Link? Where is the data on this? |
Thanks - I appreciate that. Ironically, my child who applied has had some second thoughts, and will likely choose to stay with their friends at our local HS. But it will be an accomplishment my child will always have if they are offered a spot. We respect our child’s choice of HS, and just want them to thrive where they choose. 2nd child seems far more interested and driven. Again we support their choice, and will continue to do so, whatever happens. I personally do not believe it’s a good idea to force a teen into an experience like TJ without a lot of commitment on the teen’s part. |
Undoubtedly correct! |
|
Through February 2022, TJ has lost 16 kids this school year. FCPS hasn't yet provided the data to break down by grade.
Through similar periods in the 2020-21, 2019-20, 2018-19, and 2017-18 school years, TJ lost 4, 2, 13, and 7 kids. So more kids than usual/average, but not necessarily a lot more given that the enrollment was expanded and more kids were admitted who may not have been quite as invested in attending TJ as in the past. Not sure you can chalk it up to academic challenges as much as other changes. |
Broken down by race/ethnicity: 16 students have left 9 Asian 4 Hispanic/Latino 3 white 0 Black 0 Two or More |
OP, i think it is a fair question and has nothing to do with demonizing 12 and 13 year olds (or more accurately 14 year olds). But, I just wanted to point out that, no, not anywhere close to every AAP parent has any interest in TJ at all. |
OP again. BIG THANKS PP! It seems we finally have a definitive factual answer: 1) more pupils have withdrawn this year than in recent prior years, however: 2) the rumor I heard (which someone repeated a few pages back) is false. No where near 50 pupils have withdrawn (if you hear that rumor, kindly dispel it). Personally, I believe the increase is rather small, and it’s not worth speculating on the cause at this point. To me, there are bigger issues to track here: the effect of the recent court judgment, the county’s reaction, and the future admissions process. As stated previously, I’m the parent of one TJ applicant and a future applicant. |
DP. Very measured take and I'm glad that this community was able to help with your questions. Given that they will have had a full 8th grade year to draw from, it will be interesting to see what happens with the Class of 2026, presuming they are selected by a similar-if-not-identical process. |
Just out. Up to February of each year, here are the drop-off numbers for 9th graders at TJ: 21-22: 10! 20-21: 1 19-20: 1 18-19: 6 This is statistically speaking, significantly different from past years. |
This freshman class also had a significantly higher “yield rate” of acceptances: 2025: 9 declines (550 accepted, 531 started) 2024: 33 2023: 35 2022: 24 2021: 54 2020: 24 Also, back in 17-19, there were a ton of drop outs during the school year and summer (48 net loss). |
| Typo: 541 started |
I'm not quite sure that's right - just because the Admissions Office was very public about going to the wait pool to fill spaces up to at least the beginning of the school year. |
This is how rumors start. Your family friend doesn't know what she is talking about. |
I don't think you can compare this year to previous years given the significant learning losses coming out of the pandemic - you know that pandemic learning loss is the most likely reason for kids dropping out this year, right? |
Repeating specifically to OP - drop outs are not because of who was admissions, but rather because of the pandemic. Are you ignoring that last year was a mess? |