Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

[Anonymous]

Hi LN, this is the latest WL for the PK4 twins, pls help predict again~~~many thanks!

Hearst #24 #38
Ross #31 #45
Janney #38 #54
Murch #22 #33
Eaton #46 #61
Marie Reed #16 #20

Anonymous wrote:

kareng wrote:Hi LN, twins apply for PK4. Pls help to predict.

Hearst #40 #55
Ross #39 #54
Janney #45 #63
Murch #43 #53
Marie Reed #25 #29

LN here. Sorry for the delay, got busy.

I would assume almost always, once the first kid gets in, they'll pull in the second one. Unfortunately, your kid's lottery numbers must have been pretty similar - Hearst, for example, has a waitlist of 100 kids, so both your kids are right around the middle. You'd be better off if one of them had a better number, even if the second had a really crappy one.

Hearst #40 #55 - You've got a chance here. Of the past five years, twice they've gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance. Would likely be in August or September if you did get a slot.
Ross #39 #54 - No offer.
Janney #45 #63 - You have a chance here as well. Of the past five years, twice they have gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance.
Murch #43 #53 - No offer.
Marie Reed #25 #29 - No offer.

[Anonymous]

Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?

[Anonymous]

#3 on waitlist at Lafayette... odds?

[Anonymous]

#3 for PK 4 Lafayette (should have clarified the grade)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:#3 for PK 4 Lafayette (should have clarified the grade)

Are you IB? Has your waitlist number moved at all yet? Looking at historical data the PK4 waitlist has moved about 5 spots by June. I'd think your chances are pretty good, although you might not get in until later in the summer/just before school starts.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?

You're totally getting in.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?

You're totally getting in.

Really? They didn’t let anyone off the WL the last few years.

[Anonymous]

RE: Lafayette. Yes, IB. Started with WL #5, then moved up to #6 after the deadline. Now #3. I was confident with #5 but the fluctuation has left me less confidant about what this current standing means.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?

You're totally getting in.

Really? They didn’t let anyone off the WL the last few years.

Pk3 is easier this year because of fewer applicants.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:RE: Lafayette. Yes, IB. Started with WL #5, then moved up to #6 after the deadline. Now #3. I was confident with #5 but the fluctuation has left me less confidant about what this current standing means.

I think you’ll get an offer

[Anonymous]

5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?

Hopeful for you! We are enrolled for PreK 3 at EL Haynes but we are making good progress on another waitlist.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26

Totally gonna get Mundo. Probably not ITDS but they tend to move their list in late summer so who knows.

[Anonymous]

Hey folks - this is the Lottery Nerd. Just wanted to let everyone know that I stopped answering requests on this thread because once waitlists start moving, the variables become wildly complex and it's really, really hard to make predictions. Yes, you have more information, but then you also have no comparison points that are exactly aligned and it's just impossible to predict.

I know watching waitlists can be excruciating (I'm watching two with bated breath right now). I wish everyone the absolutely best of luck. Hang in there.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26

Totally gonna get Mundo. Probably not ITDS but they tend to move their list in late summer so who knows.

Disagree, the days are gone where you can get into MV in 5th. You have better chance at ITDS and HA