tougher time trying to dictate his successor. Lt. Gov. Boyd Rutherford (R-MD) may be an attractive candidate, but his office might as well have an “abandon all hope ye who enter here” sign above it — Maryland voters have never elevated an incumbent lieutenant governor to the state’s top job. With Democrats in charge of the state’s redistricting process, the lone Republican in Maryland’s congressional delegation, Rep. Andy Harris (R, MD-1), may very well get a blue district. This may push Harris to consider running statewide, though he’s much more conservative than Hogan.

Of the few announced Democratic candidates, state Comptroller Peter Franchot leads the field. First elected to public office in 1986, Franchot has carved out a niche as something of a moderate Democrat who will take on his own party. From an electoral perspective, this approach seems a hit with voters: in 2018, he was reelected 72%-28%, the best showing for a statewide Democrat since 1990. Aside from Franchot, there are no shortage of Democrats who could run in this blue state, and we think any competent Democrat would be favored over a generic Republican. Hence, our Leans Democratic rating.”
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/2022-gubernatorial-races-a-baseline/

[Anonymous]

Marc Elrich

Just to troll DCUM.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

The Democrats in general don't like Peter Franchot. In fact, a lot actively dislike him.

There will be a primary and someone super progressive will run against him and lose. Then Franchot will win.

Agree with this and I would vote for him. The Republican bench is empty and people aren’t particularly happy with Hogan lately, which will reflect on Rutherford.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

I agree with this. Franchot has a big machine behind him, and Rutherford will use Hogan's machine. If the election is a referendum on Hogan's performance, Rutherford has a decent chance. I'd vote Rutherford in that scenario, but would be fine with Franchot winning.

Having Hogan in place to counter-balance Elrich in MoCo has been crucial when it comes to reopening schools and overriding other leadership failures on the side of Elrich.

[Anonymous]

Never voting Republican again.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yes, Peter Franchot just declared that he will run for Governor, but he has not actually filed yet.

I predict that it will be Boyd Rutherford vs Peter Franchot for the next election and that Peter Franchot will probably win, but narrowly. Lt Governors have not done well in MD for some time. In part, it is due to the fact that most Lt Governors do virtually nothing and then have one or two detractions against them (like Anthony Brown's debacle of rolling out the MD marketplace for ACA health care). Boyd Rutherford does get the benefit of having no failures in his term, but he also doesn't seem to have any successes either. There has been very little news about what he's done as Lt Governor for 7 years now and that doesn't look good. Peter Franchot has had a lot more news about him and his successes in the news and that will probably lead to him having an advantage in the general election.

I agree with this. Franchot has a big machine behind him, and Rutherford will use Hogan's machine. If the election is a referendum on Hogan's performance, Rutherford has a decent chance. I'd vote Rutherford in that scenario, but would be fine with Franchot winning.

Having Hogan in place to counter-balance Elrich in MoCo has been crucial when it comes to reopening schools and overriding other leadership failures on the side of Elrich.

I love how much Elrich triggers the Republicans. I can't wait to vote for him again and I'll support him whatever he runs for. He makes conservatives angry, serves them right.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Martin O’Malley. He had a fundraiser at The Dubliner on Wednesday night but it was ruined when a Republican showed up.

If O’Malley runs I will certainly vote in a Republican. Rain tax??!?!?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Martin O’Malley. He had a fundraiser at The Dubliner on Wednesday night but it was ruined when a Republican showed up.

If O’Malley runs I will certainly vote in a Republican. Rain tax??!?!?

Ask downtown Ellicott City what they think of the “rain tax” now.

Also, O’Malley isn’t eligible for the same reason that Hogan isn’t eligible.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Martin O’Malley. He had a fundraiser at The Dubliner on Wednesday night but it was ruined when a Republican showed up.

If O’Malley runs I will certainly vote in a Republican. Rain tax??!?!?

Stormwater management is a huge issue in MD, with the coastline, the rivers and the Chesapeak Bay. The GOP did a masterful job at calling it a rain tax, but MD would be smart to better manage its water assets smartly, particularly in light of the impacts of climate change.

- not a MD resident