its the same sample size as just about every other year. You are trying to find solace in the possibility that this year's sample is wildly less representative than the previous years. Listen, none of these are bad schools and we are talking about extremely selective colleges. But the shifts in matriculation away from UVA, VY and W&M and towards JMU and GMU indicates that the academic achievement of the 2025 class is different than previous years. |
I am a big critic of the new TJ admissions process but there is really no comparison between TJ and any other VA high school. |
You assume that it's the same sample size. I'm just saying that you can't draw too much from limited information. I get that some people are fine with "alternate facts" but I prefer to not jump to conclusions. |
GMU has never been higher than 4th in in-state matriculations (always behind UVA, W&M, and VT), but it was first this year. That point seems significant. |
We don’t really know that. The data is insufficient. Given the shift in family incomes, it seems feasible that matriculations will be more driven by finances going forward. |
OK. GMU has never been higher than 4th among Virginia publics for the 70% or so of matriculations that appear in TJ Senior issue. If the other Virginia schools were an option, would GMU actually be cheaper other than for full pay given financial aid practices? |
It’s local so kids could commute to save room/board. |
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269 / 501 = 54%
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If it is a random sample, that is huge. |
Possibly. But we don’t know the whole story. You don’t know where students were admitted. There are many reasons why someone may select a college - including financial. Given the increased number of students who come from less wealthy areas of FCPS and the increased number of students who qualify for FRM, we should expect a shift in college matriculations. |
It’s not random. |
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And it’s also not “70%”.
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Please discuss. It seems true based schools fare better than TJ in recent years. |
Going from the Instagram pages, Langley and McLean each had at least 3 kids going to Stanford, McLean had one or more kids going to MIT and all the Ivies except Harvard, and Langley had one or more kids going to MIT and all the Ivies except Penn and Princeton. |
Legacy, urm, fgli, athlete, and other hooks. This is how they are all getting in, TJ and base. The schools are not doing anything special. |