2020 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

The election results speak for themselves.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Former CO resident here. I wish Colorado had nominated a better candidate than Hickenlooper. He is boring, awful on the environment, and despised by most of the younger residents. I hope he is only serving one term and someone more dynamic replaces him.

I expect he will only serve one term because I don’t think he really wanted to be a Senator in the first place. Ditto Bullock. I think Schumer, DSCC head Cortez Masto, Obama and others convinced them this time because the situation was so dire - recall six months ago it looked like Trump had a good chance of being re-elected and these guys had the best chance of flipping those seats (in Bullock’s case the only chance, Colorado was certainly more likely with another candidate but not necessarily Romanoff.) It was CRITICAL that a re-elected Trump needed pushback from both houses of Congress. I also think they helped clear the path for Mark Kelly so he wouldn’t have a primary.

I recognize that not every Democrat loves these guys but they’ve won statewide and can do it again. And they make up for some recruiting failures - Ds could have had stronger candidates in Texas, Georgia, Iowa and North Carolina although they’re doing pretty well there anyway due to the cataclysmic fall of the polls for the GOP.

Agree. Remember that as recently as August/September, Hickenlooper was refusing to run for the Senate seat since he said he "wasn't cut out" to run for or be in the Senate.

Likewise, as recently as December, Bullock was declining to run for Senate.

Both of them are running for the sake of the party, to overturn the Republican majority and get McConnell out of the Majority Leader position. He's arguably more destructive to the country than Trump is. And even if Biden wins the presidency, McConnell could block a lot of Biden's plans from the Senate. I think that both would take the position and then would work with the party to find good replacements for them in six years, replacements that could be groomed to work with the two of them and get valuable credentials and connections to help them get elected in 2026.

The majority of the country isn't progressive. Majority actually wants these moderate candidates and Biden.

Link? Because national polling suggests otherwise.

Nationwide polls of 800-2000 voters really are not indicative of the nationwide sentiment of over 150M voters.

If the majority of the nation or even the Democratic party was progressive, is that why the progressive candidates did so well in the Democratic primaries?

[Anonymous]

McConnell signal to Republican Senate candidates: Distance from Trump if necessary
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/07/31/politics/senate-mcconnell-trump-firewall/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:McConnell signal to Republican Senate candidates: Distance from Trump if necessary
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/07/31/politics/senate-mcconnell-trump-firewall/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

The problem with this, they all have the impeachment and of the other BS as an albatross. Them peeling off at this point will be cast by their opponents as political opportunism and it simply won't work. They will just inflame the "base" in their states and lose even worse.

[Anonymous]

Fingers crossed for a blue wave. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/07/31/politics/senate-map-republicans/index.html

Leading election forecasters have been steadily downgrading their ratings for Republican Senate candidates throughout the year, increasing the chances of a Democratic takeover viewed as unlikely only a few months ago.

"Democratic chances of winning control of the chamber have improved significantly (in the last nine months)," write Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin of Inside Elections. And in their latest ratings update, The Cook Political Report says Democrats are now a slight favorite to win the Senate majority.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Fingers crossed for a blue wave. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/07/31/politics/senate-map-republicans/index.html

Leading election forecasters have been steadily downgrading their ratings for Republican Senate candidates throughout the year, increasing the chances of a Democratic takeover viewed as unlikely only a few months ago.

"Democratic chances of winning control of the chamber have improved significantly (in the last nine months)," write Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin of Inside Elections. And in their latest ratings update, The Cook Political Report says Democrats are now a slight favorite to win the Senate majority.

It continues to depress me that with every horrific measure of Trump’s failure (and the Republican goons who supported every thing he did) that the Democrats are only slightly favored to win the Senate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Fingers crossed for a blue wave. https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/07/31/politics/senate-map-republicans/index.html

Leading election forecasters have been steadily downgrading their ratings for Republican Senate candidates throughout the year, increasing the chances of a Democratic takeover viewed as unlikely only a few months ago.

"Democratic chances of winning control of the chamber have improved significantly (in the last nine months)," write Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin of Inside Elections. And in their latest ratings update, The Cook Political Report says Democrats are now a slight favorite to win the Senate majority.

It continues to depress me that with every horrific measure of Trump’s failure (and the Republican goons who supported every thing he did) that the Democrats are only slightly favored to win the Senate.

Democratic chances are stronger than the forecasters are willing to admit. I think they are being cautious because they got it wrong in 2016.

[Anonymous]

They are being cautious because no one has any clue how voting is going to shake out with covid

[Anonymous]

I didn't realize Kansas' primary is so late.

GOP scrambles to fend off Kobach in Kansas primary --
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/510033-gop-scrambles-to-fend-off-kobach-in-kansas-primary

[Anonymous]

The Boston Globe endorsed Senator Markey over Joe Kennedy in the MA Senate race. The first time the paper hasn't endorsed a Kennedy in over 60 years. Kennedy's response is that the paper is maintaining the status quo for "disproportionally white, well-off, well educated" readers.

Does Kennedy forget that that is a literal description of him and his base? I used to have a lot of admiration for Joe Kennedy and found his response to the SOTU to be quite charming. But this is just embarrassing, hopefully he loses and does a complete 180. Maybe he can run for Governor in 2022.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/29/joe-kennedy-boston-globe-endorsement-snub-386099

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The Boston Globe endorsed Senator Markey over Joe Kennedy in the MA Senate race. The first time the paper hasn't endorsed a Kennedy in over 60 years. Kennedy's response is that the paper is maintaining the status quo for "disproportionally white, well-off, well educated" readers.

Does Kennedy forget that that is a literal description of him and his base? I used to have a lot of admiration for Joe Kennedy and found his response to the SOTU to be quite charming. But this is just embarrassing, hopefully he loses and does a complete 180. Maybe he can run for Governor in 2022.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/29/joe-kennedy-boston-globe-endorsement-snub-386099

Agreed. Rep. Joe Kennedy's choice to run makes no sense politically level and reveals his pure ambition. That comment just proves it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I didn't realize Kansas' primary is so late.

GOP scrambles to fend off Kobach in Kansas primary --
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/510033-gop-scrambles-to-fend-off-kobach-in-kansas-primary

I was surprised, too. But apparently after Roberts announced he would not run for reelection in January, candidates had until June 1 to submit their application to run. And then the primary is scheduled for tomorrow.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The Boston Globe endorsed Senator Markey over Joe Kennedy in the MA Senate race. The first time the paper hasn't endorsed a Kennedy in over 60 years. Kennedy's response is that the paper is maintaining the status quo for "disproportionally white, well-off, well educated" readers.

Does Kennedy forget that that is a literal description of him and his base? I used to have a lot of admiration for Joe Kennedy and found his response to the SOTU to be quite charming. But this is just embarrassing, hopefully he loses and does a complete 180. Maybe he can run for Governor in 2022.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/29/joe-kennedy-boston-globe-endorsement-snub-386099

Agreed. Rep. Joe Kennedy's choice to run makes no sense politically level and reveals his pure ambition. That comment just proves it.

+2 We'll see if the party forgives him for going after an effective colleague's seat for no good reason.

[Anonymous]

Been saying all along that throwing money at this race was a waste, but will be happy to be proven wrong.

[Anonymous]

Poll showing McConnell has a 17 point lead over Democratic challenger Amy McGrath:

"The survey of 700 likely voters in Kentucky, reported on by the Louisville Courier Journal, was conducted online from July 24 to Aug. 2 and had a margin of error of 3.5 percent.

The poll shows McConnell in a much stronger position than a Democratic one published last month by Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group showing McConnell ahead of McGrath by only 4 points, 45 to 41 percent."

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/510418-mcconnell-has-17-point-lead-over-democratic-challenger-mcgrath-poll

Democrats may still be salty over the tough primary contest for that race, and that might be reflected in the polls. Still, McConnell looks to be firmly in control of this one.