I think SAT and ACT scores matter more, but grades and overall high school performance matter most. At St.Albans in past years, lots of the Ivy admits were merely "commended." |
Agreed. For example, the SAT tests a fairly simple understanding of algebra-level math, which is far from the more conceptual studies of calculus and linear algebra that many advanced high school students take. The grades that the students receive in these classes are much better indicators of ability to succeed in more advanced areas of study. The standardized tests are more useful at calibrating the school itself, and validating or disproving the student's grade performance and teacher recommendations. At the very upper end of the register (you define) you will find some correlation between acceptance rate and scores, but it is not as strong as you might think. |
I think NMSF and SAT and grades are all good, but imperfect, indicators of which kids are smart. I suppose it's possible for some dumb kid to get lucky and guess correct on enough test questions to boost his score, or possible for some smart kid to get distracted and screw up her PSAT score. But those same errors can creep into school grades. We all know of examples where an average kid who was teacher's pet got an undeservedly high grade, or where a class rebel got unfairly low grades from teachers. No measure is perfect. And thinking back to my own high school experience, it generally was the smartest kids who scored best on the standardized tests. Some were slackers with middling grades, but they were the people we all considered the brightest. Not saying those tests are perfect by any means, but they're pretty effective. |
Your general point may be right, but within the tight band that the PP is talking about (10 or 150 points on a PSAT or 100 to 150 point equivalent on an SAT) a single test taken on any given Saturday is not a good measure of who is "smartest". |
I meant to say 10 to 15 points on PSAT, which is roughly the delta between avg. NMSF and commended scholar and less than one Standard Error. |
This is shocking. Truly. |
NMSF has virtually nothing to do with acceptance at highly selective schools. It's simply a measure of how your PSAT score compares to PSAT scores of others kids in your state. Colleges never see your PSAT score, they evaluate applicants based on SAT I and II, and ACT, scores. There are schools that give very lucrative merit scholarships to NMSF, because they are trying to improve their academic reputation and want to be able to boast about all the NMSFs they enroll (as well as benefit from the boost their SAT averages will get). But not the highly selective ones. |
My experience is that, with the benefit of test prep, a number of those "commended" students actuallly end up with very high SAT scores by application time (which is what colleges use). For example, I've seen more than a few kids qualify for the Presidential Scholarship competition (based on SATs) even though they were just in the commended range for NMSF. Throw in the fact that a lot of these families are sophisticated enough to have the kid try both the ACT and SAT to see which format they have the highest scores on, and there are a good number of independent school kids with very high board scores -- a higher number than you'd think if you just looked at NMSF totals. Definitely agree that it's not all score-based -- far from it. BUT it's an easy way for very selective colleges to eliminate somebody from the mix, and I believe sometimes that happens. (And of course the kid with average grades and perfect scores is actually sending up a huge red flag to colleges.) |
Wow. That's really scary to think that a student would be eliminated from consideration from a PSAT score. My DS missed the DC cutoff by one point! Our school tells kids not to obsess over the PSAT because the SAT is what matters, but maybe it makes more sense to prep for the PSAT if that's the test that will eliminate you. |
There should be a way to communicate PSAT scores to colleges so they can distinguish between a high commended student and a low commended student. |
They won't be "eliminated from consideration" or hurt by the PSAT scores. Schools ask for the ACT or SAT. NMSF only makes a difference if it is a school that is actively trying to recruit Finalists (and that's not the case with the traditional highly selective schools). Your school is correct in its assessment to target the SAT/ACT for prep. |
Sidwell only had 6 national merit semi-finalists this year - the lowest number in my memory. With early decision and early admission (single choice) the 12-15 kids in your example have probably spread out their choices among the top schools. For the RD rounds, that's when you are likely to see the top 15% of the class possibly all trying for the same handful of schools. You are correct that there are only so many kids that they will take from an individual school. My DC is a senior at Sidwell and waiting for next week to see if the early choice works out. No legacy and not a recruitable athlete, but very competitive none-the-less. It's going to be a loooong week!! |
Good luck -- this IS a long week, and tough on kid and family alike. Hope your child gets the school of his/her choice! |
I think Sidwell does fine for its students without hooks- A few years ago they had a girl without any hooks, and not a Sidwell donor at all, go to Stanford. Very smart hardworking but thats all. |
I do think a lot of private school college counseling offices will steer less-wealthy kids to lesser schools. I'm not sure why, but perhaps it is so those kids can get some merit aid money. Every year at our school I see average but wealthy kids cruise into the Ivies (regardless of legacy status) while the counseling offices steer equally good students without wealth to lower ranked schools. I tend to believe it all works out because the Ivies are not what they used to be if they put so much emphasis on wealth and studies show that the real entrepreneurs are likely to emerge from less privileged environments. (The head of the a major private equity fund was just on the radio discussing that fact.) Still, I wish we were beyond this in 2014. |