Are there neighborhoods that you believe will spiral in the next ten or twenty years?

[Anonymous]

A friend moved from Herndon recently believing the crime and vacant businesses will skyrocket and cause the area to plummet.


Are there areas you feel will go downhill in the next decade or so?

[Anonymous]

How much lower can Herndon go?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:How much lower can Herndon go?

People once said that about Springfield mall…

[Anonymous]

Arlington is on downslope

[Anonymous]

Parts of DC that clawed their way toward gentrification but can escape the crime

Reston that feeds into South Lakes High School

Areas around Tysons Corner where Fairfax County wants to dump more affordable housing due to Silver Line extension.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Arlington is on downslope

I agree with you. There are too many people pushing too many things so that nothing is getting done. Plan Langston Blvd has been pushed aside for Missing Middle Housing which will have limited benefit. Meanwhile, every corridor is being stuffed with dense housing and CAFs. We are waiting for our twins to finish fifth grade at one of the elementary schools and then are moving to McLean. You get more land and house for the money and it is just a nicer group of people. We also have the option of getting kids into TJ and better middle and high school classes.

Arlington fell for the Amazon deal hook, line, and sinker and now Amazon is laying off people, not sending its top earners to the area, and probably will have a different business model by the time Virginia Tech and George Mason produce all the new grads who are slotted to work for Amazon. The loss of the commercial and hotel tax base is also showing up in higher property taxes.

[Anonymous]

What will happen to Loudoun County now that Silver Line is open? Will it decline? Asking as someone who lived there for 5 years, moved to DC, and would return but was diagnosed with MS and like the ease of access but appreciated the quiet.

[Anonymous]

Places like Loudoun will explode in a good way. Places like Arlington will start going downward.

[Anonymous]

Falls Church City will not necessarily decline, but it is changing a lot and I think the type of people who live there will change a lot in the next 20 years. It's becoming far too dense and people who moved there for the charming, little city feel, are likely to move away now that it's basically turning into Clarendon. We know a lot of empty nesters who are cashing out and moving away because they don't like the way the city is going.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Arlington is on downslope

I agree with you. There are too many people pushing too many things so that nothing is getting done. Plan Langston Blvd has been pushed aside for Missing Middle Housing which will have limited benefit. Meanwhile, every corridor is being stuffed with dense housing and CAFs. We are waiting for our twins to finish fifth grade at one of the elementary schools and then are moving to McLean. You get more land and house for the money and it is just a nicer group of people. We also have the option of getting kids into TJ and better middle and high school classes.

Arlington fell for the Amazon deal hook, line, and sinker and now Amazon is laying off people, not sending its top earners to the area, and probably will have a different business model by the time Virginia Tech and George Mason produce all the new grads who are slotted to work for Amazon. The loss of the commercial and hotel tax base is also showing up in higher property taxes.

As someone who grew up in McLean and now lives in Arlington, DISAGREE. McLean is not somewhere I’d want to live now.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Parts of DC that clawed their way toward gentrification but can escape the crime

Reston that feeds into South Lakes High School

Areas around Tysons Corner where Fairfax County wants to dump more affordable housing due to Silver Line extension.

This is a popular take, but crime is actually down in DC in 2022 relative to last year.

DC can be tough for families, but the region is still growing, and the fertility rate is still near all-time lows. The increase in the number of singles and DINKs alone is enough to keep DC out of any real spiral.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Parts of DC that clawed their way toward gentrification but can escape the crime

Reston that feeds into South Lakes High School

Areas around Tysons Corner where Fairfax County wants to dump more affordable housing due to Silver Line extension.

Disagree about south lakes. That area of reston is great — close to the lake, shopping, now metro, jobs. The people who don’t like south lakes HS are the ones scared of diversity. But it’s a great are that will continue to attract.

I wonder about places like Logan circle. Not as fun as other places in the city, close to the spreading camps of in housed and, if you don’t need to be downtown 5 days a week, what’s the point. DC just does not have a vibrant downtown—there are much better parts of the city to live in. The Gallery place neighborhood is also starting to look sketchy again so wondering if that will spread outwards towards some of the expensive condos.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Arlington is on downslope

I agree with you. There are too many people pushing too many things so that nothing is getting done. Plan Langston Blvd has been pushed aside for Missing Middle Housing which will have limited benefit. Meanwhile, every corridor is being stuffed with dense housing and CAFs. We are waiting for our twins to finish fifth grade at one of the elementary schools and then are moving to McLean. You get more land and house for the money and it is just a nicer group of people. We also have the option of getting kids into TJ and better middle and high school classes.

Arlington fell for the Amazon deal hook, line, and sinker and now Amazon is laying off people, not sending its top earners to the area, and probably will have a different business model by the time Virginia Tech and George Mason produce all the new grads who are slotted to work for Amazon. The loss of the commercial and hotel tax base is also showing up in higher property taxes.

As someone who grew up in McLean and now lives in Arlington, DISAGREE. McLean is not somewhere I’d want to live now.

NP. We’re the opposite - used to live in Arlington, now live in McLean, and would not consider moving back to Arlington. The increasing density does not appeal to us and the battles over the county’s future development plans have gotten so fever-pitched and overtly political.

[Anonymous]

I’m no expert but logically it seems like neighborhoods with family sized housing (say 4+ bedrooms) and lower rated schools seem like a bad investment.

Singles, couples without kids and empty nesters normally don’t want more than 3 bedrooms, and they don’t care about schools - except for resale value. While families want the higher ranked schools if they can afford it.

[Anonymous]

Hoping not Silver Spring because we recently moved here. But the crime in downtown has given me some pause.