The vast majority of people who got covid were, at most, sick for a few days, then moved on with their lives. We didn't even bother trying to isolate family members from each other other when my wife got it in 2020, and when our kids got it this year. Your anxiety is leading you to catastrophize. |
There's no magic bullet for covid vaccines or treatment in the foreseeable future. What you see right now is what you're going to get. Whoever is telling you there is a sterilizing vaccine or some sort of super-effective treatment just around the corner is lying to you. |
See, the thing is, if you take precautions and catch the virus anyway (as many, many people have), all of the precautions you took since you got vaccinated will have been for naught. They will have had a net negative effect. So you have to decide whether you want to place your bets on substantially improved vaccines that might be developed, and easier access to treatments you probably won't need if you are vaccinated, and in the meantime miss out on human interaction. Many people think life is too short for that and it's not a wise approach. |
People who are COVID cautious follow other aspects of public health advice, not just what is convenient. That means testing when you have symptoms or staying home, isolating a positive family member when possible, having other family members wear high-quality masks outside of the house when indoors or in crowded outdoor settings for 10 days after last exposure, and testing family members 5 days after last exposure. That can be onerous, especially for larger families, especially at times when being out sick would be inconvenient. For me, avoiding those measures is reason enough to be cautious. I don't know if it is smarter or if following this advice makes anyone a better person, but it definitely makes people who take measures to avoid infecting other people more compassionate human beings. If you say you are following the science/public health guidance and also are "done with masks" you aren't following public health guidance and aren't willing to accept any inconvenience if you become infected to avoid infecting others. |
Well said. I don't think they doubt themselves even one bit. |
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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) estimates that for every 100 cases in the U.S., only 6-7 are officially recorded in our surveillance systems.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=resource-use&tab=trend&resource=all_resources For example, on March 31, 2022 IMHE reported 27,400 cases but estimated 404,600 “true” cases due to underreporting and asymptomatic infection. This gap has dramatically widened over time. During the peak Delta wave, an estimated 43% of cases were reported. During Omicron, about 26% of cases were recorded. Right now, an estimated 7% of cases are reported, which is abysmally low. We are now totally flying blind. |
Do you realize what this dramatic underestimation of the denominator means for our existing assessments of the risk the virus poses to the average person? |
Why don't you tell us the risk of a vaccinated person getting COVID and having symptoms for a week or more? What is the risk of a vaccinated and boosted person experiencing long COVID symptoms? Show us the data you are using for your superior risk assessment. |
So you think that people out the DMV are just lying about following other aspects of public health advice. You think that since they no longer wear masks outdoors or in certain indoor environments that the CDC has said it is okay for unvaccinated people to unmask, that means they aren't testing or isolating with exposures? You assume that they are jus doing what is convenient, that they are hypocrites when they say they are following CDC advice, that it's just a ruse to avoid wearing masks? Have you... met people from other areas? My extended family is Covid cautious. They masked for a long time, but mask a lot less since getting vaccinated. There was a brief period of remarking during Omicron, but when it passed they stopped masking again. Some of them work in healthcare so they of course mask at work. But they go to restaurants, travel, etc. They are all vaccinated and boosted, some twice. Some have high risk factors and they mask more than others. They don't freak out when the see unmasked people in stores. They all test as appropriate and of course isolate with symptoms. Many of them got Covid during the Omicron surge and they stayed home and quarantined as they were supposed to. And yet if you went to where they live, you'd see lots of unmasked people just living their lives. Not stupid people or Trump lovers. Not anti-vaxers or anti-maskers. Intelligent, educated people making rational choices for themselves and their family. There would be whole days that would go by when you wouldn't even think about Covid. You might see a few people in masks and not think anything of it, assume they were high risk or that they had a cold or that they just preferred to wear a mask. This is much of the country now. DC is the only place I know of where people are still FREAKING OUT about this and constantly trying to one-up each other for being the most Covid-cautious, for being the people doing the pandemic the best. I know people all over the country and I don't know anywhere like this. When you are the outlier, you have to ask yourself if you might be the one doing it wrong. Like you might just want to consider that people in DC are not better, smarter, more virtuous, more educated, or more informed than everyone else on the planet. Just throwing it out there. |
The bolded argument is undermined by how often the most COVID cautious use their practices to criticize and shame those who are less cautious, even slightly less so. If you denigrate those who are fully boosted, for example, but who choose not to mask indoors, you are not, in fact, a compassionate human being. Being a compassionate human being means caring about more than transmitting COVID. Too many people here seem to have forgotten that. |
For the most part, people aren’t masking to protect others. That’s such a “message board” thing to say. |
DP I'm in Fairfax Co and it seems to me like the number of masked people has dropped by a lot. I'm ok with that, I'm just saying I don't see a lot of obvious precautions right now. Most of my ES students dropped their masks on March 1. Staff is maybe 50/50. Administration doesn't wear masks. |
Did you understand my comment? My point is that the risk a Covid infection poses to the average person is much lower than our current estimates, which are based on a known denominator of recorded cases, suggest. It is impossible to know what the exact probability of the outcomes you are asking about is, but it is certainly much lower than you would think based on recorded cases. That's why the study from Germany on Covid risk to children was so superior. They used seroprevalence data to determine the denominator. |
Why does that matter? If they test, and test positive, it is good info for them to have and they can stay home or take whatever measures they need to take until they feel better. |
PP here, and I never said anything about freaking out about unvaccinated or unmasked people. I also never said anything about mask mandates or avoiding activities. You are talking about right versus wrong. I simply said that if you take COVID seriously, you accept your personal risk and the responsibility to try to avoid spreading it if your family gets COVID. For some people, efforts to avoid infection by way of masking or avoiding crowded indoor settings aren't as onerous as others think they are. I would much rather mask in the airport than be sick on my vacation. If masking cuts down on the chance of being sick, why is that "wrong"? Why does it bother you so much if others mask? By the way, I just returned from a trip to a red state where I spoke with people who are masking, including servers, Uber drivers, and others we met. Their reasons were the same as most of us here - they have vulnerable family members that they live with or care for, they have medical conditions that put them at higher risk of a bad outcome from COVID, they have medical conditions that might not necessary not put them at greater risk from COVID, but which make them more cautious about the possibility of long COVID, they have young children at home, etc. These people are out there. Why judging them so important to you? |