| Senate is looking solid, 50-52 Dem is likely. With 51 the most probable. I’m way less confident the Dems can hold the house, it may be especially bad with all the gerrymandering. |
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And this is the kind of thing his dumb supporters will be like - look how clever he is. Even if this was on purpose, it was dumb. If it was an accident, also dumb. Trump is truly a stupid person’s idea of being savvy and a deplorable person’s idea of being….well deplorable but that’s how they like it. |
Nate Silver's models are showing the Dems behind in the House but rising fast in the last month. |
| Kansas - another Trump win. Sigh |
| John James of MI wins |
So he can lose his third statewide general election in six years. |
Oh sorry my bad, he finally got the hint and is trying for a House seat instead. |
| The Kansas abortion vote and turnout is an excellent sign for democrats nationwide. Probably as ideal as possible, especially for house seats. |