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On the other hand, politicians actually control abortion policy. They don't control inflation. |
Politicians certainly can and do put policies in place that fuel inflation. We shall see how well the Fed can do at controlling it. |
What you describe sounds like a "wage-price spiral", which is very difficult to get out of. |
To the extent any official in the government caused the current inflation, it was the fed. Even they had a pretty marginal role. If they had hiked rates earlier, they might have tamped down some of the demand surge coming out of COVID, but I doubt they could have done much. Inflation has been caused by the supply shock from COVID and related shutdowns (still going on) along with the surge in demand after re-opening- too much demand chasing too few goods. No politician was going to stop that. |
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Glad someone was smart enough to catch my drift. Yes this is a major issue because once the economy cools down, the pink slips will go out because the employees are no longer worth what they are getting paid. We are at critical moment in the economy and I don't think the fed knows what to do. They have no credibility, they messed it up last year, what makes anyone think they will get it right this year. I think there are three issues that can cause major financial downturns: bond market, equity market and real estate. ALL THREE are in shambles right now and this has never happened during any of the previous crashes. If the stars align, this downturn could be on epic proportions. |
No, I just have common sense. Big businesses are raking in money and jacking up prices. Their costs have nothing to do with the prices they charge us. |
Yup, the ECI that was just reported was the highest in history. CPI is lagging. I'd pay much more attention to PPI, ECI and other wage-labor data like productivity etc. It's becoming increasingly clear we are caught in a wage price spiral, which is the Fed's worst nightmare. They need to nuke this problem from orbit before it gets out of hand, and go full Volcker. A bad recession will be a required dose of medicine. |
You are dumb. I guess you've never passed business 101 and the entire concept of profit margins. |
Profit margins aren’t fair and are rrracccciiissstttt |
Can you elaborate on the “nuke” and “full Volcker”? I’m not anywhere near being an economist. |
Not PP but Volker raised rates to something like 18% overnight which got us out of inflation in the late 70s. Doing so now would lead to a bad recession if not depression, ie nuke. Recessions are what ends wage price spirals. |
Volcker was a previous Fed Chair. He did not succumb to political pressure and did what was needed to get inflation under control. He drastically raised interest rates to double digits. It cussed two recessions, but it was the bitter medicine the economy needed to get inflation under control. He was one of the greatest Fed Chairs of all time and had an actual spine to do what was needed for a better economy in theong run. That's what we need right now.....a Fed chair with a spine who will raise rates faster and higher while tightening harder with quantitative tightening. Jerome Powell would get tons of criticism and heat for causing a recession, but this economy needs to be shocked Volcker style to reset the economy on a firm footing and to kill inflation. The idea that a soft landing is possible where the fed can reduce 40 year high inflation while having a progrowth environment for GDP is a pipedream. Just rip the band-aid off, do what Volcker did, and eat a recession or two in order to get inflation under control. |
It means do what Volcker did when the Reagan administration had 13-15 percent inflation after Carter. They did NOT keep stimulating the economy with super low rates and free checks to everyone. They raised rates. The cost of money needs to go up and the free flow of cash from the government needs to stop. NO more covid related stimulus or anything else (such as loan forgiveness). Too much money flowing around. Need to stop it now. |
And they have record profits? Help me with that math. |