2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

Dp- so a federal ban won’t matter in Nevada?

A federal ban will very much matter in Nevada.

Chances of a federal ban are about nil. Rs made a stand on state's rights and the vast majority were unhappy with Graham.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

Dp- so a federal ban won’t matter in Nevada?

A federal ban will very much matter in Nevada.

Chances of a federal ban are about nil. Rs made a stand on state's rights and the vast majority were unhappy with Graham.

Many of us also believed overturning Roe v. Wade wasn't going to happen either. People are not going to make assumptions on this issue anymore.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

Dp- so a federal ban won’t matter in Nevada?

A federal ban will very much matter in Nevada.

Chances of a federal ban are about nil. Rs made a stand on state's rights and the vast majority were unhappy with Graham.

Sure - unless Rs take the Senate and the House. It won't be signed while Biden is president but the prez election is only two years away, gd help us. So yes I'd say a federal ban should be top of EVERY voter's mind.

[Anonymous]

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

[Anonymous]

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This is clearly a trap and Walker is PRAYING that Warnock says something stupid in response. I don’t expect the outcome to be any different from the 2020 GA runoff. Dems will have to work exceptionally hard to win.

Walker is just managing expectations so that when he manages to get through the debate without threatening Warnock with a gun everyone will think he’s done a great job.

If he struggles in a debate, he will be eaten alive in the senate? I would want to be represented by someone with the smarts to fare well in a debate.

No, he won't say anything except for the cameras and from a script given to him by McConnell. There have been Senators were taking medication for Alzheimers for pete's sake (see former Senator Thad Cochran - https://www.businessinsider.com/thad-cochran-campaign-trail-memory-lapse-2014-6?op=1 before he retired/passed away). If Walker wins, he'll be told which way to vote and then vote strictly along party lines.

Yep. He’ll be a 100% guaranteed vote for whatever the Republican base wants at any given moment for 6 years.

It’s true, and it’s mostly why anyone wants to vote for him.

Don’t care, so long as he wins

When nobody likes you you’re less likely to win.

MAGAs lie to pollsters.

I understand that there’s a new movement among Democratic women not to answer polls, either.

we stopped answering polls a few years ago. They call daily.

[Anonymous]

I’m a democratic woman and answer all polls as a Maga lunatic now.
I encourage all like minded women to do the same.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

This is clearly a trap and Walker is PRAYING that Warnock says something stupid in response. I don’t expect the outcome to be any different from the 2020 GA runoff. Dems will have to work exceptionally hard to win.

Walker is just managing expectations so that when he manages to get through the debate without threatening Warnock with a gun everyone will think he’s done a great job.

If he struggles in a debate, he will be eaten alive in the senate? I would want to be represented by someone with the smarts to fare well in a debate.

No, he won't say anything except for the cameras and from a script given to him by McConnell. There have been Senators were taking medication for Alzheimers for pete's sake (see former Senator Thad Cochran - https://www.businessinsider.com/thad-cochran-campaign-trail-memory-lapse-2014-6?op=1 before he retired/passed away). If Walker wins, he'll be told which way to vote and then vote strictly along party lines.

Yep. He’ll be a 100% guaranteed vote for whatever the Republican base wants at any given moment for 6 years.

It’s true, and it’s mostly why anyone wants to vote for him.

Don’t care, so long as he wins

When nobody likes you you’re less likely to win.

MAGAs lie to pollsters.

I understand that there’s a new movement among Democratic women not to answer polls, either.

we stopped answering polls a few years ago. They call daily.

I have never in my life received a call for a political poll. I wonder how this works.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

This is clearly a trap and Walker is PRAYING that Warnock says something stupid in response. I don’t expect the outcome to be any different from the 2020 GA runoff. Dems will have to work exceptionally hard to win.

Walker is just managing expectations so that when he manages to get through the debate without threatening Warnock with a gun everyone will think he’s done a great job.

If he struggles in a debate, he will be eaten alive in the senate? I would want to be represented by someone with the smarts to fare well in a debate.

No, he won't say anything except for the cameras and from a script given to him by McConnell. There have been Senators were taking medication for Alzheimers for pete's sake (see former Senator Thad Cochran - https://www.businessinsider.com/thad-cochran-campaign-trail-memory-lapse-2014-6?op=1 before he retired/passed away). If Walker wins, he'll be told which way to vote and then vote strictly along party lines.

Yep. He’ll be a 100% guaranteed vote for whatever the Republican base wants at any given moment for 6 years.

It’s true, and it’s mostly why anyone wants to vote for him.

Don’t care, so long as he wins

When nobody likes you you’re less likely to win.

MAGAs lie to pollsters.

I understand that there’s a new movement among Democratic women not to answer polls, either.

we stopped answering polls a few years ago. They call daily.

I have never in my life received a call for a political poll. I wonder how this works.

My in-laws live in New Hampshire and pollsters call all the time. We live in Maryland and no one ever calls…

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Clueless Republican J. D. Vance in OH has declined to debate Tim Ryan. It would have just shown him to be the empty windbag that really has no clue about anything other than what his puppetmaster, TFG, is telling him to think and say.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-ohio-campaigns-mike-dewine-political-debates-be1b69abcd9ad518744ba667bd145332

The leader of that debate commission is a Ryan voter. Are you cool with the NRA hosting one of the 2024 debates?

Republicans always whine about the referees, because they're cowards.

[Anonymous]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3653604-new-poll-finds-ryan-vance-separated-by-just-1-point-in-ohio-senate-race/amp/

Tim Ryan is within a point of JD Vance despite Ohio being increasingly red. jD Vance apparently didn’t campaign much all summer. LaZy!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Wasn't that a sign of being Smart?

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:

Wasn't that a sign of being Smart?

LOL.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Wasn't that a sign of being Smart?

Some consider tax avoidance smart, but no one in good standing considers tax evasion smart.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Pennsylvania voters have a long history of knowing about this and still electing Fetterman to statewide office. And he has paid off all the liens.
https://www.wtae.com/amp/article/senate-candidate-john-fetterman-owed-thousands-in-unpaid-taxes-records-show/7479117