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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Regardless of these polls, Herschel Walker is beloved by many Georgians. I wouldn't count him out.[/quote]

All of these are within the margin of error. I expect the R's to win most of the ones that are this close. Let's hope PA comes through, AZ and NV hold and maybe a pick up in either WS or OH but I doubt both. I see this as a push election. At best, no change in the Senate.[/quote]

Election Betting Odds has this currently at 50/50.

OH, NC, and FL seem pretty firmly R at this point.

WI is tilting R, while PA and AZ are tilting D.  But all could go the other way.

In WI, there are many who see Johnson as too Trumpy and many who view Barnes as too left.  Party affiliation is weak in the state.

In PA, Oz has taken on more consistent and winning messaging but has to overcome the NJ carpet bagging label.  Fetterman started with a strong base, but his ability to hold on to others is clouded by health questions and a trust fund tax shirker label.

In AZ, Kari Lake is strongly favored for governor, and there are questions as to how many Lake-Kelly voters there could be, perhaps allowing Masters to be pushed over the finishing line.

In NV, Laxalt has gained slowly but steadily and his views on the economy and immigration seem to be resounding more than Cortez Masto's.  But she has the advantage of incumbency.

Georgia is pure toss up.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

[/quote]

Kari Lake is not favored in AZ -- The democrat Hobbs is favored:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/arizona/[/quote]
Yeah this isn’t the thread for it but Lake is behind. Masters is even more behind. Laxalt is also behind, and Cortez Masto doesn’t just have incumbency - she’s a popular Senator and pro-choice in a state that’s much more pro-choice than the average swing state.[/quote]

Saying/hoping someone is behind doesn’t make it true. The Republicans are gaining a lot of ground after a good summer for Dems. [/quote]

The PP's posted polls backing up their points.  What do you have?[/quote]

More recent polls. Laxalt has led in every poll on September. Cortez Masto led during the summer but the winds have shifted. [/quote]

Also, the recent Hobbs/Lake polls mostly show the race very close/tied or Lake slightly ahead, with a couple of outliers showing Hobbs ahead by 12-14 points. Polling seems off in that state. [/quote]

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