26-27 Lottery data up

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:UMC parents who can pay for private are at better odds to try SH or EH knowing that if Walls doesn't pan out, they can send their kid to private high school school. I think a lot of the BASIS/Latin boosters from the Hill are people who cannot pay for private and want to secure the path to 12th grade without the stress of trying to get into Walls and know that Eastern isn't going to cut it.

DCUM is so weird sometimes. The demographic data on these schools is published. Your gut is wrong. By the numbers SH is much, less affluent than BASIS or Latin. And has a much higher at risk populations. Plus, only 28% of SH is actually in boundary.

[Anonymous]

Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:UMC parents who can pay for private are at better odds to try SH or EH knowing that if Walls doesn't pan out, they can send their kid to private high school school. I think a lot of the BASIS/Latin boosters from the Hill are people who cannot pay for private and want to secure the path to 12th grade without the stress of trying to get into Walls and know that Eastern isn't going to cut it.

But aren't the odds of getting into a private HS fairly low? So even if the UMC family can afford private for HS, their kid still has to get in.

There are a range of private high schools. More for boys because of several single-sex parochial schools. But there's a range. Everyone isn't trying to get into Sidwell and GDS.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:UMC parents who can pay for private are at better odds to try SH or EH knowing that if Walls doesn't pan out, they can send their kid to private high school school. I think a lot of the BASIS/Latin boosters from the Hill are people who cannot pay for private and want to secure the path to 12th grade without the stress of trying to get into Walls and know that Eastern isn't going to cut it.

we're this, but in ward 3. macarthur may not work out. meh. they'll go to private then. but Hardy is good enough for now. (math tracking is good)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:UMC parents who can pay for private are at better odds to try SH or EH knowing that if Walls doesn't pan out, they can send their kid to private high school school. I think a lot of the BASIS/Latin boosters from the Hill are people who cannot pay for private and want to secure the path to 12th grade without the stress of trying to get into Walls and know that Eastern isn't going to cut it.

But aren't the odds of getting into a private HS fairly low? So even if the UMC family can afford private for HS, their kid still has to get in.

Private is our plan if Walls post-SH if doesn't pan out and I'm not that worried about my kid getting into some decent private or parochial school. We know recent SHers who have gone to Gonzaga, NCS, St. Johns and Georgetown Visi. I don't know anyone who tried for private and got completely shut out of anywhere they were OK with.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

That's both cavalier and dismissive. You lack empathy. Can you really not grasp the stress of families without a current match?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

There will be at some point so it’s not a ridiculous question.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

That's both cavalier and dismissive. You lack empathy. Can you really not grasp the stress of families without a current match?

Different poster here with a kid in a post expansion feeder.

It’s not a lack of empathy is a frustration with parents who freak everyone out because of their inability to look at a spreadsheet or figure out a drag and drop menu on tableau.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

That's both cavalier and dismissive. You lack empathy. Can you really not grasp the stress of families without a current match?

Different poster here with a kid in a post expansion feeder.

It’s not a lack of empathy is a frustration with parents who freak everyone out because of their inability to look at a spreadsheet or figure out a drag and drop menu on tableau.

This post could describe so many posts in this forum.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

There will be at some point so it’s not a ridiculous question.

There are 3-4 dozen Spanish feeder kids on waitlists this year. I don’t see how the school can accommodate all of them even if some were to switch to the French or Chinese tracks. So pre-expansion historical data aside, it is not unreasonable at all for families to be worried and considering what their back up options are.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

There will be at some point so it’s not a ridiculous question.

There are 3-4 dozen Spanish feeder kids on waitlists this year. I don’t see how the school can accommodate all of them even if some were to switch to the French or Chinese tracks. So pre-expansion historical data aside, it is not unreasonable at all for families to be worried and considering what their back up options are.

The how is obvious. Figure out your school’s attrition and how many kids are likely to make it through 5th grade. Do some sensitivity analysis with some different assumptions.

It’s not hard. It is a little bit of legwork to figure out attrition.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:UMC parents who can pay for private are at better odds to try SH or EH knowing that if Walls doesn't pan out, they can send their kid to private high school school. I think a lot of the BASIS/Latin boosters from the Hill are people who cannot pay for private and want to secure the path to 12th grade without the stress of trying to get into Walls and know that Eastern isn't going to cut it.

DCUM is so weird sometimes. The demographic data on these schools is published. Your gut is wrong. By the numbers SH is much, less affluent than BASIS or Latin. And has a much higher at risk populations. Plus, only 28% of SH is actually in boundary.

I'd have sent my kid to Wells if I knew I could just pay for private or that my kid could test into Banneker or Walls. Instead, we needed a charter with a high school. It would shock me if there weren't parents with this attitude on the Hill, both who go charters as a result or who stick with their DCPS middle because they have an exit.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

That's both cavalier and dismissive. You lack empathy. Can you really not grasp the stress of families without a current match?

Different poster here with a kid in a post expansion feeder.

It’s not a lack of empathy is a frustration with parents who freak everyone out because of their inability to look at a spreadsheet or figure out a drag and drop menu on tableau.

Weird that someone who obviously hasn't looked at or doesn't understand the tableau drag and drop would be lecturing others. If you understood the data you would know that this year's WL for feeders are materially different than prior years and that prior WL movement would not accommodate this year's WL.

I am legitimately in awe of people like you who mansplain and condesend, no matter the situation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regarding kids at the immersion charters who are shut out of DCI. Is Macfarland an option? Or CHEC? How do you lottery into a DCPS middle school language track? I am very unfamiliar with DCPs language tracks and how to lottery into them.

No feeder families have been shut out of DCI even with the expansion of the feeders. None.

Relax and see how this years results pan out.

That's both cavalier and dismissive. You lack empathy. Can you really not grasp the stress of families without a current match?

Different poster here with a kid in a post expansion feeder.

It’s not a lack of empathy is a frustration with parents who freak everyone out because of their inability to look at a spreadsheet or figure out a drag and drop menu on tableau.

Classes are larger than before, and attrition will likely differ since it was higher during the COVID years. For example, the current class of 5th graders at MV is about 100 students, with 25 on the DCI waitlist. Next year, the class will be about 150 students.