It all depends on the candidate. A lot of Dems and independent leaning dems stayed home in 2016. |
Lol. That worked real well for y’all in 2016. |
Updates:
So far, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee (weeks ago) and Pat Roberts of Kansas (today) have already said they won’t run again in 2020. Susan Collins (ME) is running for re-election. Cory Gardner (CO) is running for re-election. Newly appointed Martha McSally (AZ) will run to keep her seat in the 2020 special election. Here’s the map: |
Sure, ignore the 3 million popular vote win in 2016 and the 2018 blue wave. The GOP has nothing to fear and should continue to run racist and sexist candidates who brag about lynching people. |
This is a favorable map for the Dems. ME, CO and AZ are all good pick up opportunities with the right candidate. TN and Kansas (which just elected a Democratic governor after years of GOP disaster) too. |
If I were McConnell my #1 priority would be to get trump off the ticket as fast as possible. |
There's also a Georgia Senate seat open that Stacey Abrams could be competitive for if Georgia would stop with the voter suppression. |
Well sure, Hillary won by 3 million votes BUT the slavery ERA EC SELECTED the fraudster. |
NC, TX and IA |
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up. |
SCOTUS just agreed to look at NC’s gerrymander along with MD’s, plus they have a D Governor and D state Supreme Court. |
SCOTUS won't be much of a help to reform gerrymandering. Kennedy was the swing vote on gerrymandering. Kavanaugh doesn't see a problem with it. |
Well, be careful what you wish for. Maryland is up first. |
Correction: Apparently Collins hasn’t decided to run yet. She said on Meet the Press today "I'm very proud of the service that I've given to the people of Maine, and I'm getting ready to run...but it's too early to make that kind of decision." Adds that she'll make a final decision "towards the end of this year.” And the map above doesn’t include Arizona. |
Between gerrymandering, voter suppression, and misconduct in administering elections, the Republicans will win all of those seats and more. |