Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
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Anonymous
Yes, this has already been covered ad nauseam. |
Anonymous
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Yes, I'd long suspected that RCP was skewing the results of Trump's (un)favorability ratings. They definitely show editorial bias in the stories they post. Here are key points from the twitter thread ... RCP's averages this cycle just haven't been a fair average of the polling that's out there. Instead, cut offs are fairly deliberately set to show better results for Trump. Just go down the list of each RCP average this morning, and ask 'are the cutoff dates consistent?' and 'who would benefit if the cutoff date was a day earlier.' The answers are 'no' and Biden. This has been true for a while now, but they really took it up a couple of notches over the weekend. And unfortunately it's enough that I won't be using the site anymore for citing polling averages. I'm sympathetic to the challenges they face in deciding what polls to include. And I think their rules are modestly more coherent than folks give credit. But the cutoffs right now serve one purpose. Anyone comparing say US v PA avg can tell what it is. |
Anonymous
| Warnock looks to be in better shape than Osoff. The silent Trump vote will add 3-4 points on the R side. |
Anonymous
| The presidential polls were actually pretty close to reality in GA right? They had Biden up by 1 or 2 and he actually won by less than a percentage point. Hope one or both of Warnock and Ossoff can pull it off. It’ll be close. |
Anonymous
That makes sense since Perdue has been an elected Senator for years and Loeffler was just appointed months ago. |