2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

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This is clearly a trap and Walker is PRAYING that Warnock says something stupid in response. I don’t expect the outcome to be any different from the 2020 GA runoff. Dems will have to work exceptionally hard to win.

Walker is just managing expectations so that when he manages to get through the debate without threatening Warnock with a gun everyone will think he’s done a great job.

If he struggles in a debate, he will be eaten alive in the senate? I would want to be represented by someone with the smarts to fare well in a debate.

No, he won't say anything except for the cameras and from a script given to him by McConnell. There have been Senators were taking medication for Alzheimers for pete's sake (see former Senator Thad Cochran - https://www.businessinsider.com/thad-cochran-campaign-trail-memory-lapse-2014-6?op=1 before he retired/passed away). If Walker wins, he'll be told which way to vote and then vote strictly along party lines.

Yep. He’ll be a 100% guaranteed vote for whatever the Republican base wants at any given moment for 6 years.

It’s true, and it’s mostly why anyone wants to vote for him.

Don’t care, so long as he wins

When nobody likes you you’re less likely to win.

MAGAs lie to pollsters.

I understand that there’s a new movement among Democratic women not to answer polls, either.

[Anonymous]

Clueless Republican J. D. Vance in OH has declined to debate Tim Ryan. It would have just shown him to be the empty windbag that really has no clue about anything other than what his puppetmaster, TFG, is telling him to think and say.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-ohio-campaigns-mike-dewine-political-debates-be1b69abcd9ad518744ba667bd145332

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Clueless Republican J. D. Vance in OH has declined to debate Tim Ryan. It would have just shown him to be the empty windbag that really has no clue about anything other than what his puppetmaster, TFG, is telling him to think and say.

https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-ohio-campaigns-mike-dewine-political-debates-be1b69abcd9ad518744ba667bd145332

The leader of that debate commission is a Ryan voter. Are you cool with the NRA hosting one of the 2024 debates?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

More recent polls. Laxalt has led in every poll on September. Cortez Masto led during the summer but the winds have shifted.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

More recent polls. Laxalt has led in every poll on September. Cortez Masto led during the summer but the winds have shifted.

Also, the recent Hobbs/Lake polls mostly show the race very close/tied or Lake slightly ahead, with a couple of outliers showing Hobbs ahead by 12-14 points. Polling seems off in that state.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

+1 Masters in particular is way behind.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/arizona/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

+1 Masters in particular is way behind.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/arizona/

Again, based in part of polls from a Dem-associated PAC that show him down 20+ points. The recent polls are close. I think Masters will lose, but not by double digits.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems.

The PP's posted polls backing up their points. What do you have?

Not the PP. I prefer betting odds over polls. Election betting odds has Lake for Arizona governor at 60.9% and Hobbs at 39.1%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

Dp- so a federal ban won’t matter in Nevada?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D. But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left. Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label. Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's. But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/

Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.

Abortion isn't an issue in Nevada. The right to abortion is in its constitution, so there is not much more to say about it.

Dp- so a federal ban won’t matter in Nevada?

A federal ban will very much matter in Nevada.