Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

26% among independents, down from 40%.

Wow.

+1
What’s further fascinating about that poll, though slightly off topic from this thread, is that only 15% think we’re reopening the country too slow. We’re seriously subject to the tyranny of the minority in the country.

Who is the 33% who seriously thinks that Donald’s handing of corona is a-ok? It just doesn’t make any sense at all.

Gonna guess some or a lot of those are “somewhat satisfied” instead of “very satisfied.” Or, they’ve od’d on the koolaid.

[Anonymous]

Cook Political Report yesterday:

🔘 Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s 2nd district move from Toss Up to Lean Democrat.
🔘 Maine, once in Lean Democrat, moves to the safer Likely Democratic category.
🔘 Georgia has joined Arizona, North Carolina and Florida in the Toss Up column, although, at this point, Biden would be slightly favored to win at least Arizona and Florida.
🔘 Maine’s 2nd district has moved from Likely Republican to a more competitive Lean Republican.

These moves alone push Biden over the 270 electoral vote threshold (to 279).

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/new-july-2020-electoral-college-ratings

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Cook Political Report yesterday:

🔘 Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Nebraska’s 2nd district move from Toss Up to Lean Democrat.
🔘 Maine, once in Lean Democrat, moves to the safer Likely Democratic category.
🔘 Georgia has joined Arizona, North Carolina and Florida in the Toss Up column, although, at this point, Biden would be slightly favored to win at least Arizona and Florida.
🔘 Maine’s 2nd district has moved from Likely Republican to a more competitive Lean Republican.

These moves alone push Biden over the 270 electoral vote threshold (to 279).

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/new-july-2020-electoral-college-ratings

🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏

[Anonymous]

Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

Gahhhh GOTV GOTV GOTV.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

[Anonymous]

One-third of this country is consistently crazy. It shows up in every survey.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:One-third of this country is consistently crazy. It shows up in every survey.

If it's any consolation, one third of most countries are consistently crazy. Brexiteers in Britain, racists in Italy and Germany. I read an academic paper substantiating the one-third thing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One-third of this country is consistently crazy. It shows up in every survey.

If it's any consolation, one third of most countries are consistently crazy. Brexiteers in Britain, racists in Italy and Germany. I read an academic paper substantiating the one-third thing.

I'd be interested in reading that paper. If you have a cite or tip on tracking it down, I would appreciate it.

My favorite characterization of this phenomenon is still Steve Schmidt's: "One third of this country is, and always has been, bat-shit crazy."

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

Correcting my post: Biden is +5, just outside the margin of error.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

Correcting my post: Biden is +5, just outside the margin of error.

If Democrats start winning in Texas, that’s it. Even if it becomes a leaning R swing state like Florida is right now, that’s the last big firewall of the Republicans.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

Correcting my post: Biden is +5, just outside the margin of error.

If Democrats start winning in Texas, that’s it. Even if it becomes a leaning R swing state like Florida is right now, that’s the last big firewall of the Republicans.

It's not an if. It's a when.

Trump may manage to make it happen sooner than anyone imagined.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

Correcting my post: Biden is +5, just outside the margin of error.

If Democrats start winning in Texas, that’s it. Even if it becomes a leaning R swing state like Florida is right now, that’s the last big firewall of the Republicans.

It's not an if. It's a when.

Trump may manage to make it happen sooner than anyone imagined.

So what happens afterwards? Do we have a period of time when the Dems dominate before some schism splits them in two and we end up like Britain with two left-of-center and one right-of-center parties?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Biden's lead in Texas (TEXAS!!) is now outside of the margin of error.

It feels like someone is trolling us.

The new Dallas Morning News poll has Biden +8, margin of error 4.3%. Woohoo!

Correcting my post: Biden is +5, just outside the margin of error.

If Democrats start winning in Texas, that’s it. Even if it becomes a leaning R swing state like Florida is right now, that’s the last big firewall of the Republicans.

It's not an if. It's a when.

Trump may manage to make it happen sooner than anyone imagined.

So what happens afterwards? Do we have a period of time when the Dems dominate before some schism splits them in two and we end up like Britain with two left-of-center and one right-of-center parties?

Almost certainly not. Our system heavily punishes third parties sk that they never get anywhere. More likely the GOP revamps to attract more Latinos and moderates, so that a balance of power is maintained. However, Democrats would have the advantage for a while.