^^TLDR: to answer your specific question, on 11/2/16 (6 days before the election) it was HRC 67.7, Trump 32.2. |
Fat man doing a lot of whining, though. |
I think it’s going to be the 2008 map plus Arizona for Biden. Everyone already voted for Biden back then and they’ll do it again. |
I was on travel and did not update in the last few days...that makes me see how some of these polls changed in a week.
UPDATED 538 poll data for 10/28/20: - updates are in Plum Alaska: B-43.2%, T- 49.9%; T+6.6 Trump gained a point Missouri: B-44.6%, T- 51.3%; T+6.7 Trump gained almost 1/2 a point Montana: B-45.1%, T- 50.7%; T+5.6 Trump lost 2.5 points Nebraska: B-44.2%, T- 50.4%; T+6.2 Trump lost slightly more than 1 point Ohio: B-46.3%, T- 48.1%; B+1.8 Trump gained 1.5 points South Carolina: B-43.5%, T- 51.4%; T+7.9 Trump gained by .3 points Texas: B-46.3%, T- 48.2%; T+1.8 Trump gained almost 1 point Arizona: B-49.0%, T- 45.3%; B+3.7 Nothing changed Florida: B-48.7%, T- 47.3%; B+1.4 Biden lost 2 points Georgia: B-48.2%, T- 46.8%; B+1.4 Biden gained about a point Iowa: B-47.7%, T- 46.1%; B+1.6 Biden gained 1/2 point Michigan: B-50.6%, T- 42.7%; B+7.9 Nothing Changed Nevada: B-49.7%, T- 43.5%; B+6.2 Biden lost .3 point North Carolina: B-49.1%, T- 47.0%; B+2.1 Biden lost 1 point Pennsylvania: B-50.2%, T- 45.1%; B+5.1 Biden lost slightly more than 1 point Wisconsin: B-51.7%, T- 43.2%; B+8.4 Biden gained almost 2 points |
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And disgracing YMCA. |
They should use him in public service ads about what happens to people who don't go. |
89-10 on 538 this morning. |
it says 89-11 right now. |
Georgia is beginning to move more firmly towards Biden. |