Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This sounds exactly like all those polls that had Hillary comfortably leading and then look what happened.

Do you know anyone being remotely complacent about this year? We now know just how hard the GOP cheats.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Do NOT get complacent.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/17/trump-polls-biden-324210

We won’t. Thanks for the heads up.

This. Stay woke.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This sounds exactly like all those polls that had Hillary comfortably leading and then look what happened.

Except few people looked at state polls 4 years ago.

[Anonymous]

Biden leading Trump 51-43 in Duval County, FL - home of Jacksonville and a county Trump won in 2016.

They also don’t want his convention.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/RABA-DUVAL-TOPLINES.pdf

[Anonymous]

Trump won TX by 8.98
Romney by 15.79
McCain by 11.77


TWO points separate Trump & Biden right now.

[Anonymous]

Dayum. New NYT/Sienna poll:

Biden - 50%
Trump - 36%

https://twitter.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1275728933909078026

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Dayum. New NYT/Sienna poll:

Biden - 50%
Trump - 36%

https://twitter.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1275728933909078026

Dayum indeed.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Dayum. New NYT/Sienna poll:

Biden - 50%
Trump - 36%

https://twitter.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1275728933909078026

Signs of base erosion detected.

[Anonymous]

When red state Trump supporters start seeing their families impacted by the virus and failing economy, it stands to reason that support might begin to erode.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When red state Trump supporters start seeing their families impacted by the virus and failing economy, it stands to reason that support might begin to erode.

Do not count on it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:When red state Trump supporters start seeing their families impacted by the virus and failing economy, it stands to reason that support might begin to erode.

Red states? We’re focused on the competitive states. There are about a dozen and Biden likely needs only 3.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:When red state Trump supporters start seeing their families impacted by the virus and failing economy, it stands to reason that support might begin to erode.

Red states? We’re focused on the competitive states. There are about a dozen and Biden likely needs only 3.

To be fair, there are some pretty red states that are looking competitive right now.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This sounds exactly like all those polls that had Hillary comfortably leading and then look what happened.

Do you know anyone being remotely complacent about this year? We now know just how hard the GOP cheats.

Also, PP is ignorant about the 2016 polls. Hillary was never "comfortably leading." I hate this myth. The polls were tight and pretty much predicted what happened -- she won the popular vote by 2 points and lost the electoral college because of a few thousand votes in 3 states. The nationwide polls conducted right before the election had her up 3-4 points. Why do so many people forget this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election

Some of the state-level polling was wonky, but the nationwide polling was just about right on.

Now, to turn to 2020: Biden has perhaps the largest lead for a challenger in at least 30 years.

According to the 538 polling averages, for the states where they have enough data to calculate an avg, Trump is up outside the margin of error in 7 states:

Alabama -- +15
Kentucky -- +17
Kansas -- +9
Missouri -- +4
SC -- +8
Tennessee -- +11
Utah -- +7.5 (which is a pathetic margin for the GOP)

He's tied with Biden in Texas and Iowa. TEXAS. Who would've thought that?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This sounds exactly like all those polls that had Hillary comfortably leading and then look what happened.

Do you know anyone being remotely complacent about this year? We now know just how hard the GOP cheats.

Also, PP is ignorant about the 2016 polls. Hillary was never "comfortably leading." I hate this myth. The polls were tight and pretty much predicted what happened -- she won the popular vote by 2 points and lost the electoral college because of a few thousand votes in 3 states. The nationwide polls conducted right before the election had her up 3-4 points. Why do so many people forget this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election

Some of the state-level polling was wonky, but the nationwide polling was just about right on.

Now, to turn to 2020: Biden has perhaps the largest lead for a challenger in at least 30 years.

According to the 538 polling averages, for the states where they have enough data to calculate an avg, Trump is up outside the margin of error in 7 states:

Alabama -- +15
Kentucky -- +17
Kansas -- +9
Missouri -- +4
SC -- +8
Tennessee -- +11
Utah -- +7.5 (which is a pathetic margin for the GOP)

He's tied with Biden in Texas and Iowa. TEXAS. Who would've thought that?

🤞🏼

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This sounds exactly like all those polls that had Hillary comfortably leading and then look what happened.

Do you know anyone being remotely complacent about this year? We now know just how hard the GOP cheats.

Also, PP is ignorant about the 2016 polls. Hillary was never "comfortably leading." I hate this myth. The polls were tight and pretty much predicted what happened -- she won the popular vote by 2 points and lost the electoral college because of a few thousand votes in 3 states. The nationwide polls conducted right before the election had her up 3-4 points. Why do so many people forget this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election

Some of the state-level polling was wonky, but the nationwide polling was just about right on.

Now, to turn to 2020: Biden has perhaps the largest lead for a challenger in at least 30 years.

According to the 538 polling averages, for the states where they have enough data to calculate an avg, Trump is up outside the margin of error in 7 states:

Alabama -- +15
Kentucky -- +17
Kansas -- +9
Missouri -- +4
SC -- +8
Tennessee -- +11
Utah -- +7.5 (which is a pathetic margin for the GOP)

He's tied with Biden in Texas and Iowa. TEXAS. Who would've thought that?

🤞🏼

Was that an emoji of some sort?