2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:All pollsters try to be more accurate in their final polls because that is what they will be graded on. Before that, they deliver what the person paying for the poll wants, a small win for their candidate to boost fundraising, or a big win to discourage the other side from trying to spend money there.

When you want to sound conspiratorial without being conspiratorial.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:All pollsters try to be more accurate in their final polls because that is what they will be graded on. Before that, they deliver what the person paying for the poll wants, a small win for their candidate to boost fundraising, or a big win to discourage the other side from trying to spend money there.

I really don't think that's true. What is true is that most polls have shown a Republican advantage for some time now. Which is NORMAL, because it's the midterms with an opposition President. A Democrat win would be ABNORMAL. To think that it might actually happen in the Senate should be mindboggling to all of you. In a nice way, or course, since most of us posting on DCUM are left-leaning. But still surprising.

[Anonymous]

I remember back in 2016 hearing about how the next few election cycles were looking in terms of the Senate; 2022 was identified back in 2016 as the "best chance" for the Dems to take control of the senate. They outperformed in 2020 and are looking to underperform in 2022. Them's the breaks.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

[Anonymous]

Senate is now 36-30 (Dems lead)

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

Um, there is some ticket splitting. Not much, but you don’t need much.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

Um, there is some ticket splitting. Not much, but you don’t need much.

+1 GA is going to be very close and Walker (or Warnock) can’t afford to lose any votes around the edges.

[Anonymous]

Senate is now 36-35 (in Dems favor)

[Anonymous]

Another R win in the Senate - Todd Young IN

[Anonymous]

Senate just flipped - 37-38 (in GOP favor)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Aren’t exit polls done on Election Day in-person voters? With partisan differences in voting methods, seems exit polls are even more questionable than they used to be. And they were long considered to be pretty bad.

[Anonymous]

Senate now 38-39 (in GOP favor)