This is a blue state bug (for now at least)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Here's a Republican governor who has looked at the evidence, changed his mind, and is now starting to get it. Tate Reeves of Mississippi.

https://twitter.com/tatereeves/status/1282783825219682304?s=20

Let’s talk about herd immunity. I’ve listened to some people argue that the rapid spread of cases is a good thing, and we need to reach herd immunity in Mississippi and elsewhere to survive. I’m not a health care expert by any means, but I am a math guy. And I have thoughts:

The experts say we need 70-80% of the population to get COVID-19 to achieve herd immunity. Let’s assume they’re wrong (it’s certainly possible, they have been before.) Let’s assume they’re being way overly cautious and we actually only need 40% infection for herd immunity.

In Mississippi, our population is 3 million. We’ve had 36,680 cases so far.

We’d need 1.2 MILLION infections to achieve that hypothetical 40% threshold. (Remember, experts say it’s double that.)

Over the last two weeks, our hospital system has started to become stressed to the point of pain. We are seeing the early signs and effects of it becoming overwhelmed. We had to suspend elective surgeries again.

On our worst day of new cases, we had just over 1,000. It has typically been between 700-900 during this most aggressive time.

To get to 40% infections, we’d need 3,187 new cases every day for a full year from today.

We would need to TRIPLE our worst day—every day—for a year.

I’m not one of these guys that immediately dismisses any idea that challenges the expert status quo talking points. I’m pretty skeptical by nature. That’s healthy. But herd immunity is not anything like a realistic solution in the short or mid-term. I wish it was.

Unless you’re willing to go without hospitals after a car wreck or heart attack, we need a different approach. Right now, despite mixed messages at the beginning, it seems like masks are the best bet. They’re a hell of a lot better than widespread shut downs. Please wear one!

I hope this goes viral. This is well done.

[Anonymous]

More on Mississippi:

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Those are all red counties in mostly red states (MN is purplish)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Those are all red counties in mostly red states (MN is purplish)

Nobles County is far from the Twin Cities.

Nobles County voters have tended to vote Republican in the past several decades. In 67% of national elections since 1980 the county selected the Republican Party candidate (as of 2016).

[Anonymous]

This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

[Anonymous]

This thread didn't age well.

The whole country should have been shut down, and we wouldn't be in this mess right now.

But the stupids said "this is a blue state bug."

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

of course, abroad this won't happen. Only Americans are so stupid to do this.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

Have you been in NYC recently? I have. I don't see them relaxing anytime soon.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

of course, abroad this won't happen. Only Americans are so stupid to do this.

Numbers are going up in Western Europe. They're starting to relax over there. France, Belgium, Netherlands, Germany, etc.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

Have you been in NYC recently? I have. I don't see them relaxing anytime soon.

+1 PP clearly doesn’t know anyone in the tri-state area. I’ve been in North Jersey for months, and had a ton of conversations with people in NYC and Westchester, and everyone is taking this seriously there still. It’s too bad no one else learned from them.

[Anonymous]

I see Maryland health-care workers I know on FB, with their unmasked faces cheek to cheek wit friends, then hours later, cheek to cheek with grandkids and otherfamily
Disturbing

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

Except it won't be a second wave. We are still on the first wave because, collectively as a country, we suck.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This will go back to being a blue state bug. A second wave will hit at some point. People being people will start to relax, an dee’ll start seeing spikes in NYC etc. again. But what the blue states are not doing is denying the virus and they the need to manage it. That alone may save some Blue state lives.

Have you been in NYC recently? I have. I don't see them relaxing anytime soon.

They are more cautious than your average Georgia resident, for sure. But they are just people. Over time, they will start relaxing. It’s inevitable. But hopefully, their authorities will take the appropriate measures if/when they see a rise in case numbers.