This is last year's data so I believe it's post-waitlist movement, I assume it's enrollment audit data. |
Cute turn of phrase, but nonsense. As has been explained to you several times, because BASIS is a pure lottery the enrollment is a relative concept. You are now hiding behind that parsing because you're starting to understand that your supposition that kids from Deal, Hardy and SH don't enroll at BASIS is wrong. And, yes, happy to explain. DC publishes enrollment data by boundary. The fact that you don't know this explains how your impressions could have been so wrong. Heck, I could have lived with your ignorance before you were shown the data. What I have a harder time with is that after you were shown data you kept plugging away based only on your own misplaced self confidence. And it only occurs to you 4 responses in to inquire about the data? |
No, it’s correct. As a percentage of people IB for Deal, Hardy and SH (and increasingly EH), the number chosing Basis is small and will get smaller. Most families prefer a strong IB conventional MS. This has nothing to do with you prefering Basis. It has its place. |
People on this board often say that taking Bancroft/Shepherd out of the Deal feed wouldn't make a dent in overcrowding. But, this shows pretty clearly that it would, it's over 100 6th graders. There are almost as many kids from Shepherd as there are from Janney.
Not saying that they should do that, and I know it's very unlikely due to the demographics regardless, just saying that a commonly-used argument doesn't seem to hold water based on the data. |
Cite the data? It's not just about boundary residence, it's about kids having middle school feeder rights due to graduating from an elementary school for which they are OOB. |
We know what actual enrollment by boundary looks like. It is publicly available. |
I was wondering how a data thread got to eleven pages so quickly but I should’ve known. |
It seems like people are trying to assert that kids with rights to (not the same as IB for) Deal, Hardy, JR, and Stuart-Hobson are a significant proportion of BASIS' enrollment. And that may be true, I'm really not sure. Ok, yay for BASIS.
But at the same time, it's also the case that a lot of kids who have access to a high-quality middle school are not choosing BASIS. And that's why you see zero kids from Janney going to BASIS, for example. This data doesn't tell us how many kids wanted to go to BASIS but didn't get in, but it also doesn't tell us how many kids are at BASIS only because they didn't get anything they like better, and how many kids wouldn't have gone to BASIS even if they had applied and matched. But it strikes me as notable when people choose Stuart-Hobson over BASIS even though Eastern isn't an appealing high school. And it seems in this data that a lot of people are choosing Stuart-Hobson. 100% of the kids in my household attend JR, but that doesn't mean I think JR is really that great. And it doesn't make them a significant proportion of JR's enrollment. |
I am 99% sure it includes kids who left my kids' school and came back (weird destination school & combo of sibling grades makes it difficult to imagine this isn't the family I'm thinking of), but I'm not 100% sure if they came back before or after count day. So it's definitely not up to date, but it could be post-count day. |
If you really want to add it up, using "?" for n<10":
SH feeders (Watkins, Ludlow-Taylor, JOW): 17, ?, 0. So between 18 and 26 kids. Deal feeders (Bancroft, Hearst, Janney, Lafayette, Murch, Shepherd, OA): 0, 0, 0, ?, 0, 0, ?. So between 2 and 18 kids. Hardy feeders (Eaton, HA, Key, Mann, Stoddert): ?, ?, ?, ?, 0. So between 4 and 36 kids. So the number is somewhere between 24 and 80 kids. As a proportion of 135 5th graders it's less than 60 percent. Potentially as low as 18%. |
In boundary schools for basis students: SY21-22 DCPS Boundary SY21-22 Count of Grade-Specific Students Living in the DCPS Boundary that Attend the School Anacostia High School 12 Brent Elementary School 11 Brookland Middle School 10 Cardozo Education Campus 45 Deal Middle School 25 Dunbar High School 31 Eastern High School 80 Eliot-Hine Middle School 36 Hardy Middle School 17 Hart Middle School 11 Ida B. Wells Middle School 14 Jefferson Middle School Academy 47 Kelly Miller Middle School 11 MacFarland Middle School 28 Maury Elementary School 11 McKinley Middle School 10 Peabody Elementary School/Watkins Elementary School Capitol Hill Cluster 14 Roosevelt High School 14 School Without Walls @ Francis-Stevens 15 Sousa Middle School 11 Stuart-Hobson Middle School 54 Wilson High School 33 https://dme.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/dme/page_content/attachments/SY2122_Public%20School%20Enrollments%20per%20DCPS%20Boundary_0.xlsx |
This only includes schools at 10+. There are definitely L-T IB kids who are currently 6th graders at BASIS (so were 5th graders last year). |
Very interesting! So we can get a picture of the 5th grade class by looking at kids who are zoned for elementaries. Brent: 11 to BASIS Maury: 11 to BASIS Watkins: 14 to BASIS SWW@FS: 15 to BASIS, but they could be in any of the overlap grades, so I'm gonna call this 4 (15/4 grades) And that's all, for elementary schools sending 10 or more kids to BASIS. Looking at middle schools, so this is over the overlapping grades: Brookland: 10 Cardozo EC: 45 kids over 7 grades, so I'll call it 21 middle school kids and 24 high school kids just as an estimate. Deal: 25 Eliot-Hine: 29 (but not as many as EH kids who go to SH-- 37) Hardy: 17 Hart: 11 Wells: 14 Jefferson: 47 Kelly Miller: 11 MacFarland: 28 McKinley Middle: 10 SWWFS: 15 Sousa: 11 Stuart-Hobson: 54 (compared to 142 IB kids going to SH and 42 going to Latin) High schools (these numbers over 4 grades): Anacostia: 12 Cardozo: see above, 24 Dunbar: 31 Eastern: 80 Roosevelt: 14 JR: 33 So, BASIS high school is attracting a total of 113 kids who are IB for Eastern or JR (which is different from the number of kids who have feeder rights to those schools). Over four grades, that's 28 kids per grade. Is that really so wow? |
You misunderstand the data. Kids who are IB for LT would only be on the list for LT for 5th grade. Once in 6th they'd show up in SH's numbers. |
I understand that. Please read my comment again and then look at what year's data this is. |