Who do you think is going to win and why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Trump. If we don’t we’ll have a Democrat party that will become more militant and dangerous . Case in point:
[twitter] https://x.com/bubblebathgirl/status/1850172257412293083?s=46[/twitter]

Screaming in a kids face? Really? This is typical Democrat supporter behavior and it will cause Trump to win

Wow! I love how the narrative is trump supporters are insane when it seems to be quite the opposite.

The unhinged Kamala supporter in the video has been identified iqnd is a paid community organizer for the Kamala campaign.

So the Harris campaign has its organizers yelling at toddlers now.

Wow….just…wow….

Harris/Walz…vote for us or our staff will scream at your toddlers.

Stay Klassy Kamala

That’s been debunked. Identity of the screaming woman is still unknown. Agreed the behavior was appalling.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris will win. Remember the Kansas 2022 abortion referendum? Women unlike men are focused, determined, organized and move like hyenas. One election day they will show up to vote. You cannot count on men to show the same determination.

Just because a household has a Trump sign does not mean mom, dad and the kids are voting Trump. Mom and dad will buy the kids May not. If a family has 3 kids, statistically 2 of them are women. And I think women will vote for Harris en masse. People will be very surprised. Trump is counting on rappers to convince young black men to vote for him sure lol.

That is what we call hopium.

Look at the early voting stats. I know it’s just one example, but Portland’s Multnomah County so far has early voting that is a 73% decline from 2020 and about a 50% decline from the average of the prior four presidential elections. Does that sound like enthusiasm to you from one of the most liberal cities in the country?

Oregon isn’t a swing state and Multnomah County is an absolute mess. I wouldn’t read too much into that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Harris will win. Remember the Kansas 2022 abortion referendum? Women unlike men are focused, determined, organized and move like hyenas. One election day they will show up to vote. You cannot count on men to show the same determination.

Just because a household has a Trump sign does not mean mom, dad and the kids are voting Trump. Mom and dad will buy the kids May not. If a family has 3 kids, statistically 2 of them are women. And I think women will vote for Harris en masse. People will be very surprised. Trump is counting on rappers to convince young black men to vote for him sure lol.

That is what we call hopium.

Look at the early voting stats. I know it’s just one example, but Portland’s Multnomah County so far has early voting that is a 73% decline from 2020 and about a 50% decline from the average of the prior four presidential elections. Does that sound like enthusiasm to you from one of the most liberal cities in the country?

It’s almost as if there’s absolutely nothing different between now and 2020…….

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Sincere lack of interest in this election, I don't feel enthusiasm from anyone around me except for one friend saying she is only voting for Harris for Abortion Rights. I kind of get her point, but so many other issues but really neither has a plan.

People aren't voting FOR a candidate this election. They are voting AGAINST the other candidate. Neither Harris nor Trump are offering anything positive now. They are both just trying to generate hate for the other side. I honestly have no idea how it's going to go. All I know is that this is the most pathetic election in US history. My only hope is that whatever party loses this time, they'll use the next four years to fix themselves so that we have at least one sane and competent party in '28. Because we have none now. A pox on both houses is my sentiment. They both suck.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I believe women are far, far angrier than the polling is picking up - and that we will vote Harris into the White House.

Being a nervous Democrat, my stomach is still in knots. But I do believe this.

Agree women are angry about:
1. Inflation and the impact on grocery prices,
2. Immigration and the corresponding rise in crime,
3. Having men in their daughters locker rooms, and
4. Bodily autonomy.

3 out those 4 reasons leads to an R vote.

Nobody I know is angry about men being in girls’ locker rooms.
Nobody I know believes trump can or would do anything to help with inflation. They are all smart enough to know that tariffs would hurt us.
Everyone I know understands that immigrants are responsible for very little crime and this country would be at a loss without them.

Everyone I know wants old, white men to keep their laws off of our bodies!

100%

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

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Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:One of the problems with the “women are angry and are voting for Harris” point is that women are indeed furious, but not just about abortion. I just do not know which way the female rage vote will go.

Some traditional Trump voters are absolutely furious about abortion but live in communities where they can’t talk about that. They will silently vote for Harris in the privacy of the voting booth. These are women who likely are deeply religious but also have young daughters, and those daughters themselves. They might hate abortion but they hate women bleeding out more. However, their communities will make it impossible for them to talk about that. So they don’t show up in polls.

But there are other women who are as angry about Democrats embracing trans rights, which they perceive as deeply misogynistic. They also live in communities where they can’t talk about this; people who object to self-id risk their livelihood if they speak up about that. Women who believe drag queens to be horribly sexist minstrels in womanface can’t speak out without risking their own physical safety. Women who are furious about Title 9 losses cannot risk their own kids getting hurt. Those women are also angry, are also voting silently, and they aren’t voting for Harris.

I believe that there is a deep undercurrent of female rage that is not showing up in polling. But what I’m not sure about is which way that’s going to go in the critical swing states. There are days I wake up and think that the map is going to be literally solid blue on the day after the election and then there are days when I think I’ll awake to a new President Trump.

I want Harris to win, so I’m hoping it’s the former, but I think female rage might not actually break as much for Harris as people think.

You can keep posting this same thing - and I trust you will - but it doesn't change the fact that trans panic has by and large been a losing issue for Republicans. I'm sure there are at least several women who are nodding thoughtfully while reading your post. But that does not reach the fury that women are feeling - and acting on - right now.

You are out of touch. There is a reason Harris has been actively avoiding the issue and won’t answer direct questions now on the topic. There is a reason Trump’s awful they/them ads are doing well and going viral.

You can continue to rely on your 2021 data if you want, but the tides have shifted substantially on this issue and women are indeed angry.

Well, I'll tell you what - in my Florida neighborhood, where I go walking for about seven miles a day, I see a LOT of "yes on 4" signs - that's our reproductive rights amendment - and a lot of signs about not going back, and a LOT of signs about cats being for Harris and against Vance. With cats, of course, being about those cat lady comments Vance won't stop making, because he's so anti-woman. And I see nothing, not one single thing, mentioning trans anything. Except some trans flags that people have up at their houses, that were there before the election.

Are yard signs dispositive? No! But they are a sign of what's gotten through into the zeitgeist, and what issues people are holding onto. And you're trying to tell me that Dem-leaning women - not just stalwart Rs - are Very Concerned about the invasion of trans girls into public life. I'm telling you, I am not seeing any evidence of that. So you tell me - where is the evidence that D-leaning women are voting R because they are so upset about trans kids?

If yard signs explain the zeitgeist then the 10+ Trump signs and 0 Harris signs in my neighborhood in the blue part of Pittsburgh indicative of something?

They might. Do the signs say anything about trans stuff? Are they more or less signs than you saw the last time?

No mention of any issues. Just names

In 2020 there were no signs at all, maybe due to Covid.

I'd say in that case this indicates some more support for Trump in your neighborhood - and doesn't really tell you anything about which specific issues or messaging points are important to people. Probably just general support for the ticket and whatever issues (whale psychiatry, wanting women to have fewer rights, disliking Haitians for fictional reasons, the size of a dead golfer's penis) that are dominating that campaign.

I'm the one in Florida - and in addition to the "cats against JD Vance" signs (including the one in my yard), a lot of the signs where I am have rainbow stripes (indicating support for gay people) or say joy (which tells you that people are exhausted of the apocalyptic feel of living in Trump's terrible world and REALLY want to move on).

Are you aware that Trump is not currently the president? What a curious thing to say.

He is currently campaigning, he was POS POTS for four years, and we’re still actively dealing with the fallout from his scheming (RvW, etc).

People want move on.

[Anonymous]

It’s going to be Trump.

[Anonymous]

Harris. Latinos have been activated (by a “comedian”.)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Harris. Latinos have been activated (by a “comedian”.)

Very fitting?

[Anonymous]

Remains to be seen if the Madison Sq Garden has any impact

[Anonymous]

Harris will win by electoral college but not popular vote and this will lead to massive violent uprisings across the country. I won’t take that thought process to the next step because it is too terrifying to contemplate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Harris will win by electoral college but not popular vote and this will lead to massive violent uprisings across the country. I won’t take that thought process to the next step because it is too terrifying to contemplate.

thing is, if it was the other way around the democrats would not uprise. We'd be royally pissed but just go back to the drawing board while complaining for the next 4 years.
We would not start a Civil War. But, they would if these tables were turned.
Think about it.

[Anonymous]

Harris will win. Inflation, taxes and illegal immigration will continue to rise. Gaza will be cleared of all Palestinians. She will only last one term.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Harris will win. Inflation, taxes and illegal immigration will continue to rise. Gaza will be cleared of all Palestinians. She will only last one term.

And will go down as one if the worst Presidents

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I believe women are far, far angrier than the polling is picking up - and that we will vote Harris into the White House.

Being a nervous Democrat, my stomach is still in knots. But I do believe this.

Agree women are angry about:
1. Inflation and the impact on grocery prices,
2. Immigration and the corresponding rise in crime,
3. Having men in their daughters locker rooms, and
4. Bodily autonomy.

3 out those 4 reasons leads to an R vote.

Nobody I know is angry about men being in girls’ locker rooms.
Nobody I know believes trump can or would do anything to help with inflation. They are all smart enough to know that tariffs would hurt us.
Everyone I know understands that immigrants are responsible for very little crime and this country would be at a loss without them.

Everyone I know wants old, white men to keep their laws off of our bodies!

100%

This just means you live in a bubble.