Elrich Now in the Lead

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Does Elrich want to remove single family zoning? I saw a person in a bee costume who supports Elrich by holding a sign saying something about single family zoning.

No, Elrich is a NIMBY
https://dcist.com/story/21/06/11/housing-fight-heats-up-montgomery-county-executive-race/

The viewpoint of Greater Greater Washington and their big developer daddies.

[Anonymous]

Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

I hope this view is right.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

+1

Will ballots be counted in the order they are received through the mail or ballot drop boxes?

It’s uncertain. Naimon and Zelaya said they don’t have any way of knowing when ballots were received.

https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

+1

Will ballots be counted in the order they are received through the mail or ballot drop boxes?

It’s uncertain. Naimon and Zelaya said they don’t have any way of knowing when ballots were received.

https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

True, but I think it's LIFO not FIFO.

DH dropped off his ballot before me, but I got the confirmation email before him.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Actually,.Elrich is the least of all the devil's running, which is why people are.voting for him.

With the depleting police department. Expect more “devil’s running” out there since you seem to be good with that.

[Anonymous]

Elrich has won

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Elrich has won

Sorry, did a reputable news outlet call the race for Elrich? Because they just updated the totals (I'm guessing provisional ballots) and the gap has now narrowed to 141 votes, about half of what it was (276 votes). Notice that for Council At Large only Evan Glass has declared victory, yet the other top vote getters are thousands of votes ahead of the rest of the pack. I don't think you all realize how close this race and the last two batches of votes have favored Blair. Nobody knows yet who will win this.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

+1

Will ballots be counted in the order they are received through the mail or ballot drop boxes?

It’s uncertain. Naimon and Zelaya said they don’t have any way of knowing when ballots were received.

https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

So they are going through the first mail in batch. 34,000 I think? Those came in before early voting. On Wednesday, they do provisionals. Which occurred during early voting and election day. Then on Friday they do batch 2 of those which are at least 27,000. Overwhelmingly they came in a ballot boxes during early voting. Some people think that batch 2 will mirror early voting totals, which heavily favored Blair.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

+1

Will ballots be counted in the order they are received through the mail or ballot drop boxes?

It’s uncertain. Naimon and Zelaya said they don’t have any way of knowing when ballots were received.

https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

So they are going through the first mail in batch. 34,000 I think? Those came in before early voting. On Wednesday, they do provisionals. Which occurred during early voting and election day. Then on Friday they do batch 2 of those which are at least 27,000. Overwhelmingly they came in a ballot boxes during early voting. Some people think that batch 2 will mirror early voting totals, which heavily favored Blair.

This makes sense. I imagine within batch 1 it has not necessarily been in any particular order though there are probably geographical differences in where ballots are being counted from on any given day.

And yeah the people who hadn't already decided who they were voting for (less likely to be union members so it's less clear who will benefit them the most) didn't submit their mail in ballot right away but waited instead. My parents voted for Blair and they dropped off their ballots the weekend before election day - they took their time to decide who to vote for. So I can definitely see there being differences in the mail in vote from batch 1 to batch 2.

[Anonymous]

If only you guys would have put this same energy in analyzing the vote totals and arguing with Elrich supporters as convincing Riemer supporters (and probably your friends) that voting for Riemer was a quixotic and foolish endeavor that would only help Elrich.

It’s almost like the most the most aggressive posters are probably Riemer voters themselves trying to will a Blair victory into existence in order to absolve themselves of their misguided decision.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If only you guys would have put this same energy in analyzing the vote totals and arguing with Elrich supporters as convincing Riemer supporters (and probably your friends) that voting for Riemer was a quixotic and foolish endeavor that would only help Elrich.

It’s almost like the most the most aggressive posters are probably Riemer voters themselves trying to will a Blair victory into existence in order to absolve themselves of their misguided decision.

Something needs to be done about people voting for the wrong candidate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If only you guys would have put this same energy in analyzing the vote totals and arguing with Elrich supporters as convincing Riemer supporters (and probably your friends) that voting for Riemer was a quixotic and foolish endeavor that would only help Elrich.

It’s almost like the most the most aggressive posters are probably Riemer voters themselves trying to will a Blair victory into existence in order to absolve themselves of their misguided decision.

I spent my time getting republicans and independents to register as democrat so they could vote for Blair.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I would rather be Blair than Elrich right now if I wanted to win the election. Elrich had been relying on mail in votes cast before the polls shifted last month. Those were the ones that trended in his direction, while mail in votes made closer to the election would be like the early vote, which was decisively in Blair’s direction. Saturday’s votes broke marginally for Blair which suggests the trend has already shifted. So unfortunately for Elrich, only about 10,000 votes were made early enough to favor him while the remaining 50,000 will be more for Blair. Add in the provisional ballots, which will mainly be Republicans and Independents switching to Democrat, just to vote for Blair…. Elrich will be toast. It’s just a matter of days. I think if Blair pulls ahead in today’s count, it will be over.

You're suggesting that the mail-in ballots are counted in the order they were received, but I don't think we know that that is what's happening.

+1

Will ballots be counted in the order they are received through the mail or ballot drop boxes?

It’s uncertain. Naimon and Zelaya said they don’t have any way of knowing when ballots were received.

https://bethesdamagazine.com/bethesda-beat/politics/heres-a-look-at-the-process-for-counting-mail-in-and-provisional-ballots-in-montgomery-county/

True, but I think it's LIFO not FIFO.

DH dropped off his ballot before me, but I got the confirmation email before him.

When did you both vote? Before or during early voting ?