2021 VA Governors race

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:McAuliffe didn’t raise your taxes as much as market forces increased your property tax bill because your home value has increased 10% every year since 2008.

And if you blame The Mac for your tax bill- you can also blame him for your real estate wealth and your job security here. You can also blame him for the tech boom that has no end in sight for the area. The fact that your kids probably will move back to the state because it’s more affordable than CA and less crazy than TX. Also, you can blame him for the Micron plant in Manassas and Amazon HQ2 and Reston.

And if you want to blame Democrats for your tax woes, you can also blame them for founding TJ, which has made NOVA schools some of the most covetable in the nation.

Oh and also blame them for our amazing state parks and our thriving oyster industry which has also cleaned up our Bay Area.

We will glad take the blame.

The Democrats founded TJ and then their penchant for wokeness took it away.

DP. I thought TJ was pushed by tech people who wanted to attract companies to nova. It worked well. Led to ugly sprawl and all that too, though.

Republicans controlled the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors when (in the Reagan era) TJ was founded as a marketing tool to attract West Coast defense contractors to suburban office parks. The Democrats would kill TJ in a heartbeat if they could, but they are too cowardly to do that, so they’ve just upended the admissions process.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I wonder how many police officers were attacked with "Kim from Chesapeake"'s American flag on January 6th?
Maybe it was used to break a window or a door to invade the Capitol?

This seals the deal for me - no way will I vote for Youngkin. GOP, you need to get your act together and divorce yourself from these fascists.

+1

[Anonymous]

For what it is worth--this just in from Trafalgar:

Youngkin has razor thin lead in #VAGov race:

48.4% @GlennYoungkin
,
47.5% @TerryMcAuliffe
,
1.3% Third Party/Write-In
2.8% Undecided,

According to @trafalgar_group
#poll Conducted 10/11-10-13.
See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/va-gov-po

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:For what it is worth--this just in from Trafalgar:

Youngkin has razor thin lead in #VAGov race:

48.4% @GlennYoungkin
,
47.5% @TerryMcAuliffe
,
1.3% Third Party/Write-In
2.8% Undecided,

According to @trafalgar_group
#poll Conducted 10/11-10-13.
See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/va-gov-po

And Fox News has McAuliffe up by 5.

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2021/10/Fox_October-10-13_Virginia_Topline_October-14-Release.pdf

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:For what it is worth--this just in from Trafalgar:

Youngkin has razor thin lead in #VAGov race:

48.4% @GlennYoungkin
,
47.5% @TerryMcAuliffe
,
1.3% Third Party/Write-In
2.8% Undecided,

According to @trafalgar_group
#poll Conducted 10/11-10-13.
See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/va-gov-po

Trafalgar’s final poll (No +8) missed the California recall margin (No +24) by 16 points in the end.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For what it is worth--this just in from Trafalgar:

Youngkin has razor thin lead in #VAGov race:

48.4% @GlennYoungkin
,
47.5% @TerryMcAuliffe
,
1.3% Third Party/Write-In
2.8% Undecided,

According to @trafalgar_group
#poll Conducted 10/11-10-13.
See Report: https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/va-gov-po

Trafalgar’s final poll (No +8) missed the California recall margin (No +24) by 16 points in the end.

Looks like it is going to be a close race! Everyone needs to get out and vote.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2021/governor/va/virginia_governor_youngkin_vs_mcauliffe-7373.html

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I wonder how many police officers were attacked with "Kim from Chesapeake"'s American flag on January 6th?
Maybe it was used to break a window or a door to invade the Capitol?

This seals the deal for me - no way will I vote for Youngkin. GOP, you need to get your act together and divorce yourself from these fascists.

+1

Doubt you were ever going to vote for Youngkin. If you were, you would have searched for the facts. I watched the clip of the pledge:

1. "Kim from Chesapeake" carried the flag at the "peaceful rally on January 6 with Donald Trump." That is not the same thing as the riot at the capitol where the police were attacked.
2. Youngkin was not at the rally.
3. When Youngkin was asked about it, he was told that the flag was flown at the "insurrection." He responded with disapproval and clarified that it was not his rally.

Facts are stubborn things.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Many reasons why Terry will win. These are just a few.

1. It's a blue state.
2. Nova is one of the bluest parts of the country.
3. He is a perfect fit for nova--sort of pro-business, likes wealth accumulation, tech, and is liberal/sort of progressive on social issues.
4. The shadow of Trump. Nova voters despise him. And they despise Republicans in general.
5. Very few voters care about school board issues or the alleged teaching of "CRT." Just not an issue for them.
6. Youngkin has only been ahead in one poll. Facts matter. No way there are that many "shy" Youngkin supporters.
7. Nova parents are overwhelmingly supportive of vaccine mandates and masking. They don't want to rock the boat on that.
8. Youngkin's awkward campaign.
So, it's Terry by four points.

You are wrong on #5- public education. Over 52% of our property tax dollars go to the FCPS operating budget with more going to debt service. Sloppy language arts instruction has been a constant and now if given the opportunity taxpayers will lose math core classes. I'm paying for that stuff plus IB plus new capacity because they won't do boundary changes.

STEM- can anyone figure out how STEM potentials are produced without math? CRT vendors are in the budget and get cut checks. I'd rather that money be allocated to field trips.

Parents have been burdened with providing afterschooling because of FCPS. They do it themselves or pay some one else to do it. Those who rely on FCPS have children who pay the price in academics.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Many reasons why Terry will win. These are just a few.

1. It's a blue state.
2. Nova is one of the bluest parts of the country.
3. He is a perfect fit for nova--sort of pro-business, likes wealth accumulation, tech, and is liberal/sort of progressive on social issues.
4. The shadow of Trump. Nova voters despise him. And they despise Republicans in general.
5. Very few voters care about school board issues or the alleged teaching of "CRT." Just not an issue for them.
6. Youngkin has only been ahead in one poll. Facts matter. No way there are that many "shy" Youngkin supporters.
7. Nova parents are overwhelmingly supportive of vaccine mandates and masking. They don't want to rock the boat on that.
8. Youngkin's awkward campaign.
So, it's Terry by four points.

I do think McAuliffe will pull it out, but not by a lot and by a smaller margin than Ayala and Herring. And since he's at the top of the ticket, that alone ought - but probably won't - give the Democrats pause.

As for your specifics.

1. Virginia is a blue/purple state, but the pendulum has been known to swing in both directions.

2. The version of "blue" that prevails in NoVa isn't necessarily the version of "blue" that Terry 2021 represents, which is more like "Pelosi blue" - a limousine liberal version that supports leftist policies while distancing oneself personally from any of the consequences.

3. See #2. Sort of, but the ideal candidate for NoVa is more like Mark Warner than Terry McAuliffe, who'll always be seen as a sleazy carpetbagger who got wealthy due to political connections rather than business acumen.

4. Virginia voters, being center-left now rather than center-right, also despise candidates who demonize their opponents to the extent McAuliffe has in trying to tie Youngkin completely to Trump. It just underscores how unlikable Terry is.

5. You're missing the boat on this one - Virginia voters care a lot about schools and how Democrats have prioritized the views of teachers' associations over students, embraced anti-meritocratic ideology, and generally don't seem to have a clue what they're doing when it comes to public education.

6. We'll see about that - the polls are not perfect. Support for Democratic candidates has been overstated in many recent elections.

7. Virginians are pro-vaccine but many are also anti-mandates.

8. McAuliffe has committed the largest gaffes in the campaign, such as announcing parents have no role in their kids' education, whereas Youngkin has walked the tightrope of appealing to Republicans, independents, and Democrats who still support Biden but are scared of one-party dominance reasonably well.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Many reasons why Terry will win. These are just a few.

1. It's a blue state.
2. Nova is one of the bluest parts of the country.
3. He is a perfect fit for nova--sort of pro-business, likes wealth accumulation, tech, and is liberal/sort of progressive on social issues.
4. The shadow of Trump. Nova voters despise him. And they despise Republicans in general.
5. Very few voters care about school board issues or the alleged teaching of "CRT." Just not an issue for them.
6. Youngkin has only been ahead in one poll. Facts matter. No way there are that many "shy" Youngkin supporters.
7. Nova parents are overwhelmingly supportive of vaccine mandates and masking. They don't want to rock the boat on that.
8. Youngkin's awkward campaign.
So, it's Terry by four points.

It's become socially unacceptable to support a republican in certain circles. That doesn't mean that a person won't vote R, it just means they won't tell anyone that they did. Remember when Polls had Hillary winning and then Biden wining in a landslide?

[Anonymous]

Youngkin = Trumpism period

Vote for him you are a traitor to the US

Voting single issue is just dumb.

He will destroy the schools.

He is a racist antisemite liar.

That rally he just had with Bannon leading the charge of Election lies makes him unacceptable to be in government period.

[Anonymous]

McAuliffe, who barely won last time, doesn't have a Robert Sarvis pulling 6.5% of the vote away from the Republican. And Glenn Youngkin is a lot more electable than Ken Cuccinelli.

Be afraid, Dems. Be very afraid.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:McAuliffe, who barely won last time, doesn't have a Robert Sarvis pulling 6.5% of the vote away from the Republican. And Glenn Youngkin is a lot more electable than Ken Cuccinelli.

Be afraid, Dems. Be very afraid.

Meh, thanks to republicans pushing bipartisan redistricting, there isn't that much reason to be afraid. If you live in NOVA, and Youngkin somehow passes the kind of tax reforms that he's promised it will mean that schools will become more reliant on county funding. That probably nets to us sending less money to prop up school districts in the rest of the state. Of course the guy advising him on tax policy already almost bankrupted one state, so the long term may not be so great. My actual expectation will be that he wins and most of his policies die in the state senate even if he has an R majority. Most of the current state taxes benefit rural Virginia and their politicians know it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:McAuliffe, who barely won last time, doesn't have a Robert Sarvis pulling 6.5% of the vote away from the Republican. And Glenn Youngkin is a lot more electable than Ken Cuccinelli.

Be afraid, Dems. Be very afraid.

+1. I voted for Sarvis in 2013 and will vote for Youngkin in 2021.

[Anonymous]

Early voting suggests democrats have 60+% voting advantage. This is going to be a slam dunk for Dems. Republicans will loose bigly. Both campaigns have so much money that they are just using it tp create more divisions with ads. I will say, Reps should just stop campaigning.

I'm looking forward to a day where VA voting % for dems will be like in DC and California, Republicans would not even bother to vote because Dems will carry every election. That is true democracy.