2020 Senate Map

How many years has it been since Kansas has widely voted Democratic? I know their governor is, but before that, it’s been a bit for any big office, hasn’t it?

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07/30/2020 22:51

Subject: 2020 Senate Map

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Anonymous

Anonymous wrote:How many years has it been since Kansas has widely voted Democratic? I know their governor is, but before that, it’s been a bit for any big office, hasn’t it?

Kansas native here, There hasn’t been a democratic senator from Kansas since the 1930s. The last dem AG and Sec. of State termed out in 2010. And the republicans have had a majority in the state legislature for decades.

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07/30/2020 23:04

Subject: 2020 Senate Map

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Anonymous

Bollier will win Kansas. Thanks to the PP who posted that NYT link above.

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07/30/2020 23:39

Subject: 2020 Senate Map

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Anonymous

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How many years has it been since Kansas has widely voted Democratic? I know their governor is, but before that, it’s been a bit for any big office, hasn’t it?

Kansas native here, There hasn’t been a democratic senator from Kansas since the 1930s. The last dem AG and Sec. of State termed out in 2010. And the republicans have had a majority in the state legislature for decades.

Basically when “Democrats” were the racists.

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07/31/2020 11:10

Subject: 2020 Senate Map

quote

Anonymous

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How many years has it been since Kansas has widely voted Democratic? I know their governor is, but before that, it’s been a bit for any big office, hasn’t it?

Kansas native here, There hasn’t been a democratic senator from Kansas since the 1930s. The last dem AG and Sec. of State termed out in 2010. And the republicans have had a majority in the state legislature for decades.

With a number of incumbent Senate Republicans trailing in polls, and being out-raised by their Democratic rivals, they have little margin for error as they seek to protect their 53-47 majority. And because of Mr. Trump’s broad unpopularity, and a health crisis that has devastated the economy, even a deeply conservative state like Kansas, which has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since the 1930s, is no sure thing for Senate Republicans this year.

Mr. Kobach has long been an incendiary figure in Kansas politics, associated with hard-line views on immigration, voting rights and a host of other issues. He is especially unpopular in the Kansas City suburbs, home to traditionally moderate Republicans who have moved away from the party in the Trump era. Republicans in Kansas and in Washington remain frustrated that he captured the nomination for governor two years ago, which they feel cost them the seat.

Senate Republicans have long been concerned about Mr. Kobach’s candidacy, and for months they sought to woo Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, a former Kansas congressman, into the race. They have grown even more uneasy in recent days, though, after reviewing the results of Senate Republican polling: The surveys showed Mr. Trump leading only narrowly in the state and found that nearly 30 percent of Republican primary voters indicated they would support the Democrat in the Senate race, state Senator Barbara Bollier, if Mr. Kobach were the nominee, according to two Republicans familiar with the data.

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07/31/2020 12:17

Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map

quote

Anonymous

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Former CO resident here. I wish Colorado had nominated a better candidate than Hickenlooper. He is boring, awful on the environment, and despised by most of the younger residents. I hope he is only serving one term and someone more dynamic replaces him.

I expect he will only serve one term because I don’t think he really wanted to be a Senator in the first place. Ditto Bullock. I think Schumer, DSCC head Cortez Masto, Obama and others convinced them this time because the situation was so dire - recall six months ago it looked like Trump had a good chance of being re-elected and these guys had the best chance of flipping those seats (in Bullock’s case the only chance, Colorado was certainly more likely with another candidate but not necessarily Romanoff.) It was CRITICAL that a re-elected Trump needed pushback from both houses of Congress. I also think they helped clear the path for Mark Kelly so he wouldn’t have a primary.

I recognize that not every Democrat loves these guys but they’ve won statewide and can do it again. And they make up for some recruiting failures - Ds could have had stronger candidates in Texas, Georgia, Iowa and North Carolina although they’re doing pretty well there anyway due to the cataclysmic fall of the polls for the GOP.

Agree. Remember that as recently as August/September, Hickenlooper was refusing to run for the Senate seat since he said he "wasn't cut out" to run for or be in the Senate.

Likewise, as recently as December, Bullock was declining to run for Senate.

Both of them are running for the sake of the party, to overturn the Republican majority and get McConnell out of the Majority Leader position. He's arguably more destructive to the country than Trump is. And even if Biden wins the presidency, McConnell could block a lot of Biden's plans from the Senate. I think that both would take the position and then would work with the party to find good replacements for them in six years, replacements that could be groomed to work with the two of them and get valuable credentials and connections to help them get elected in 2026.

The majority of the country isn't progressive. Majority actually wants these moderate candidates and Biden.

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07/31/2020 13:31

Subject: Re:2020 Senate Map

quote

Anonymous

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Former CO resident here. I wish Colorado had nominated a better candidate than Hickenlooper. He is boring, awful on the environment, and despised by most of the younger residents. I hope he is only serving one term and someone more dynamic replaces him.

I expect he will only serve one term because I don’t think he really wanted to be a Senator in the first place. Ditto Bullock. I think Schumer, DSCC head Cortez Masto, Obama and others convinced them this time because the situation was so dire - recall six months ago it looked like Trump had a good chance of being re-elected and these guys had the best chance of flipping those seats (in Bullock’s case the only chance, Colorado was certainly more likely with another candidate but not necessarily Romanoff.) It was CRITICAL that a re-elected Trump needed pushback from both houses of Congress. I also think they helped clear the path for Mark Kelly so he wouldn’t have a primary.

I recognize that not every Democrat loves these guys but they’ve won statewide and can do it again. And they make up for some recruiting failures - Ds could have had stronger candidates in Texas, Georgia, Iowa and North Carolina although they’re doing pretty well there anyway due to the cataclysmic fall of the polls for the GOP.

Agree. Remember that as recently as August/September, Hickenlooper was refusing to run for the Senate seat since he said he "wasn't cut out" to run for or be in the Senate.

Likewise, as recently as December, Bullock was declining to run for Senate.

Both of them are running for the sake of the party, to overturn the Republican majority and get McConnell out of the Majority Leader position. He's arguably more destructive to the country than Trump is. And even if Biden wins the presidency, McConnell could block a lot of Biden's plans from the Senate. I think that both would take the position and then would work with the party to find good replacements for them in six years, replacements that could be groomed to work with the two of them and get valuable credentials and connections to help them get elected in 2026.

The majority of the country isn't progressive. Majority actually wants these moderate candidates and Biden.

Link? Because national polling suggests otherwise.

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