Harris beating Trump in Iowa

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Lol if you believe this. Have you been to Iowa? I grew up there. The Democrats are dead to those people. I have family members that were Democrats for years, but are now loyal Trump supporters. No chance those people are backing Kamala Harris.

Did you see the post above yours? Ann Seltzer polls are usually very accurate.

Ok. Everyone is wrong sometimes, and here, direct experience strongly indicates this poll is very wrong. It is also an outlier among polls. For all I know, Ann Seltzer got a huge payday to sacrifice some credibility to put out good numbers for Harris. In any event, I do not believe it is accurate. This is based on the experience of having grown up there and having watched people abandon the Democrats first hand.

So you no longer live there?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This whole website is a liberal echo chamber.

You just keep telling yourself all is good. Harris will win.

Rest of the country does not feel that way.

Don’t be surprised when Trump wins Tuesday.

Which part of DCUM you don't understand?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe Iowans don't like all the filthy foul language coming from the mouths of their "conservative" GOP candidates. Trump and Vance talk like they're interviewing for a dockworker job. That's an insult to dockworkers.

Like most Trump supporters, I don’t think they care about it the way you think they should.

I'm an Illinois native and I have always my entire life believed that Iowans were some of the nicest, most decent people around. It's only been the last few years I've begun to question that based on news stories that left me bewildered wondering what happened to the kindness and decency of the Iowans I knew. But this poll gives me hope. I can totally see ordinary Iowans being repulsed by Donald's vulgarity.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:A democrat just told me Harris is going to win Florida and Iowa. Not sure where this surge is coming from but I don’t buy it.

If Harris wins Florida that will be very funny. But what with desantis, the abortion ballot, elderly people who don’t want to lose social security and Medicare, and now the angry Puerto Rico constituency, it’s becoming less unlikely.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maybe Iowans don't like all the filthy foul language coming from the mouths of their "conservative" GOP candidates. Trump and Vance talk like they're interviewing for a dockworker job. That's an insult to dockworkers.

Like most Trump supporters, I don’t think they care about it the way you think they should.

I'm an Illinois native and I have always my entire life believed that Iowans were some of the nicest, most decent people around. It's only been the last few years I've begun to question that based on news stories that left me bewildered wondering what happened to the kindness and decency of the Iowans I knew. But this poll gives me hope. I can totally see ordinary Iowans being repulsed by Donald's vulgarity.

+1 bewildered is exactly the word.
Hoping this phase is over.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is happening people! Thank goodness.

Trump beat Biden in Iowa by 8 pts in 2020. Harris has overtaken him.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Wow. If this comes to pass, Harris will have a Reaganesque victory.

Reagan won 46 states and 489 EVs in 1980.

Let her get a vote first.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Keep dreaming about Iowa you liberal fools.

Make sure you have you “safe spaces” set up on Wednesday so you can go there and cry together.

^^^^ hasn't read the tea leaves

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Does Selzer poll have a good track record predicting the eventual outcomes?

The best, for many cycles.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This whole website is a liberal echo chamber.

You just keep telling yourself all is good. Harris will win.

Rest of the country does not feel that way.

Don’t be surprised when Trump wins Tuesday.

Which part of DCUM you don't understand?

[Anonymous]

This thread is unhinged - I voted for Harris over two weeks ago but Harris isn’t winning Ohio, Florida or Iowa. Some of y’all are going to have a very difficult Tuesday night.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is happening people! Thank goodness.

Trump beat Biden in Iowa by 8 pts in 2020. Harris has overtaken him.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

Wow. If this comes to pass, Harris will have a Reaganesque victory.

This would be amazing!

[Anonymous]

Stop already.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This thread is unhinged - I voted for Harris over two weeks ago but Harris isn’t winning Ohio, Florida or Iowa. Some of y’all are going to have a very difficult Tuesday night.

And Trump isn’t winning VA

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Lol if you believe this. Have you been to Iowa? I grew up there. The Democrats are dead to those people. I have family members that were Democrats for years, but are now loyal Trump supporters. No chance those people are backing Kamala Harris.

Did you see the post above yours? Ann Seltzer polls are usually very accurate.

Ok. Everyone is wrong sometimes, and here, direct experience strongly indicates this poll is very wrong. It is also an outlier among polls. For all I know, Ann Seltzer got a huge payday to sacrifice some credibility to put out good numbers for Harris. In any event, I do not believe it is accurate. This is based on the experience of having grown up there and having watched people abandon the Democrats first hand.

A Democrat got 47.5% of the vote for Iowa governor in 2018.

That’s a lot different than a national democrat. And kamala harris is a bottom of the barrel national democrat at that. No chance there has been a huge swing in her favor.

Copium

Like i said, you’re free to think whatever you want. Experience tells me you are wrong and Seltzer is wrong.

Except Seltzer has been spot on for the last 12+ years, even as she’s contrasted other polls. I tend to lean on her reliability as a good indicator of where things are vs. your gut.

That’s your choice. I believe she is wrong. I would not even be surprised to learn she got paid big money to put out a poll like this. I fully expect these types of organizations to throw out some last minute polls purporting to show that Kamala Harris is riding high as a last ditch effort to try to push her across the line. It is all BS by a very partisan set at this point.

talk about "copium"

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Even if Harris wins, Dems lose senate.

Nothing is getting done.

But that would be an ideal result. Excise Trump entirely, but don’t let the lunatic left take over. I hope and pray this is what I wake up to on Wednesday morning.